Since the previous elections in 2016, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2021 Peruvian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order. The first round of the election was held on 11 April, and the run-off between Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Castillo was held on 6 June 2021.
Analysis
The primary candidates in Peruvian elections typically become apparent two months prior to elections.[1] In the first wave of support, Yonhy Lescano saw initial support, though he was surpassed by Rafael López Aliaga, a far-right businessman whose speech was similar to Catholic extremism.[2] López Aliaga's support waned following his poor debate performance, leading to neoliberal economist and advisor to Alberto Fujimori, Hernando de Soto, receiving additional support from the recently emerged middle class, though critics believed de Soto would continue Fujimori's controversial policies.[2]
Two weeks before the election, Keiko Fujimori, who was initially discounted due to corruption allegations and brief imprisonment, became among the most popular among poll respondents following her performance in debates.[2] However, during the election silence period that prevented the publishing of opinion polls, Pedro Castillo saw a dramatic jump in approval, though this support was not permitted to be documented.[2]
Presidential election (run-off)
The following graph shows the weighted polls and does not count voting simulations
Voting simulations
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo | Keiko Fujimori | Blank / None | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election results | 6 June 2021 | N/A | 50.13 | 49.87 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[3] (Valid votes) | 28 May 2021 | 1,517 | 50.1 | 49.9 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[4] (Cast votes) | 45.1 | 43.1 | 11.8 | ||||||||||||||||||
| CIT/Expreso[5] (Valid votes) | 27–28 May 2021 | 2,400 | 49.3 | 50.7 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| CIT/Expreso[5] (Cast votes) | 40.6 | 41.7 | 17.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
| CPI/América[6] (Valid votes) | 26–28 May 2021 | 1,400 | 50.5 | 49.5 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| CPI/América[6] (Cast votes) | 41.0 | 40.2 | 18.8 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[7] (Valid votes) | 25–27 May 2021 | 1,201 | 50.5 | 49.5 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[7] (Cast votes) | 42.6 | 41.7 | 15.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
| CIT/Expreso[8] (Valid votes) | 21–22 May 2021 | 1,600 | 51.1 | 48.9 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| CIT/Expreso[8] (Cast votes) | 41.9 | 40.0 | 18.1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[9] (Valid votes) | 21 May 2021 | 1,200 | 52.6 | 47.4 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[9] (Cast votes) | 45.0 | 40.7 | 14.3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[10] (Valid votes) | 18–20 May 2021 | 1,201 | 53.2 | 46.8 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[10] (Cast votes) | 45.5 | 40.1 | 14.4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[11] (Valid votes) | 13–14 May 2021 | 1,205 | 51.1 | 48.9 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[11] (Cast votes) | 43.6 | 41.7 | 14.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[12] (Valid votes) | 12–13 May 2021 | 1,201 | 51 | 49 | N/A | ||||||||||||||||
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[12] (Cast votes) | 44 | 41 | 15 | ||||||||||||||||||
Electoral polls
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo | Keiko Fujimori | Blank / None | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election results | 6 June 2021 | N/A | 50.1 | 49.9 | |||
| Ipsos[13] | 5 June 2021 | 5,117 | 44.1 | 44.8 | 11.1 | ||
| IEP[14] | 2–4 June 2021 | 2,057 | 40.8 | 40.9 | 11.5 | 6.8 | |
| IDICE/La Razón[15] | 28–29 May 2021 | 1,200 | 43.9 | 47.8 | 6.0 | 2.3 | |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[4] | 28 May 2021 | 1,526 | 42 | 40 | 10 | 8 | |
| IEP/La Republica[16] | 27–28 May 2021 | 1,227 | 40.3 | 38.3 | 13.0 | 8.3 | |
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[7] | 25–27 May 2021 | 1,201 | 41.6 | 41.5 | 10.9 | 6.0 | |
| IEP/La Republica[17] | 20–21 May 2021 | 1,208 | 44.8 | 34.4 | 12.8 | 5.8 | |
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[10] | 18–20 May 2021 | 1,201 | 44.9 | 40.1 | 9.2 | 5.8 | |
| IDICE/La Razón[18] | 18–19 May 2021 | 1,200 | 42.0 | 45.4 | 7.7 | 4.9 | |
| IEP/La Republica[19] | 13–15 May 2021 | 1,246 | 36.5 | 29.6 | 23.6 | 10.3 | |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[11] | 13–14 May 2021 | 1,205 | 40 | 37 | 14 | 19 | |
| CPI/América[20] | 12–14 May 2021 | 1,600 | 34.2 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | |
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[12] | 12–13 May 2021 | 1,201 | 42 | 40 | 11 | 7 | |
| CIT/Expreso[21] | 7–8 May 2021 | 2,400 | 38.2 | 37.3 | 12.6 | 11.9 | |
| CPI/RPP[22] | 6–8 May 2021 | 1,600 | 34.2 | 32.0 | 18.5 | 15.3 | |
