Search

Opinion polling for the 2016 Australian federal election

(Redirected from National opinion polling for the 2016 Australian federal election)

Several research and polling firms conducted polls during the parliamentary term and prior to the 2016 Australian federal election on 2 July in relation to voting intention for the Australian House of Representatives (lower house) and leader ratings. Most firms use the flow of preferences at the previous election to determine the two-party-preferred vote; others ask respondents to nominate their second preference before applying the preference flows at the previous election.

Every federal election after 1961 has been won by the grouping that also won the majority of federal seats in New South Wales. Unusually, in the upcoming election nearly half of all marginal government seats are in NSW; of these, nearly half are in Western Sydney and half are in rural and regional areas. No more than a few government seats in each other state are marginal.

Assuming a theoretical uniform swing, for the Labor opposition to get to 76 seats and majority government would require at least 50.5 percent of the two-party vote (a 4.0-point two-party swing or greater), while for the incumbent Coalition to lose majority government would require 50.2 percent of the two-party vote (a 3.3-point two-party swing or greater).[1]

Graphical aggregate of national voting intention polling

Two-party-preferred vote.
Primary vote.
Graphs are a compilation of aggregate data from voting intention in the below list of all opinion polling for the 2016 federal election. A moving average is shown in a solid line.

Federal two-party-preferred polling aggregates by state

The table below published by The Poll Bludger sets out the final release of federal two-party-preferred polling aggregates by state/territory (and swings since the previous election).

Two-party-preferred % polling aggregates by state
State (seats)L/NP 2PPALP 2PPL/NP swing
New South Wales (47)51.348.7–3.1
Victoria (37)47.652.4–2.2
Queensland (30)52.747.3–4.3
Western Australia (16)54.245.8–4.1
South Australia (11)53.846.2+1.4
Tasmania (5)47.352.7–1.4
ACT & NT (4)40.459.6–2.7
Australia (150)50.949.1–2.6

