2018 Georgia Secretary of State election

The 2018 Georgia Secretary of State election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Georgia. It was held concurrently with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as elections for the United States Senate and elections for the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican Incumbent Secretary of State Brian Kemp chose not to run for re-election and instead ran successfully for governor.[1] Since no candidate received the requisite 50 percent of the vote, the top two candidates, Democrat John Barrow and Republican Brad Raffensperger proceeded to a runoff on December 4, 2018.[2]

2018 Georgia Secretary of State election

← 2014November 6, 2018 (general)
December 4, 2018 (runoff)
2022 →
Turnout61.44% Increase (first round)
22.98% Decrease (runoff)
 
NomineeBrad RaffenspergerJohn Barrow
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
First round1,906,588
49.09%
1,890,310
48.67%
Runoff764,855
51.89%
709,049
48.11%

Raffensperger:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Barrow:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%

Secretary of State before election

Brian Kemp
Republican

Elected Secretary of State

Brad Raffensperger
Republican

At 22.98%, the runoff saw the lowest voter turnout out of any Georgia statewide election since the senate runoff of 1992.

In the runoff election, Raffensperger unexpectedly flipped rural counties Sumter and Warren, which were reliably Democratic counties that have not voted Republican on the presidential levels since 1972 for Warren, and 2004 for Sumter. However, both counties have been trending Republican in recent elections. Raffensperger also flipped Atlanta suburban counties Cobb and Newton, which have been trending away from Republicans in recent elections. As of 2022, this was the last time Cobb and Newton went Republican in a statewide race in Georgia.

Georgia has been a Republican triplex since 2011, meaning that its governor, attorney general, and secretary of state have all been members of the same party. The state maintained that status following this election, as Republicans won every statewide office. This was the first time in Georgia state history that any statewide executive election went to a second round.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

David Belle Isle

[10]

Buzz Brockway
State Representatives

First round

Results

Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrad Raffensperger 185,386 34.96%
RepublicanDavid Belle Isle 151,328 28.54%
RepublicanJoshua McKoon112,11321.14%
RepublicanBuzz Brockway81,49215.37%
Total votes530,319 100.00%

Runoff

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Belle Isle
Brad
Raffensperger
Undecided
Rosetta StoneJune 7, 2018400± 4.9%24%42%34%

Results

Republican primary runoff results[13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrad Raffensperger 331,127 61.74%
RepublicanDavid Belle Isle205,22338.26%
Total votes536,350 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Barrow 264,864 51.48%
DemocraticDee Dawkins-Haigler151,96329.54%
DemocraticRJ Hadley97,68218.99%
Total votes514,509 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • J. Smythe DuVal, registered nurse and medical I.T. entrepreneur[18]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Governing magazine[19]Lean RJune 4, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brad
Raffensperger (R)
John
Barrow (D)
Smythe
DuVal (L)
Undecided
20/20 Insights (D-Southern Majority)October 31 – November 2, 2018614± 4.0%42%48%3%7%
Cygnal (R)October 27–30, 2018467± 4.4%47%45%6%2%
University of GeorgiaSeptember 30 – October 9, 20181,232± 2.8%41%37%6%15%
Public Policy PollingOctober 5–6, 2018729± 3.0%43%41%16%
Gravis MarketingJuly 27–29, 2018650± 3.8%41%45%15%

Results

2018 Georgia Secretary of State election[20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBrad Raffensperger 1,906,588 49.09% −8.38
DemocraticJohn Barrow 1,890,310 48.67% +6.14
LibertarianSmythe DuVal86,6962.23%N/A
Total votes3,883,594 100.0%

Runoff

2018 Georgia Secretary of State runoff election[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBrad Raffensperger 764,855 51.89% −5.58
DemocraticJohn Barrow709,04948.11%+5.58
Total votes1,473,904 100.0%
Republican hold

References

Official campaign websites