| IEP/La Republica[23] | 3–6 May 2021 | 1,367 | 36.2 | 30.0 | 21.3 | 12.4 | |
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[24] | 5–6 May 2021 | 1,203 | 41 | 36 | 11 | 12 | |
| CIT/Expreso[25] | 28–30 April 2021 | 1,600 | 37.6 | 34.5 | 8.8 | 19.1 | |
| Ipsos Perú/América[25] | 30 April 2021 | 1,204 | 43 | 34 | 13 | 10 | |
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[26] | 27–29 April 2021 | 1,200 | 44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | |
| IDICE/La Razón[27] | 22–23 April 2021 | 1,200 | 41.3 | 34.8 | 11.7 | 12.2 | |
| CPI/Panamericana[28] | 18–21 April 2021 | 1,200 | 35.5 | 23.1 | 23.7 | 17.7 | |
| IEP/La Republica[29] | 17–21 April 2021 | 1,367 | 41.5 | 21.5 | 23.5 | 13.5 | |
| Datum/Gestión/Perú 21[30] | 16–20 April 2021 | 1,205 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 18 | |
| Ipsos Perú/América[31] | 15–16 April 2021 | 1,204 | 42 | 31 | 16 | 11 | |
Presidential election (first round)
The following graph shows the weighted polls, and does not include voting simulations.
Voting simulations
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo | Keiko Fujimori | Rafael López Aliaga | Hernando de Soto Go on Country – Social Integration Party | Yonhy Lescano | Verónika Mendoza | César Acuña | George Forsyth | Daniel Urresti | Julio Guzmán | Alberto Beingolea | Daniel Salaverry | Ollanta Humala | José Vega | Ciro Gálvez | Marco Arana | Rafael Santos | Andrés Alcántara | Blank / None |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 18.9 | 13.4 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 9.1 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | N/A |
| CPI/Latina[32] (Valid votes) | 30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 9 | 11.5 | 10.2 | 11.4 | 16.2 | 10.6 | 7 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 2 | 3.6 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | N/A |
| CPI/Latina[33] (Cast votes) | 6.2 | 7.9 | 7 | 7.8 | 11.1 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 31.5 | ||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[34] (Valid votes) | 31 March 2021 | 1,526 | 7.9 | 11.2 | 8.2 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | N/A |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[35] (Cast votes) | 6.5 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 12.1 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 17.3 | ||
| CIT/Expreso[36] (Valid votes) | 30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 3.4 | 9.8 | 17 | 12.9 | 11.9 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | N/A |
| CIT/Expreso[37] (Cast votes) | 2.7 | 7.7 | 13.4 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 21 | ||
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[38] (Valid votes) | 27–29 March 2021 | 1,206 | 5.9 | 12.6 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 19.1 | 9 | 3.9 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | N/A |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[38] (Cast votes) | 3.7 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 12.1 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 36.9 | ||
| CIT/Expreso[39] (Valid votes) | 18–22 March 2021 | 1,600 | 2.9 | 9.7 | 17 | 9.7 | 15.6 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 12.8 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | N/A |
| CIT/Expreso[40] (Cast votes) | 2.4 | 8.1 | 14 | 8.1 | 13 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 10.7 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 16.5 | ||
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Valid votes) | 10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 3.7 | 10.6 | 11.6 | 5.9 | 21 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | N/A |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Cast votes) | 3 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 16.8 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 19.6 | ||
Electoral polls
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | Pedro Castillo | Keiko Fujimori | Rafael López Aliaga | Hernando de Soto Go on Country – Social Integration Party | Yonhy Lescano | Verónika Mendoza | César Acuña | George Forsyth | Daniel Urresti | Julio Guzmán | Alberto Beingolea | Daniel Salaverry | Ollanta Humala | Other | Blank / None | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 18.9 | 13.4 | 11.8 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.6 | N/A | N/A |
| IEP/La República[42][a] | 1–2 April 2021 | 1,212 | 6.6 | 9.8 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 18.3 | 9.3 |
| IDICE/La Razón[43] | 1–2 April 2021 | 1,200 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 8 | 10.8 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 1 | 1.6 | 4 | 16.7 | 8.6 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[44] | 31 March 2021 | 1,505 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 |
| IEP/La República[45][a] | 22–25 March 2021 | 1,212 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 11.4 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.2 | 20.2 | 6.3 |