Source: BludgerTrack 1 Jul 2016: Poll Bludger – Methodology – State 2PP history

National polling

Voting intention

DateFirmPrimary vote2PP voteSample sizeMargin of errorMethod
L/NPALPGRNOTHL/NPALP
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016Newspoll[2]42%35%10%13%50.5%49.5%4,135?Landline
30 Jun 2016ReachTEL[3]42.8%34.6%10.7%12%51%49%2,084?Telephone (random)
27–30 Jun 2016Essential[4]42.5%34.5%11.5%12%50.5%49.5%1,212±3Online (members)
28–29 Jun 2016Galaxy[5]43%36%10%11%51%49%1,768?Landline
26–29 Jun 2016Ipsos[6]40%33%13%14%50%50%1,377?Telephone (random)
23–26 Jun 2016Essential[7]39%37%10%14%49%51%1,773±3Online (members)
23–26 Jun 2016Newspoll[8]43%36%9%12%51%49%1,713±3Landline
23 Jun 2016ReachTEL[9]42.3%33.7%10.5%13.3%51%49%2,349?Telephone (random)
20–22 Jun 2016Galaxy[10][11]42%35%11%12%50%50%??Landline
16–19 Jun 2016Essential[12]40%37%10%13%49%51%1,013±3Online (members)
16–19 Jun 2016Newspoll[13]41%36%10%13%50%50%1,805±3Landline
16 Jun 2016ReachTEL[14]43.5%33.6%9.1%13.7%51%49%2,576?Telephone (random)
14–16 Jun 2016Ipsos[15]39%33%14%14%49%51%1,437?Telephone (random)
9–12 Jun 2016Essential[16]41%37%10%12%49%51%1,784±3Online (members)
9 Jun 2016ReachTEL[17]42.7%33.2%9.9%14.3%50%50%2,175?Telephone (random)
2–5 Jun 2016Essential[18]41%36%10%13%50%50%1,772±3Online (members)
2–5 Jun 2016Newspoll[19]40%35%10%15%50%50%1,867±3Landline
2 Jun 2016ReachTEL[20]41.5%34.9%10.1%13.5%50%50%2,414?Telephone (random)
31 May – 2 Jun 2016Ipsos[21]42%36%13%9%49%51%1,359±2.7Telephone (random)
26–29 May 2016Essential[22]41%35%9%15%51%49%1,767±3Online (members)
21–22, 28–29 May 2016Morgan[23]37.5%32.5%13%17%49%51%3,099±1In person and SMS
26 May 2016ReachTEL[24]41.1%36.5%9.6%12.8%48%52%2,700?Telephone (random)
19–22 May 2016Essential[25]41%37%9%13%49%51%1,794±3Online (members)
19–22 May 2016Newspoll[26]41%36%11%12%49%51%?±3Landline
19 May 2016ReachTEL[27]42.6%36.6%9.9%10.9%50%50%2,407?Telephone (random)
17–19 May 2016Ipsos[28]43%34%14%9%51%49%1,497±2.5Telephone (random)
14–15 May 2016Morgan[29]36.5%33%15.5%15%47.5%52.5%2,318±1In person and SMS
12–15 May 2016Essential[30]42%38%9%11%49%51%1,784±3Online (members)
6–8 May 2016Lonergan[31]42%35%12%10%50%50%1,841?Landline and mobile
5–8 May 2016Essential[32]42%38%10%10%49%51%1,754±3Online (members)
9 May 20162016 Federal Election campaign begins
5–8 May 2016Newspoll[33]41%37%11%11%49%51%?±3Landline
5–7 May 2016Ipsos[33]44%33%14%9%51%49%1,410±2.6Telephone (random)
4–6 May 2016Galaxy[34]42%36%11%11%50%50%1,739±2.5?
5 May 2016ReachTEL[35]43.2%35.1%9.5%12.2%50%50%2,450?Telephone (random)
