2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

2024 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
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← 2022 2026 →
Incumbent U.S. Representative; Matt Rosendale; Republican	; ;

2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election
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← 2022 2026 →
Incumbent U.S. Representative; Ryan Zinke; Republican	; ;

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Montana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for June 4, 2024.

District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Kalispell, Bozeman and Butte. The incumbent is Republican Ryan Zinke, who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022.^[1] He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but chose not to do so.^[2]

Republican primary

Declared

Mary Todd, innkeeper and candidate for this district in 2022^[3]
Ryan Zinke, incumbent U.S. representative^[4]

Endorsements

Ryan Zinke

Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States^[5]
John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)^[6]

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Mary Todd (R)	$74,625	$40,669	$33,956
Ryan Zinke (R)	$5,068,934	$2,848,404	$2,330,578
Source: Federal Election Commission^[10]

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Mary Todd
	Republican	Ryan Zinke (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

Monica Tranel, lawyer, former Olympic rower, and nominee for this district in 2022^[4]

Endorsements

Monica Tranel

U.S. representatives

Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)^[11]
Annie Kuster, U.S. representative for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)^[12]
Pat Ryan, U.S. representative for New York's 18th congressional district (2023–present)^[12]

Statewide officials

Brian Schweitzer, former governor of Montana (2005–2013)^[13]

State legislators

Dave Fern, state representative from the 5th district (2017–present)^[13]
Shannon O'Brien, state senator from the 46th district (2021–present)^[14]

Organizations

Labor unions

National Education Association^[23]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Monica Tranel (D)	$1,955,947	$609,761	$135,072
Source: Federal Election Commission^[10]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Monica Tranel
Total votes

Libertarian primary

Declared

Dennis Hayes, remodeling contractor^[3]
Ernie Noble, construction worker^[3]

Results

Libertarian primary results
Party		Candidate
	Libertarian	Dennis Hayes
	Libertarian	Ernie Noble
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[24]	Likely R	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections^[25]	Lean R	September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[26]	Lean R	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily^[27]	Lean R	September 7, 2023
CNalysis^[28]	Lean R	November 16, 2023

Results

Montana's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party		Candidate
	Republican	TBD
	Democratic	Monica Tranel
	Libertarian	TBD
Total votes

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. The incumbent is Republican Matt Rosendale, who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022.^[1] He announced in February 2024 that he would run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but dropped out of the race one week later.^[29] On March 8, 2024, Rosendale announced that he would not be seeking any office in 2024.^[30]

Republican primary

Declared

Elsie Arntzen, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction^[31]
Kyle Austin, pharmacist and candidate for this district in 2022^[3]
Kenneth Bogner, President pro tempore of the Montana Senate^[32]
Troy Downing, Montana State Auditor^[33]
Ric Holden, former state senator^[34]
Joel Krautter, former state representative^[34]
Denny Rehberg, former U.S. Representative for the at-large district (2001–2013), former Lieutenant Governor of Montana (1991–1997), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012^[35]
Stacy Zinn, retired DEA agent^[36]

Withdrawn

Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. Representative^[30]
Ed Walker, former state senator and candidate for the at-large district in 2017 (remained on ballot)^[37]

Endorsements

Elsie Arntzen

U.S. representatives

Bob Good, chair of the Freedom Caucus (2024–present) and VA-05 (2021–present)^[38]
Harriet Hageman, WY-AL (2023–present)^[37]

Organizations

House Freedom Fund^[39]

Ken Bogner

Executive Branch officials

Thomas Homan, Acting Director of the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (2017–2018)^[37]

Troy Downing

U.S. representatives

Derrick Van Orden, WI-03 (2023–present)^[37]

Organizations

With Honor Fund^[40]

Joel Krautter

Labor unions

Declined to endorse

U.S. representatives

Matt Rosendale, MT-02 (2021–present)^[37]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Elsie Arntzen (R)	$799,284^[a]	$430,436	$368,848
Kenneth Bogner (R)	$39,074	$29,304	$9,770
Troy Downing (R)	$955,324^[b]	$630,111	$325,213
Ric Holden (R)	$40,759^[c]	$28,530	$12,230
Joel Krautter (R)	$64,561^[d]	$42,301	$22,260
Stacy Zinn (R)	$26,589	$2,169	$24,420
Matt Rosendale (R)^[e]	$1,066,930	$1,060,012	$1,224,692
Edward Walker (R)^[e]	$113,937^[f]	$69,743	$44,195
Source: Federal Election Commission^[41]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Elsie Arntzen	Kenneth Bogner	Troy Downing	Ric Holden	Denny Rehberg	Stacey Zinn	Other	Undecided
Cygnal (R)^[A]	May 8–9, 2024	410 (LV)	± 4.8%	5%	4%	28%	2%	12%	8%	3%^[h]	40%
Guidant Polling & Strategy^[B]	April 14–17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	10%	–	38%	–	26%	–	–	27%
Cygnal (R)^[A]	April 15–16, 2024	415 (LV)	± 4.8%	7%	4%	21%	1%	11%	3%	3%^[i]	51%
Moore Information^[C]	February 1, 2024	500 (LV)	–	5%	3%	16%	2%	26%	2%	9%^[j]	37%

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Elsie Arntzen
	Republican	Kyle Austin
	Republican	Kenneth Bogner
	Republican	Troy Downing
	Republican	Ric Holden
	Republican	Joel Krautter
	Republican	Denny Rehberg
	Republican	Ed Walker (withdrawn)
	Republican	Stacy Zinn
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared

Ming Cabrera, salesman^[42]
John Driscoll, former member of the Montana Public Service Commission and perennial candidate^[3]
Kevin Hamm, IT consultant^[43]
Steve Held, actor and rancher^[3]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Ming Cabrera (D)	$55,570^[k]	$34,702	$20,868
Kevin Hamm (D)	$52,577	$49,404	$3,172
Steve Held (D)	$46,223^[l]	$7,255	$38,968
Source: Federal Election Commission^[41]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate
	Democratic	Ming Cabrera
	Democratic	John Driscoll
	Democratic	Kevin Hamm
	Democratic	Steve Held
Total votes

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[24]	Solid R	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections^[25]	Solid R	September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[26]	Safe R	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily^[27]	Safe R	September 7, 2023
CNalysis^[28]	Solid R	November 16, 2023

Results

Montana's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party		Candidate
	Republican	TBD
	Democratic	TBD
Total votes

Notes

Partisan clients

References

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

Contents

District 1

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Libertarian primary

Declared

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 2

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

Notes

References

External links