| IDICE/La Razón[46] | 23–25 March 2021 | 1,200 | 4.3 | 7.9 | 10 | 6.9 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 13.4 | 13.8 |
| CPI/Exitosa[47] | 19–23 March 2021 | 1,600 | 4.3 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 11 | 5.4 | 4 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 15.2 | 24.8 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[48] | 18–21 March 2021 | 1,201 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| Radio Latina[49] | 17–19 March 2021 | 22,700 | 6 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4.5 | 12 | 21 |
| IDICE/La Razón[50] | 16–18 March 2021 | 1,200 | 3.9 | 7.2 | 11.4 | 5.4 | 11.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 18.8 |
| CELAG[51] | 23 February–16 March 2021 | 2,006 | 5 | 7 | 5.1 | 8.6 | 15.6 | 11.2 | 3 | 13.1 | 1.3 | 5 | - | 1.5 | 4.4 | 6.9 | 5 | 7.4 |
| CPI/Latina[52] | 6–11 March 2021 | 1,300 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 12.2 | 5.9 | 4 | 8 | 3.8 | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 15.6 | 23.2 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] | 10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 |
| IEP/La República[53][a] | 4–8 March 2021 | 1,220 | 3.5 | 7.2 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 13.9 | 7 | 3.4 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 20.1 | 10.5 |
| CIT/Expreso[54] | 4–7 March 2021 | 1,220 | 1 | 5.1 | 12 | 8 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 5 | 5.7 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 27.6 | N/A |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[55] | 5–7 March 2021 | 1,200 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 21 |
| IDICE/La Razón[56] | 3–5 March 2021 | 1,200 | 1.3 | 8.9 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 9.4 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 7.2 | 5 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 10 | 18.7 |
| IEP/La República[57][a] | 19–23 February 2021 | 1,220 | 2.4 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 11.3 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 2.5 | 28.1 |
| CPI/Correo[58] | 17-19 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 8 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1 | 2 | 18.8 | 30.1 |
| CIT/Expreso[59] | 12-14 February 2021 | 1,220 | 0.4 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5 | 2.3 | 8.7 | 7 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 4 | 21.9 | 18.3 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[60] | 9–12 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 18 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[61] | 10–11 February 2021 | 1,219 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 |
| IDICE/La Razón[62] | 9–11 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 4 | 4.9 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 14.1 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 19.3 |
| IEP/La República[63][a] | 21–27 January 2021 | 1,205 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 7.1 | 8.2 | 2 | 13.3 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 25.2 | 7.5 |
| IEP/La República[64][b] | 21–27 January 2021 | 1,205 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 31.9 | 42.5 |
| CPI/Correo[65] | 23–25 January 2021 | 1,200 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 5 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 10.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 19.3 | 30.5 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[66] | 13–15 January 2021 | 1,210 | 1 | 8 | 0.5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 11 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[67] | 8–12 January 2021 | 1,206 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 19 |
| CIT/Expreso[68] | 11–13 January 2021 | 1,200 | 0.5 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 9.6 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 5 | - | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 11.5 | 13.9 |
| IDICE/La Razón[69] | 2–8 January 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 14.7 | 6.6 | 7.8 | - | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 22.1 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[70] | 10–11 December 2020 | 1,200 | 1 | 7 | 0.3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 10 |
| IEP/La República[71][a] | 1–8 December 2020 | 1,225 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 9.1 | 2 | 14.7 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 5 | 24.1 | 5.3 |
| IEP/La República[71][b] | 1–8 December 2020 | 1,225 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 15.3 | 22.5 | 39.6 |
| CIT/Expreso[72] | 11-13 December 2020 | 1,200 | 0.2 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 10.4 | 3.2 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 9.8 | 7.7 | 5.2 | - | 1.9 | 2 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 14 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[73] | 3–6 December 2020 | 1,244 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 24 |