27 Apr – 1 May 2016Essential[36]40%38%10%12%48%52%1,753±3Online (members)
23–24, 30 Apr – 1 May 2016Morgan[37]40%32.5%13.5%14%49%51%2,951±1In person and SMS
20–24 Apr 2016Essential[38]40%39%10%11%48%52%1,740±3Online (members)
14–17 Apr 2016Newspoll[39]41%36%11%12%49%51%?±3Landline
13–17 Apr 2016Essential[40]42%36%11%11%50%50%1,753±3Online (members)
9–10, 16–17 Apr 2016Morgan[41]40.5%32%14%13.5%50%50%3,083±1In person and SMS
14–16 Apr 2016Ipsos[42]42%33%14%11%50%50%1,402±2.6Telephone (random)
14 Apr 2016ReachTEL[43]43.5%35.8%9.8%10.9%50%50%2,415?Telephone (random)
6–10 Apr 2016Essential[44]42%35%11%12%50%50%1,792±3Online (members)
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2016Newspoll[45]41%36%11%12%49%51%?±3Landline
26–27 Mar, 2–3 Apr 2016Morgan[46]42%31%13%14%52.5%47.5%3,174±1In person and SMS
21 Mar 2016ReachTEL[47]46.6%34.4%10.5%8.6%52%48%3,274?Telephone (random)
17–20 Mar 2016Newspoll[48]43%34%12%11%51%49%?±3%Landline
16–20 Mar 2016Essential[49]43%38%10%9%50%50%1,790±3Online (members)
12–13, 19–20 Mar 2016Morgan[50]40%33%14%13%49.5%50.5%2,948±1In person and SMS
10–12 Mar 2016Ipsos[51]45%31%14%10%53%47%
3–6 Mar 2016Newspoll[52]43%35%12%10%50%50%
2–6 Mar 2016Essential[53]43%37%10%10%50%50%
27–28 Feb, 5–6 Mar 2016Morgan[54]43%29.5%13%14.5%53%47%
24–28 Feb 2016Essential[55]43%38%10%9%50%50%
18–21 Feb 2016Newspoll[56]43%35%12%10%50%50%
17–21 Feb 2016Essential[57]44%35%10%11%52%48%
13–14, 20–21 Feb 2016Morgan[58]43.5%29.5%15%12%52.5%47.5%
11–13 Feb 2016Ipsos[59]44%32%15%10%52%48%
11 Feb 2016ReachTEL[60]48.1%32.8%10.1%9%54%46%
3–7 Feb 2016Essential[61]44%35%10%10%52%48%
30–31 Jan, 6–7 Feb 2016Morgan[62]43.5%29%16%11.5%52.5%47.5%
28–31 Jan 2016Newspoll[63]46%34%11%9%53%47%
16–17, 23–24 Jan 2016Morgan[64]43.5%28%15%13.5%55%45%
21 Jan 2016ReachTEL[65]48.5%31.8%10.8%9.1%55%45%
15–18 Jan 2016Essential[66]44%35%10%12%51%49%
2–3, 9–10 Jan 2016Morgan[67]47%29%13%11%56%44%
15 Dec 2015Essential[68]45%35%10%10%52%48%
5–6, 12–13 Dec 2015Morgan[69]48%27%14.5%10.5%57.5%42.5%
8 Dec 2015Essential[70]44%36%11%10%51%49%
4–6 Dec 2015Newspoll[71]45%33%12%10%53%47%
1 Dec 2015Essential[72]44%35%11%10%51%49%
21–22, 28–29 Nov 2015Morgan[73]46.5%28.5%14%11%56%44%
26 Nov 2015ReachTEL[74]48.8%31.1%11.2%8.9%55%45%
24 Nov 2015Essential[75]45%35%10%10%52%48%
19–22 Nov 2015Newspoll[76]46%33%11%10%53%47%
7–8, 14–15 Nov 2015Morgan[77]46%28%14.5%11.5%56%44%
12–14 Nov 2015Ipsos[78][note 1]48%29%13%10%57%43%
10 Nov 2015Essential[79]45%35%10%11%52%48%
6–8 Nov 2015Newspoll[80]46%34%10%10%53%47%
3 Nov 2015Essential45%34%11%10%53%47%
24–25 Oct, 1 Nov 2015Morgan[81]47%28.5%14.5%10%56.5%43.5%
