2012 Vermont gubernatorial election
(Redirected from Vermont gubernatorial election, 2012)
The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority.
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   Shumlin: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Brock: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic nomination
Candidates
- Peter Shumlin, incumbent[1]
Republican nomination
Candidates
- Randy Brock, state senator and former state auditor[2][3]
Declined
- Brian Dubie, former lieutenant governor and 2010 gubernatorial nominee[2]
- Thom Lauzon, mayor of Barre[4]
- Patricia McDonald, Vermont Republican Party Chairwoman and former state representative[2]
- Roy Newton, newspaper publisher (did not file)[5]
- Tom Salmon, state auditor[6]
- Phil Scott, lieutenant governor[3]
- Mark Snelling, 2010 candidate for lieutenant governor and son of former governor Richard Snelling[2]
Progressive nomination
Candidates
- Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party[7] (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)
General election
Candidates
- Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
- Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
- Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate[8]
- Emily Peyton (Independent)[9]
- Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Solid D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[13] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Randy Brock (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castleton Polling | August 11–21, 2012 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 60% | 26% | 13% |
| Vermont Business Magazine | May 7–16, 2012 | 607 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 27% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Brian Dubie (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Thom Lauzon (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Tom Salmon (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 31% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Phil Scott (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Shumlin (D) | Mark Snelling (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 29% | 21% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Shumlin (incumbent) | 170,749 | 57.80% | +8.36% | |
| Republican | Randy Brock | 110,940 | 37.55% | -10.14% | |
| Independent | Emily Peyton | 5,868 | 1.99% | +1.71% | |
| Marijuana | Cris Ericson | 5,583 | 1.89% | +1.14% | |
| Liberty Union | Dave Eagle | 1,303 | 0.44% | +0.26% | |
| Write-in | 969 | 0.33% | +0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 295,412 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Grand Isle (largest municipality: Alburgh)
- Lamoille (largest municipality: Morristown)
- Rutland (largest municipality: Rutland)
See also
References
External links
- Elections and Campaign Finance Division at the Vermont Secretary of State
- Campaign sites (Archived)
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