| CPI/Correo[74] | 23–25 November 2020 | 1,200 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 37.7 | 23.3 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[75] | 16 November 2020 | 1,207 | 2 | 5 | 0.1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 17 |
| CIT/Expreso[76] | 20-22 November 2020 | 1,200 | - | 6.8 | 2 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 5.1 | - | 0.8 | 1.4 | 14.3 | - | 24.8 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[77] | 21–23 October 2020 | 1,193 | - | 7 | 0.3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| IEP/La República[78][a] | 13–19 October 2020 | 1,212 | - | 8 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 23 | 7.3 | 3.9 | - | 2 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 21.1 | 5.5 |
| IEP/La República[78][b] | 13–19 October 2020 | 1,212 | - | 2.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 1 | - | 0.2 | 0.2 | 16.8[c][d] | 23.2 | 38.6 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[79] | 2–5 October 2020 | 1,224 | - | 5 | 0.2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 3 | - | - | - | 12 | 25 | 18 |
| CIT/Expreso[80] | 14-16 October 2020 | 1,025 | - | 8.5 | 0.9 | 14.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 4.4 | 11 | 5 | 2.2 | - | 0.8 | - | 16.3 | - | 32.9 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[81] | 9–10 September 2020 | 1,204 | - | 7 | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 13 |
| CIT/Expreso[82] | 9-11 September 2020 | 1,025 | - | - | 1 | 16.8 | - | 1.2 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | - | 1.2 | - | 34.5 | - | 27.8 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[83] | 21–22 August 2020 | 1,010 | - | 7 | - | - | 3 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 3 |
Pre-electoral polls
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | George Forsyth | Salvador del Solar | Daniel Urresti | Keiko Fujimori | Verónika Mendoza | Julio Guzmán | Alfredo Barnechea | Yonhy Lescano | César Acuña | Kenji Fujimori | Jorge Muñoz | Daniel Salaverry | Alberto Beingolea |  | Other | Blank / None | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[84] | 9–10 July 2020 | 1,019 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 1 | 28 | 4 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[85] | 11–12 June 2020 | 1,015 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 8 | 26 | 2 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 14–15 May 2020 | 1,022 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | N/A | 2 | 26 | 3 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 15–16 April 2020 | 1,055 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | N/A | 9 | 20 | 3 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 11–12 March 2020 | 1,173 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | N/A | 3 | 34 | 1 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[87] | 29 February–3 March 2020 | 1,210 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | N/A | 6 | 29 | 10 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 11–13 February 2020 | 1,190 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | N/A | 10 | 34 | 3 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[86] | 15–17 January 2020 | 1,218 | 10 | 13 | - | 9 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | N/A | 7 | 35 | 3 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[88] | 11–13 January 2020 | 1,208 | 9 | 19 | - | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 6 | 20 | 16 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[89] | 11–13 December 2019 | 1,209 | 13 | 13 | - | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2 | - | N/A | 7 | 30 | 3 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[90] | 30 November–3 December 2019 | 1,204 | 9 | 16 | - | 8 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - | 5 | - | - | 0.4 | 1 | N/A | 10.6 | 26 | 11 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[89] | 13–15 November 2019 | 1,199 | 13 | 15 | - | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 3 | - | N/A | 9 | 28 | 2 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[91] | 1–4 November 2019 | 1,224 | 9 | 18 | - | 6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | - | 1 | 1 | N/A | 8 | 26 | 14 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[92] | 9–11 October 2019 | 1,203 | 11 | 16 | - | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 2 | 2 | N/A | 10 | 29 | 2 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[93] | 5–7 October 2019 | 1,212 | 9 | 21 | - | 5 | 7 | 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | - | 1 | 0.5 | N/A | 6.5 | 22 | 14 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[94] | 11–13 September 2019 | 1,208 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 | - | - | 4 | 8 | - | 7 | 2 | - | N/A | 13 | 28 | 1 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[95] | 30 August–2 September 2019 | 1,221 | 7 | 5 | - | 7 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - | 4 | - | - | - | 1 | N/A | 8 | 35 | 15 |