27 Oct 2015Essential[82]45%35%11%9%52%48%
23–25 Oct 2015Newspoll[83]45%35%11%9%52%48%
22 Oct 2015ReachTEL[84]46.7%33.0%11.3%9.1%53%47%
20 Oct 2015Essential[85]44%36%11%9%51%49%
10–11, 17–18 Oct 2015Morgan[86]46.5%27.5%15.5%10.5%56%44%
15–17 Oct 2015Ipsos[87]45%30%14%10%54%46%
13 Oct 2015Essential[88]44%36%10%10%51%49%
9–11 Oct 2015Newspoll[89]43%35%12%10%50%50%
26–27 Sep, 1–5 Oct 2015Morgan[90]47%27.5%14%11.5%56%44%
1–4 Oct 2015Essential[91]44%35%10%10%52%48%
24–28 Sep 2015Essential44%35%11%11%52%48%
17–21 Sep 2015Essential[92]43%37%11%9%50%50%
19–20 Sep 2015Morgan[93]46%29.5%13%11.5%55%45%
17–20 Sep 2015Newspoll[94]44%35%11%10%51%49%
15–16 Sep 2015Galaxy[95]44%36%11%9%51%49%
15 Sep 2015ReachTEL[96][note 2]43.3%35.9%11.9%8.9%50%50%
14 Sep 2015Turnbull replaces Abbott as Liberal leader
12–13 Sep 2015Morgan[97]35%36.5%16%12.5%43%57%
5–6 Sep 2015Morgan[98]36.5%35.5%16.5%11.5%45%55%
4–6 Sep 2015Newspoll[99]39%39%12%10%46%54%
26–30 Aug 2015Essential[100]40%38%11%12%48%52%
27 Aug 2015ReachTEL[101]40.3%37.5%13.4%8.9%47%53%
22–23 Aug 2015Morgan[102]38.5%36%14%11.5%45.5%54.5%
20–23 Aug 2015Newspoll[103]38%39%13%10%46%54%
13–15 Aug 2015Ipsos[104]38%36%16%11%44%56%
11–14 Aug 2015Essential41%38%10%11%48%52%
8–9 Aug 2015Morgan[105]36.5%37%15.5%11%43%57%
8–9 Aug 2015Newspoll[106]39%39%13%9%46%54%
4–7 Aug 2015Essential40%39%11%9%47%53%
6 Aug 2015ReachTel[107]40.2%38.3%12.8%8.7%47%53%
28–31 Jul 2015Essential[108]39%38%12%10%47%53%
30 Jul 2015ReachTel[109]40.6%38%12.9%8.6%47%53%
25–26 Jul 2015Morgan[110]39%35.5%15%10.5%46%54%
16–19 Jul 2015Newspoll[111]40%39%12%9%47%53%
14–17 Jul 2015Essential41%38%11%11%48%52%
11–12 Jul 2015Morgan[112]41.5%34.5%13.5%10.5%49%51%
4–5 Jul 2015Newspoll[113]40%37%13%10%48%52%
2–4 Jul 2015Ipsos[114]39%35%16%10%47%53%
27–28 Jun 2015Morgan[115]39%36%14%11%46.5%53.5%
16 Jun 2015Newspoll[116]40%34%14%12%49%51%
16 Jun 2015Essential42%39%10%9%48%52%
13–14 Jun 2015Morgan[117]37.5%37.5%13.5%11.5%45.5%54.5%
11–13 Jun 2015Ipsos[118]40%37%14%10%47%53%
11–13 Jun 2015Essential41%40%9%10%48%52%
2 Jun 2015Newspoll[119]41%37%13%9%48%52%
2 Jun 2015Essential[120]41%37%13%9%48%52%
23–24, 30–31 May 2015Morgan[121]41%37%13%9%47%53%
26 May 2015Essential[120]41%39%10%9%48%52%
18 May 2015Morgan[122]41.5%35.5%12.5%10.5%49%51%
17 May 2015Ipsos[123]43%35%13%9%50%50%
17 May 2015Newspoll[124]40%37%12%11%47%53%
13 May 2015ReachTel[125]41.1%38.3%12.1%8.6%47%53%
7–10 May 2015Essential[126]41%39%11%10%48%52%
6 May 2015Di Natale replaces Milne as Greens leader
4 May 2015Newspoll[127]39%35%12%14%48%52%
4 May 2015Morgan[128]40%37.5%11.5%11%46.5%53.5%
28 Apr 2015Essential40%39%10%11%47%53%
