2007 Canarian regional election

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Canary Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Canary Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Canarian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Government.^[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 60 members of the Parliament of the Canary Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of 30 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties could also enter the seat distribution as long as they reached six percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife. Each constituency was allocated a fixed number of seats: 3 for El Hierro, 7 for Fuerteventura, 15 for Gran Canaria, 4 for La Gomera, 8 for La Palma, 8 for Lanzarote and 15 for Tenerife.^[1]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.^[2][3][4]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 May 2007.^[1][2][3][4]

The Parliament of the Canary Islands could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.^[1]

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 31 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout				PIL			Lead
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	61.3	24.2 19	24.0 15	34.5 26	1.0 0	0.7 0	5.4 0	10.3
Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA[p 1]	27 May 2007	?	?	21.0 14/16	24.0 17/20	36.0 25/28	–	–	–	12.0
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[p 2]	20 May 2007	?	?	? 21	? 16/17	? 22/23	–	–	–	?
Demométrica/Canarias7[p 3][p 4]	19 May 2007	?	?	25.9 19/22	26.9 14/18	33.3 21/24	2.3 0	–	6.1 0/2	6.4
Opina/El País[p 5][p 6]	14–17 May 2007	?	?	23.0 16/17	30.0 17	37.5 24/25	2.5 2	–	–	7.5
Celeste-Tel/Terra[p 7][p 8]	9–15 May 2007	?	?	26.3 19	29.6 18	30.9 21/22	? 1/2	2.1 0	–	1.3
Opina/Cadena SER[p 9][p 10]	11 May 2007	1,200	?	23.0 16/17	30.0 17	36.0 23/24	3.0 3	–	–	6.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 11][p 12]	27 Apr–8 May 2007	1,200	?	27.8 19/22	30.2 16/19	31.5 18/23	2.9 0/3	–	2.4 0	1.3
CIS[p 13][p 14]	9 Apr–6 May 2007	1,785	?	25.0 19/20	28.3 18/19	29.3 22	–	2.5 0	2.8 0	1.0
PSOE[p 15]	18–23 Feb 2007	2,500	?	? 18	? 15	? 26	–	–	? 1	?
Demométrica/Canarias7[p 16][p 17]	9–24 Jan 2007	3,200	?	? 16/18	? 15/17	? 22/25	? 0/2	–	? 2	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 18][p 19][p 20]	16–24 Nov 2006	?	?	? 19/22	? 16/19	? 19/22	? 0/3	–	–	?
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[p 21]	2–11 Nov 2006	1,920	?	23.5 18	25.8 15/16	36.7 24/25	? 0/1	–	? 2	10.9
Demométrica/Canarias7[p 22]	19 Apr–9 May 2006	?	?	? 17/18	? 16/18	? 23/25	? 0	–	? 2	?
TNS Demoscopia/CC[p 23][p 24][p 25]	25 Nov–3 Dec 2005	2,006	?	34.3 24/25	29.0 18	26.9 17/18	–	1.7 0	–	5.3
2004 EP election	13 Jun 2004	—	36.5	16.9	40.0	38.5	–	1.8	–	1.5
2004 general election	14 Mar 2004	—	66.7	24.3	35.4	34.5	–	1.9	–	0.9
2003 regional election	25 May 2003	—	64.6	32.9 23	30.6 17	25.4 17	1.4 3	1.3 0	–	2.3

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	322,833	34.51	+9.09	26	+9
	Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party (CC–PNC)1	225,878	24.15	–12.12	19	–4
	People's Party (PP)	224,883	24.04	–6.57	15	–2
	New Canaries (NCa)	50,749	5.43	New	0	±0
	Canarian Centre (CCN)2	46,676	4.99	+3.58	0	–3
	The Greens (Verdes)	17,793	1.90	–0.08	0	±0
	Commitment to Gran Canaria (CGCa)	8,512	0.91	New	0	±0
	Canarian United Left (IUC)	6,558	0.70	–0.61	0	±0
	Canarian Popular Alternative–25 May Citizens' Alternative (APCa–AC25M)3	4,824	0.52	–0.50	0	±0
	Canarian Nationalist Alternative (ANC)	2,539	0.27	New	0	±0
	Unity of the People (UP)	1,485	0.16	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC)	1,338	0.14	–0.05	0	±0
	Nationalist Maga Alternative (AMAGA)	1,079	0.12	New	0	±0
	Party of Gran Canaria (PGC)	1,073	0.11	New	0	±0
	Centre Coalition (CCCAN)	1,006	0.11	New	0	±0
	Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC)	888	0.09	New	0	±0
	Alternative Island (ISAL)	870	0.09	New	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	777	0.08	–0.06	0	±0
	Citizens' Union–Independent Progressives of Canaries (UC–PIC)	557	0.06	New	0	±0
	Commitment to Tenerife (CTF)	466	0.05	New	0	±0
	The Phalanx (FE)	327	0.03	New	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	302	0.03	–0.01	0	±0
	Citizens' Initiative for Fuerteventura (ICF)	286	0.03	New	0	±0
	Pensionist Assembly of the Canaries (TPC)	280	0.03	–0.02	0	±0
	Canarian Nationalist Party (PNC)4	244	0.03	–0.02	0	±0
Blank ballots		13,237	1.42	+0.14
Total		935,460			60	±0
Valid votes		935,460	99.43	–0.01
Invalid votes		5,392	0.57	+0.01
Votes cast / turnout		940,852	61.27	–3.35
Abstentions		594,851	38.73	+3.35
Registered voters		1,535,703
Sources[5][6][7][8]
Footnotes: 1 Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party results are compared to the combined totals of Canarian Coalition and Canarian Nationalist Federation in Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera and Tenerife in the 2003 election. 2 Canarian Centre results are compared to Canarian Nationalist Federation totals in Lanzarote in the 2003 election. 3 Canarian Popular Alternative–25 May Citizens' Alternative results are compared to the combined totals of Canarian Popular Alternative and 25 May Citizens' Alternative in the 2003 election. 4 Canarian Nationalist Party results are compared to Canarian Nationalist Federation totals in El Hierro in the 2003 election.

Distribution by constituency

Opinion poll sources

Other