2020 Toronto Centre federal by-election

A by-election was held in the federal riding of Toronto Centre in Ontario on October 26, 2020, following the resignation of incumbent Liberal MP and Minister of Finance Bill Morneau. After 5 years in Parliament, and as many years as finance minister, Morneau resigned both positions on August 17, 2020, to seek the position of secretary-general of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), in the wake of the WE Charity scandal.[1][2]

2020 Toronto Centre federal by-election

October 26, 2020 (2020-10-26)2021 →

Riding of Toronto Centre
Turnout30.96% (Decrease 35.12pp)
 First partySecond party
 
LPC
CandidateMarci IenAnnamie Paul
PartyLiberalGreen
Popular vote10,5818,250
Percentage41.98%32.73%
SwingDecrease 15.39ppIncrease 25.66pp

 Third partyFourth party
 
NDP
CPC
CandidateBrian ChangBenjamin Gauri Sharma
PartyNew DemocraticConservative
Popular vote4,2801,435
Percentage16.98%5.69%
SwingDecrease 5.29ppDecrease 6.44pp

Results by Advance Polling Divisions

MP before election

Bill Morneau
Liberal

Elected MP

Marci Ien
Liberal

The seat was held for the Liberals by journalist Marci Ien on a much reduced majority, as a result of the scandal and a strong campaign fought by Annamie Paul, the new Leader of the Green Party. The Greens finished with a historic high share of the vote in the riding.[3]

It was held on the same day as the by-election in nearby York Centre.

Background

Constituency

Toronto Centre is an urban constituency at the centre of Toronto. The constituency covers the heart of Downtown Toronto and contains diverse areas such as Regent Park, St. James Town, Cabbagetown, and Church and Wellesley.

The riding also contains Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), The Toronto Eaton Centre and part of the city's financial district (the east side of Bay Street). Toronto Centre is the geographically smallest and has the highest population density of any riding in Canada.[4]

Representation

Toronto Centre has been a safe seat for the Liberal Party of Canada since 1993. Former MPs include Bill Graham and Bob Rae, both former interim leaders of the Liberal Party.

Bill Morneau became the MP for Toronto Centre at the 2015 election, and immediately joined the 29th Canadian Ministry as Minister of Finance under Justin Trudeau. He was re-elected with a marginally increased majority in 2019.

Morneau resigned due to the WE Charity scandal, standing down as both finance minister and a Member of Parliament.[1][2]

Campaign

It was announced on September 17 that broadcast journalist Marci Ien, co-host of The Social and former co-anchor of Canada AM, was appointed as the Liberal candidate.[5]

New Democrat Brian Chang, who had been the party's candidate in 2019, won the party's nomination over Caleb Chapman, Walied Khogali Ali, and Sebastian Mendoza-Price.[citation needed]

The Conservatives initially nominated Ryan Lester, who later withdrew and was replaced by Benjamin Sharma,[6] who previously ran for the party in the 2014 Trinity—Spadina by-election.

The Greens nominated newly elected leader Annamie Paul, who previously ran in the riding for the Greens in the 2019 election. At the time of her nomination, Paul was a candidate in the party's leadership election, and received the party's permission to run in the byelection.[7][8]

Baljit Bawa announced himself as the People's Party of Canada candidate[9] after Maxime Bernier chose to run in York Centre.[10]

The leader of the provincial Ontario Libertarian Party, Keith Komar, canvassed to get enough signatures to be on the federal Toronto Centre ballot.[11]

Perennial candidate Kevin Clarke registered as an Independent candidate.[12]

Perennial candidate Dwayne Cappelletti registered as a candidate for Free Party Canada,[12] the final requirement for becoming a registered political party.

Perennial candidate Above Znoneofthe, a member of None of the Above Direct Democracy Party, registered as No Affiliation[12] by leaving the party affiliation box on his registration papers blank.

Rhinoceros Party leader Sébastien CoRhino announced via Twitter that the party had a candidate in Toronto Centre and was looking for one in York Centre.[13] The declared candidate for Toronto Centre, Sean Carson, did not appear on the list of confirmed candidates after the registration deadline.[12]

The Speaker's warrant regarding the vacancy was received on August 24, 2020; under the Parliament of Canada Act the writ for a by-election had to be dropped no later than February 20, 2021, 180 days after the Chief Electoral Officer was officially notified of the vacancy via a warrant issued by the Speaker.[14] Under the Canada Elections Act, the minimum length of a campaign is 36 days between dropping the writ and election day.[14]

Results

Canadian federal by-election, October 26, 2020: Toronto Centre
Resignation of Bill Morneau
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalMarci Ien10,58142.0-15.4$116,839[citation needed]
GreenAnnamie Paul8,25032.7+25.6$100,008[citation needed]
New DemocraticBrian Chang4,28017.0-5.3$71,222[citation needed]
ConservativeBenjamin Gauri Sharma1,4355.7-6.4$0[citation needed]
People'sBaljit Bawa2691.1$22,752[citation needed]
LibertarianKeith Komar1350.5
IndependentKevin Clarke1230.5
FreeDwayne Cappelletti760.3$1,570[citation needed]
No affiliationAbove Znoneofthe560.2$0[citation needed]
Total valid votes25,205100.0
Total rejected ballots1180.5-0.2
Turnout25,32330.9-35.2
Electors on lists81,861
Liberal holdSwing-20.5
Elections Canada[15][16]

Note: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections Canada.[12]

2019 result

2019 Canadian federal election: Toronto Centre
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalBill Morneau31,27157.37-0.53$95,538.84
New DemocraticBrian Chang12,14222.27-4.34$58,656.81
ConservativeRyan Lester6,61312.13-0.06$39,309.94
GreenAnnamie Paul3,8527.07+4.47$34,903.20
Animal ProtectionRob Lewin1820.33$2,171.71
RhinocerosSean Carson1470.27
IndependentJason Tavares1260.23
CommunistBronwyn Cragg1250.23-0.03$626.58
Marxist–LeninistPhilip Fernandez540.10-0.05
Total valid votes/Expense limit54,51299.30$107,308.65
Total rejected ballots3840.70+0.18
Turnout54,89666.08-3.27
Eligible voters83,076
Source: Elections Canada[17][18]
Liberal holdSwing+1.90

References