21 Apr 2015Essential41%39%11%10%48%52%
11–12, 18–19 Apr 2015Morgan[129]38.5%38%12%11%47%53%
14 Apr 2015Essential41%39%10%11%48%52%
10–12 Apr 2015Newspoll[130]41%36%11%12%49%51%
9–11 Apr 2015Ipsos[131]39%38%13%9%46%54%
28–29 Mar, 3–6 Apr 2015Morgan[132]40.5%36%12.5%11%47%53%
29 Mar 2015ReachTEL[133]39.6%40.5%11.5%8.5%46%54%
20–22 Mar 2015Newspoll[134]41%37%11%11%49%51%
14–15, 21–22 Mar 2015Morgan[135]38%40%11%11%44%56%
17 Mar 2015Essential40%39%9%11%48%52%
10 Mar 2015Essential[136]40%40%9%11%47%53%
7–8 Mar 2015Newspoll[137]38%39%12%11%45%55%
28 Feb–1, 7–8 Mar 2015Morgan[138]39%38%12.5%11.5%46.5%53.5%
26–28 Feb 2015Ipsos42%36%12%10%49%51%
20–22 Feb 2015Essential40%41%9%10%47%53%
20–22 Feb 2015Newspoll38%38%12%12%47%53%
6–8 Feb 2015Newspoll35%41%12%12%43%57%
31 Jan–1, 7–8 Feb 2015Morgan35%41%12%12%42.5%57.5%
5 Feb 2015ReachTEL38.4%41.4%11.2%8.9%45%55%
4–5 Feb 2015Galaxy36%43%11%10%43%57%
28–30 Jan 2015Galaxy36%43%11%10%43%57%
27 Jan 2015ReachTEL39.7%40.2%11.3%8.8%46%54%
27 Jan 2015Essential39%41%9%11%46%54%
20 Jan 2015Essential40%40%10%11%47%53%
13 Jan 2015Essential38%40%10%11%46%54%
12 Jan 2015Morgan38.5%38.5%9.5%13.5%45.5%54.5%
23–27 Dec 2014Morgan37.5%39.5%12%11%43.5%56.5%
16 Dec 2014Essential40%38%10%12%48%52%
12–15 Dec 2014Newspoll38%39%12%11%46%54%
6–7, 13–14 Dec 2014Morgan35%41%11.5%12.5%42.5%57.5%
4–6 Dec 2014Ipsos40%37%12%11%48%52%
2–4 Dec 2014Galaxy38%41%11%10%45%55%
2 Dec 2014Essential40%40%9%11%47%53%
29–30 Nov 2014Newspoll37%37%13%13%46%54%
22–23, 29–30 Nov 2014Morgan37%37.5%12%11.5%46.5%53.5%
25 Nov 2014Essential40%39%10%11%48%52%
21 Nov 2014ReachTEL40.2%38.7%11.1%9.9%47%53%
18 Nov 2014Newspoll36%39%11%14%45%55%
17 Nov 2014Essential40%38%10%12%48%52%
17 Nov 2014Morgan38%38.5%12%11.5%44.5%55.5%
11 Nov 2014Essential40%38%10%13%48%52%
4 Nov 2014Newspoll38%36%13%13%46%54%
4 Nov 2014Essential40%38%10%12%48%52%
25–26 Oct, 1–2 Nov 2014Morgan38.5%37.5%12.5%11.5%45.5%54.5%
30 Oct–1 Nov 2014Ipsos42%37%12%10%49%51%
28 Oct 2014Essential39%39%9%12%47%53%
23 Oct 2014ReachTEL40.1%37.5%11.5%10.9%48%52%
21 Oct 2014Essential40%39%10%11%47%53%
21 Oct 2014Newspoll38%34%14%14%47%53%
20 Oct 2014Morgan39.5%35.5%12%13%48%52%
14 Oct 2014Essential41%39%10%10%48%52%
7 Oct 2014Essential40%39%10%11%48%52%
4–5 Oct 2014Morgan40%35%12%13%47%53%
4–5 Oct 2014Galaxy42%36%12%10%49%51%
23 Sep 2014Newspoll41%34%11%14%49%51%
13–14, 20–21 Sep 2014Morgan38.5%37.5%12%12%45.5%54.5%
18 Sep 2014ReachTEL41.6%37.4%10.5%10.5%49%51%
30–31 Aug, 6–7 Sep 2014Morgan38%37%10.5%14.5%46%54%
5–7 Sep 2014Newspoll39%35%14%12%48%52%
22–24 Aug 2014Newspoll40%34%11%15%49%51%