| IEP/La República[96][a] | 17–21 August 2019 | 1,224 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0.4 | 4 | 3 | - | - | 0.3 | N/A | 9.3 | 28 | 5 |
| IEP/La República[96][b] | 17–21 August 2019 | 1,224 | 10 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0.4 | 3 | 3 | - | - | - | N/A | 6.7 | 35 | 15 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[97] | 14–15 August 2019 | 1,205 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 3 | - | N/A | 10 | 28 | 2 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[98] | 2–4 August 2019 | 1,219 | 10 | 4 | - | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | N/A | 10 | 29 | 12 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[97] | 17–19 July 2019 | 1,221 | 13 | 6 | - | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 2 | - | N/A | 16 | 33 | 3 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 12–14 June 2019 | 1,210 | 12 | 5 | - | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2 | - | N/A | 21 | 31 | 2 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 15–17 May 2019 | 1,222 | 18 | 4 | - | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | - | - | N/A | 20 | 30 | 1 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 10–12 April 2019 | 1,212 | 17 | 4 | - | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | - | - | 4 | 17 | 32 | 2 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 13–15 March 2019 | 1,218 | 13 | - | - | 9 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | - | - | 4 | 16 | 31 | 1 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 13–15 February 2019 | 1,199 | - | - | - | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 24 | 48 | 1 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 16–18 January 2019 | 1,213 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 18 | 44 | 1 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 12–14 December 2018 | 1,316 | - | 2 | - | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 16 | 44 | 1 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 14–16 November 2018 | 1,284 | - | 3 | - | 11 | 8 | 8 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 21 | 35 | 2 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[100] | 10–11 October 2018 | 1,253 | - | 4 | - | 10 | 7 | 10 | 5 | - | 6 | - | - | - | - | 5 | 17 | 34 | 2 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[99] | 15–16 August 2018 | 1,266 | - | 3 | - | 13 | 8 | 11 | 5 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 5 | 14 | 35 | 2 |
| CPI/Exitosa[101] | 3–7 August 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 8.4 | 6.4 | 12.5 | 6.8 | - | 3.9 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 1.5 | 8.5 | 43.8 | 6.8 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[102] | 11–13 July 2018 | 1,278 | - | 3 | - | 17 | 8 | 12 | 6 | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 17 | 26 | 3 |
| CPI/Exitosa[103] | 1–5 July 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 11.9 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 7.4 | - | 4.2 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 1.4 | 7.8 | 40.0 | 7.7 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[104] | 6–8 June 2018 | 1,290 | - | 2 | - | 15 | 8 | 12 | 5 | - | 6 | 5 | - | - | - | 3 | 12 | 31 | 1 |
| CPI/Exitosa[105] | 19–23 May 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 14.8 | 6.1 | 12.3 | 7.5 | - | 3.9 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 2.7 | 8.1 | 35.6 | 6.7 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[106] | 9–11 May 2018 | 1,279 | - | 4 | - | 18 | 6 | 9 | 5 | - | 4 | 4 | - | - | - | 5 | 14 | 30 | 1 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[107] | 10–12 April 2018 | 1,289 | - | - | - | 15 | 11 | 14 | 8 | - | 6 | 5 | - | - | - | 3 | 8 | 25 | 5 |
| CPI/Exitosa[108] | 27–31 March 2018 | 1,400 | - | - | - | 15.8 | 6.0 | 13.1 | 9.8 | - | 4.9 | 5.8 | - | - | - | 1.4 | 7.3 | 29.6 | 6.3 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[109] | 7–9 March 2018 | 1,264 | - | - | - | 17 | 9 | 16 | 6 | - | 3 | 10 | - | - | - | 2 | 7 | 25 | 5 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[110] | 7–9 February 2018 | 1,263 | - | - | - | 21 | 8 | 13 | 5 | - | 4 | 11 | - | - | - | 3 | 6 | 17 | 12 |
| CPI/Exitosa[111] | 4–9 February 2018 | 1,500 | - | - | - | 21.3 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 6.3 | - | 4.6 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 2.4 | 6.9 | 24.8 | 5.0 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[112] | 10–12 January 2018 | 1,271 | - | - | - | 20 | 8 | 13 | 5 | - | 5 | 12 | - | - | - | 3 | 6 | 25 | 3 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[113] | 5–9 January 2018 | 1,200 | - | - | - | 24 | 8 | 15 | 8 | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 4 | 26 | 10 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[114] | 13–15 December 2017 | 1,287 | - | - | - | 27 | 9 | 10 | 5 | - | 3 | 7 | - | - | - | 3 | 6 | 27 | 3 |
Congressional election
The following graph shows the weighted polls, and does not include voting simulations.