16–17, 23–24 Aug 2014Morgan37.5%38.5%10.5%13.5%44.5%55.5%
19 Aug 2014Essential40%38%9%13%48%52%
9–10 Aug 2014Morgan37.5%38%11%13.5%44%56%
8–10 Aug 2014Newspoll40%34%13%13%48%52%
25–27 Jul 2014Newspoll36%36%12%16%46%54%
11–13 Jul 2014Newspoll36%37%11%16%46%54%
1 Jul 2014Essential[139]40%38%9%13%48%52%
30 Jun 2014Morgan[140]35%36.5%12%16.5%42.5%57.5%
27–29 Jun 2014Newspoll35%37%13%15%45%55%
13–15 Jun 2014Newspoll37%36%10%17%47%53%
30 May–1 Jun 2014Newspoll36%37%12%15%46%54%
27 May 2014Essential[141]40%39%9%12%48%52%
20 May 2014Essential[142]40%40%8%12%48%52%
17–18 May 2014Morgan[143]35%38.5%12%14.5%42.5%57.5%
16–18 May 2014Newspoll36%38%11%15%45%55%
15–17 May 2014Nielsen[144]35%40%14%12%44%56%
4 May 2014Galaxy[145]39%37%11%13%48%52%
2–4 May 2014Newspoll[146]38%34%14%14%47%53%
30 Apr 2014Essential[141]40%38%10%11%48%52%
22 Apr 2014Morgan[147]38.5%34%13%14.5%48%52%
15 Apr 2014Essential[148]42%37%10%11%50%50%
13 Apr 2014Nielsen[149]40%34%17%9%48%52%
8 Apr 2014Essential[150]42%38%9%11%49%51%
7 Apr 2014Morgan[151]38.5%34.5%12%15%48.5%51.5%
4–6 Apr 2014Newspoll[152]43%34%11%12%51%49%
25 Mar 2014Morgan[153]38%38.5%11%12.5%45.5%54.5%
25 Mar 2014Essential[154]44%37%9%11%51%49%
21–23 Mar 2014Newspoll[155]40%36%13%11%48%52%
18 Mar 2014Essential[156]43%36%9%12%51%49%
13–15 Mar 2014Nielsen[157]44%35%12%10%51%49%
7–9 Mar 2014Newspoll41%35%11%13%49%51%
5 Mar 2014Essential[158]44%38%8%10%51%49%
23 Feb 2014Morgan[159]41%35.5%10.5%13%49.5%50.5%
21–23 Feb 2014Newspoll[160]39%39%10%12%46%54%
15 Feb 2014Nielsen[161]44%33%12%11%52%48%
7–9 Feb 2014Newspoll[162]41%35%12%12%49%51%
28 Jan 2014Morgan[163]39.5%37%11.5%12%47%53%
23 Jan 2014ReachTEL39.8%40.6%9.1%9.1%47%53%
17–20 Jan 2014Essential[164]43%37%9%11%51%49%
13 Jan 2014Morgan[165]38%39%10.5%12.5%47.5%52.5%
16 Dec 2013Morgan[166]40.5%38.5%10%11%47.5%52.5%
15 Dec 2013ReachTEL41.4%40.4%8.7%9.5%48%52%
6–8 Dec 2013Newspoll40%38%11%11%48%52%
28 Nov–2 Dec 2013Essential[167]44%36%8%11%52%48%
30 Nov–1 Dec 2013Morgan (multi)[168]41.5%38.5%8.5%12.5%48.5%51.5%
22–24 Nov 2013Newspoll43%35%10%12%52%48%
21–23 Nov 2013Nielsen[169]41%37%11%11%48%52%
8–10 Nov 2013Newspoll45%32%12%11%53%47%
25–27 Oct 2013Newspoll47%31%10%12%56%44%
19–20 Oct 2013Morgan[170]43.5%34.5%10%12%51.5%48.5%
13 Oct 2013Shorten replaces Rudd as Labor leader
21–22 Sep 2013Morgan[171]43.5%34%10.5%12%50.5%49.5%
19–22 Sep 2013Essential[172]43%37%9%11%51%49%
12–15 Sep 2013Essential[172]44%36%9%11%53%47%
7 Sep 20132013 election45.6%33.4%8.7%12.3%53.5%46.5%
4–6 Sep 2013Morgan (multi)45%31.5%9.5%14%54.5%44.5%
5 Sep 2013ReachTEL[173]43.5%33.7%10.2%12.6%53%47%
3–5 Sep 2013Newspoll46%33%9%12%54%46%

Preferred prime minister and satisfaction

DateFirmPreferred prime ministerSatisfiedDissatisfiedSatisfiedDissatisfied
TurnbullShortenTurnbullShorten
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016Newspoll[2]48%31%40%47%36%51%
30 Jun 2016ReachTEL[3]52.9%47.1%
26–29 Jun 2016Ipsos[6]49%35%49%41%42%50%
23–26 Jun 2016Essential[7]40%29%40%40%37%39%
23–26 Jun 2016Newspoll[8]45%30%37%51%35%50%
23 Jun 2016ReachTEL[9]58.4%41.6%
16–19 Jun 2016Newspoll[13]46%31%36%51%35%51%
16 Jun 2016ReachTEL[14]57.6%42.4%
14–16 Jun 2016Ipsos[15]48%34%47%42%43%47%
9–12 Jun 2016Essential[16]40%29%38%40%34%40%
9 Jun 2016ReachTEL[17]55.4%44.6%
2–5 Jun 2016Newspoll[19]45%30%37%51%33%52%
2 Jun 2016ReachTEL[20]55.6%44.4%
31 May – 2 Jun 2016Ipsos[21]49%31%45%42%41%47%
26–29 May 2016Essential[22]40%27%41%39%34%44%
26 May 2016ReachTEL[24]54.9%45.1%
19–22 May 2016Newspoll[26]46%31%38%50%37%49%
19 May 2016ReachTEL[27]55.6%44.4%
17–19 May 2016Ipsos[28]47%30%48%38%40%46%
12–15 May 2016Essential[30]43%28%40%42%34%43%
5–8 May 2016Newspoll[33]49%27%38%49%33%52%
5–7 May 2016Ipsos[33]51%29%48%40%38%49%
5 May 2016ReachTEL[35]57.7%42.3%
4–5 May 2016Morgan57%24%43%41%34%49%
14–17 Apr 2016Newspoll[39]47%28%36%49%31%52%
14–16 Apr 2016Ipsos[42]54%27%51%38%33%55%
14 Apr 2016ReachTEL[43]58.4%41.6%
Apr 2016Essential[44]44%22%39%39%30%44%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2016Newspoll[45]48%27%38%48%32%53%
Mar 2016Essential[44]48%19%45%35%27%47%
21 Mar 2016ReachTEL[35]60.0%40.0%
10–12 Mar 2016Ipsos[51]61%24%55%32%33%52%
3–6 Mar 2016Newspoll[52]55%21%44%41%30%55%
Feb 2016Essential[61]52%15%51%27%27%48%
18–21 Feb 2016Newspoll[56]55%21%48%38%28%57%
11–13 Feb 2016Ipsos[59]64%19%62%24%30%55%
11 Feb 2016ReachTEL[60]74.9%25.1%
Jan 2016Essential[61]51%18%51%25%27%47%
28–31 Jan 2016Newspoll[63]59%20%53%31%25%60%
Dec 2015Essential[61]54%15%56%23%27%47%
4–6 Dec 2015Newspoll[71]60%14%52%30%23%61%
Nov 2015Essential[79]55%14%56%20%27%47%
26 Nov 2015ReachTEL[74]71.4%28.6%
19–22 Nov 2015Newspoll[76]64%15%60%22%26%57%
12–14 Nov 2015Ipsos[78]69%18%69%16%29%57%
6–8 Nov 2015Newspoll[80]55%14%56%20%27%47%
Oct 2015Essential48%19%47%17%30%42%
23–25 Oct 2015Newspoll[174]63%17%58%23%26%58%
20–22 Oct 2015Morgan[175]76%14%66%18%25%62%
15–17 Oct 2015Ipsos[87]67%21%68%17%32%56%
9–11 Oct 2015Newspoll57%19%50%25%28%53%
Sep 2015Essential53%17%N/AN/A29%50%
17–20 Sep 2015Newspoll55%21%42%24%29%54%
15–16 Sep 2015Galaxy[95]51%20%
15 Sep 2015ReachTEL[96]61.9%38.1%
15 Sep 2015Morgan70%24%
AbbottShortenAbbottShorten
4–6 Sep 2015Newspoll37%41%30%63%30%58%
27 Aug 2015ReachTEL[101]42.1%57.9%
20–23 Aug 2015Newspoll[103]35%40%30%63%34%52%
13–15 Aug 2015Ipsos39%45%35%59%39%49%
11 Aug 2015Essential36%32%38%53%29%52%
9 Aug 2015Newspoll39%39%33%61%29%57%
6 Aug 2015ReachTEL41.5%58.5%
31 Jul 2015ReachTEL44.9%55.1%
16–19 Jul 2015Newspoll[111]39%36%33%60%27%59%
7 Jul 2015Essential37%30%37%53%27%52%
6 Jul 2015Newspoll39%39%33%60%28%56%
11–13 Jun 2015Newspoll[116]41%38%34%56%28%54%
11–13 Jun 2015Ipsos[118]41%42%
2 Jun 2015Essential38%33%39%50%32%45%