Voting simulations
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | PL | FP | RP | AP | APP | Go on Country – Social Integration Party AvP | JPP | PDSP | PP | PM | VN | Agricultural People's Front of Peru FREPAP |  UPP | PPC | PNP | FA | DD | RUNA | PPS | Contigo | Blank / None |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 13.4 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | N/A |
| CPI/Latina[115] (Valid votes) | 30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 7 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 17.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.8 | 8 | 3.7 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 9.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | N/A |
| CPI/Latina[116] (Cast votes) | 30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 10 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 43.9 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[117] (Valid votes) | 31 March 2021 | 1,526 | 5.9 | 10.5 | 6 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 8.3 | 5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | N/A |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[118] (Cast votes) | 31 March 2021 | 1,526 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 10.7 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 31.4 |
| CIT/Expreso[119] (Valid votes) | 30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 4 | 7.9 | 10.8 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 8.9 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | N/A |
| CIT/Expreso[120] (Cast votes) | 30 March–1 April 2021 | 1,600 | 2 | 4 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 49.6 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[121] (Valid votes) | 27–29 March 2021 | 1,206 | 4.2 | 12.1 | 7.8 | 18.6 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | N/A |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[121] (Cast votes) | 27–29 March 2021 | 1,206 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 57.3 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Valid votes) | 10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 20.8 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 9.9 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | N/A |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] (Cast votes) | 10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 6 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 36.5 |
Electoral polls
| Pollster | Date | Sample size | PL | FP | RP | AP | APP | Go on Country – Social Integration Party AvP | JPP | PDSP | PP | PM | VN | Agricultural People's Front of Peru FREPAP | PPC | PNP | FA | Other | Blank / None | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election results | 11 April 2021 | N/A | 13.4 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4.1 | N/A | N/A |
| IEP/La República[122][a] | 1–2 April 2021 | 1,215 | 3.9 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 9.1 | 5 | 5.2 | 4 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 22.7 | 6.5 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[123] | 31 March 2021 | 1,206 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
| IEP/La República[124][a] | 22–25 March 2021 | 1,220 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 13.5 | 4.3 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 11.9 | 7 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[125] | 18–21 March 2021 | 1,201 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
| CPI/Latina[126] | 6–11 March 2021 | 1,300 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 6.6 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 19.5 | 28.7 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[41] | 10–11 March 2021 | 1,206 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
| IEP/La República[127][a] | 4–8 March 2021 | 1,220 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 6 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 23.7 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[128] | 5–7 March 2021 | 1,200 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 26 |
| IDICE/La Razón[56] | 3–5 March 2021 | 1,200 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 3 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 3 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 20.7 |
| IEP/La República[57][a] | 19–23 February 2021 | 1,220 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 12.5 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 4 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 8.4 | 2 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 22.3 |
| CPI/Correo[129] | 17–19 February 2021 | 1,200 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 1 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1 | 20.6 | 44.2 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[130] | 9–12 February 2021 | 1,200 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 5 | 1.1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 1.5 | 6 | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 9.9 | 10 | 24 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[61] | 10–11 February 2021 | 1,219 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 |
| IEP/La República[131][b] | 21–27 January 2021 | 1,205 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 30.2 | 39.8 |
| CPI/Correo[132] | 21–25 January 2021 | 1,200 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 5.5 | 3 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 22.3 | 38.6 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[66] | 13–15 January 2021 | 1,210 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 |
| Datum/Perú 21/Gestión[133] | 8–12 January 2021 | 1,206 | 0.9 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2 | 3.5 | 25 | 26 |
| Ipsos Perú/El Comercio[70] | 10–11 December 2020 | 1,200 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 17 |
| IEP/La República[71][b] | 1–8 December 2020 | 1,225 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 8.3 | 1.2 | 12.9 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 24.8 | 33 |
Notes
References
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