2 Jun 2015Newspoll[119]41%37%38%53%32%50%
17 May 2015Ipsos[123]44%39%42%50%41%45%
17 May 2015Newspoll[124]41%40%39%52%35%46%
12 Apr 2015Essential35%32%36%54%32%41%
5 Apr 2015Newspoll[127]38%38%37%56%34%50%
27 Apr 2015Morgan44%39%37%53%34%48%
14 Apr 2015Essential33%35%33%58%33%42%
10–12 Apr 2015Newspoll[130]40%41%33%59%33%51%
9–11 Apr 2015Ipsos[131]38%46%34%60%42%44%
20–22 Mar 2015Newspoll[134]36%41%29%61%36%47%
7–8 Mar 2015Newspoll[137]33%44%28%63%39%42%
26–28 Feb 2015Ipsos39%44%32%62%43%43%
20–22 Feb 2015Newspoll35%43%25%68%35%49%
6–8 Feb 2015Newspoll30%48%24%68%42%40%
1 Feb 2015Galaxy27%44%
28–30 Jan 2015Galaxy27%44%
14 Jan 2015Morgan41%43%37%52%37%40%
13 Jan 2015Essential35%37%37%53%39%33%
28–30 Nov 2014Newspoll37%44%33%58%37%43%
4–6 Dec 2014Ipsos39%47%
28–30 Nov 2014Newspoll36%43%33%57%39%43%
18 Nov 2014Newspoll37%43%36%55%39%41%
11 Nov 2014Essential36%34%39%50%37%38%
4 Nov 2014Newspoll39%38%37%52%37%45%
30 Oct–1 Nov 2014Ipsos41%41%42%49%43%40%
21 Oct 2014Newspoll39%38%38%53%35%46%
14 Oct 2014Essential38%32%40%48%35%36%
23 Sep 2014Newspoll41%37%41%52%38%43%
5–7 Sep 2014Newspoll37%37%35%54%36%43%
22–24 Aug 2014Newspoll39%40%36%55%40%39%
8–10 Aug 2014Newspoll41%37%36%54%36%44%
25–27 Jul 2014Newspoll38%38%36%53%38%41%
11–13 Jul 2014Newspoll36%41%31%60%34%43%
27–29 Jun 2014Newspoll34%44%31%62%34%41%
13–15 Jun 2014Newspoll37%40%30%61%34%45%
30 May – 1 Jun 2014Newspoll35%45%33%59%38%43%
16–18 May 2014Newspoll34%44%30%60%42%39%
15–17 May 2014Nielsen40%51%34%62%47%39%
2–4 May 2014Newspoll40%38%35%56%35%41%
13 Apr 2014Nielsen45%44%43%50%43%41%
8 Apr 2014Essential42%32%41%47%34%38%
4–6 Apr 2014Newspoll41%33%40%47%31%42%
21–23 Mar 2014Newspoll43%36%40%50%36%43%
13–15 Mar 2014Nielsen48%43%45%49%42%42%
7–9 Mar 2014Newspoll42%36%38%50%33%43%
21–23 Feb 2014Newspoll[160]38%37%36%52%35%39%
15 Feb 2014Nielsen[160]49%39%45%47%40%40%
7–9 Feb 2014Newspoll41%33%40%45%35%35%
6–8 Dec 2013Newspoll41%34%40%45%44%27%
22–24 Nov 2013Newspoll44%33%42%42%39%27%
21–23 Nov 2013Nielsen[169]49%41%47%46%51%30%
8–10 Nov 2013Newspoll46%30%45%38%37%24%
25–27 Oct 2013Newspoll47%28%47%34%32%24%
2013 election––––––
3–5 Sep 2013Newspoll45%44%50%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

Individual seat polling

Notes

References

Retrieved from "https:https://www.search.com.vn/wiki/index.php?lang=en&q=Opinion_polling_for_the_2016_Australian_federal_election&oldid=1176195656"
🔥 Top keywords: Main PageSpecial:SearchWikipedia:Featured picturesYasukeHarrison ButkerRobert FicoBridgertonCleopatraDeaths in 2024Joyce VincentXXXTentacionHank AdamsIt Ends with UsYouTubeNew Caledonia2024 Indian general electionHeeramandiDarren DutchyshenSlovakiaKingdom of the Planet of the ApesAttempted assassination of Robert FicoLawrence WongBaby ReindeerXXX: Return of Xander CageThelma HoustonFuriosa: A Mad Max SagaMegalopolis (film)Richard GaddKepler's SupernovaWicked (musical)Sunil ChhetriXXX (2002 film)Ashley MadisonAnya Taylor-JoyPlanet of the ApesNava MauYoung SheldonPortal:Current eventsX-Men '97