Opinion polling for the next Ukrainian presidential election

In the run up to the next Ukrainian presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Ukraine. The results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these polls are from the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election to the present day.

First round

During the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election candidate (and later winner of the election) Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that he was running for only one term.[1] In May 2021, Zelenskyy stated that it was too early to say whether he will run for a second term, but this decision would depend on the attitude to him in society and would be influenced by his family.[1]

Since November 2023

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Razumkov
RP
Poroshenko
YeS
Tymoshenko
Batkivshchyna
Boyko
PZZhM
Prytula
24S
Klitschko
UDAR
Groysman
USH
Zaluzhnyi
Independent
Arestovych
Independent
OthersLead
22 Feb1 Mar 2024SOCIS± 2.1 pp3,00023.75.66.42.81.14.10.941.41.53.2[a]17.7
3–7 Nov 2023Rating± 2.2 pp2,00047.41.94.61.64.91.21.230.70.95.6[b]16.7

October 2021 – March 2022

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Razumkov
RP
Poroshenko
YeS
Tymoshenko
Batkivshchyna
Boyko
OPZZh
Medvedchuk
OPZZh
Hrytsenko
HP
Smeshko
SiCh
Liashko
RPOL
Koshulynskyi
Svoboda
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Prytula
Holos
Rudik
Holos
Klitschko
UDAR
Groysman
USH
Yatsenyuk
NF
Murayev
Nashi
Sadovyi
Self Reliance
OthersLead
24–28 Mar 2022Info Sapiens± 3.1 pp1,00081.31.25.92.21.62.10.12.00.10.41.01.10.9[c]75.4
20 Mar 202211 parties, including OPZZh, OB, Nashi and PSh, were suspended by the National Security and Defense Council for the period of martial law due to their ties to Russia.[2][3]
24 Feb 2022Russia invades Ukraine
16–21 Feb 2022Info Sapiens± 2.2 pp2,07629.25.217.39.77.58.63.11.86.21.44.16.00.011.9
11–18 Feb 2022Rating± 1.4 pp4,80024.66.918.09.58.37.52.91.92.05.32.25.95.26.6
11–16 Feb 2022SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00023.78.221.99.38.52.37.41.71.70.46.47.70.61.8
12–13 Feb 2022Rating± 2.2 pp2,00024.66.216.89.98.36.63.12.02.35.71.86.92.13.67.8
5–13 Feb 2022KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00025.17.221.811.88.36.13.92.00.74.86.52.03.3
28–31 Jan 2022Razumkov Centre± 2.9 pp1,20626.08.224.210.37.01.65.42.00.93.17.04.31.8
20–21 Jan 2022KIIS± 3.2 pp1,20523.55.020.911.89.32.69.63.41.14.36.81.72.6
17–22 Dec 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01824.29.316.19.99.21.66.41.72.22.71.45.06.34.18.1
16–18 Dec 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50024.26.813.79.69.26.73.12.22.06.22.96.92.34.110.5
9–17 Dec 2021KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02527.65.916.09.09.41.96.64.10.53.00.35.21.41.14.93.1[d]11.6
11–16 Dec 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00024.37.117.912.511.52.07.41.21.30.16.26.32.06.4
3–11 Dec 2021KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00027.16.319.711.36.67.74.81.80.55.16.52.67.4
28 Nov10 Dec 2021SMC± 1.0 pp10,00023.67.515.59.411.96.92.41.31.23.80.77.03.1[e]8.1
6–8 Dec 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50023.57.513.49.99.36.73.21.52.75.53.16.52.44.810.1
11–17 Nov 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01825.27.517.59.410.92.65.23.12.21.90.84.94.84.07.7
10–13 Nov 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50023.18.313.310.79.26.93.31.42.26.12.37.02.83.29.8
4–9 Nov 2021Rating± 1.5 pp5,00021.88.814.510.811.06.24.02.41.75.76.42.64.27.3
29 Oct4 Nov 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00027.86.718.811.712.31.95.41.91.50.04.66.01.89.0

April 2021 – October 2021

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Razumkov
SN
Poroshenko
YeS
Tymoshenko
Batkivshchyna
Boyko
OPZZh
Medvedchuk
OPZZh
Hrytsenko
HP
Smeshko
SiCh
Liashko
RPOL
Vilkul
Opoblok
Koshulynskyi
Svoboda
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Rudik
Holos
Klitschko
UDAR
Groysman
USH
Yatsenyuk
NF
Murayev
Nashi
Sadovyi
Self Reliance
OthersLead
23–27 Oct 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.9 pp1,20028.08.219.07.59.32.54.83.02.10.46.14.64.59.0
21–23 Oct 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50025.17.314.110.19.54.37.13.92.05.16.01.54.211.0
15–18 Oct 2021KIIS± 2.7 pp1,20024.77.115.612.29.42.97.85.11.30.85.36.21.59.1
10–15 Oct 2021KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00233.316.810.39.58.74.60.80.05.76.43.916.5
2–4 Oct 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50031.13.713.39.210.96.14.11.40.25.73.15.75.517.8
20 Jul9 Aug 2021Rating± 1.0 pp2,00027.23.014.99.710.56.63.82.11.65.15.62.77.212.3
29 Jul4 Aug 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01928.82.315.910.914.61.75.92.80.92.60.92.710.212.9
29 Jul3 Aug 2021SOCIS?2,00025.83.718.98.98.94.18.91.61.31.65.55.26.3[f]6.9
23–25 Jul 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50027.74.113.411.410.17.82.62.70.46.12.66.05.114.3
30 Jun3 Jul 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50029.113.411.312.58.73.42.40.24.62.65.56.315.7
25–30 Jun 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00028.84.118.48.57.93.410.31.91.20.71.94.23.94.810.4
11–16 Jun 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01832.42.217.29.813.02.97.01.81.02.21.43.75.415.2
1–7 Jun 2021KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00330.617.412.710.68.14.01.50.55.85.53.213.2
28 May3 Jun 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00028.12.416.712.29.24.09.62.01.50.31.14.44.04.311.4
27 May1 Jun 2021KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00027.33.114.611.99.24.39.53.81.70.81.84.65.71.812.7
14–19 May 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02031.01.818.611.712.73.35.72.11.12.21.12.85.912.4
16–18 May 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50030.212.811.111.97.63.01.60.12.44.81.95.13.44.117.4
22–29 Apr 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02128.32.418.110.514.52.26.22.61.11.91.13.37.810.2
16–22 Apr 2021KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00331.418.111.99.610.44.01.20.15.35.03.113.3
8–12 Apr 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00026.72.519.610.19.72.27.52.70.90.41.34.53.09.07.1
6–7 Apr 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50024.94.813.112.111.96.84.91.80.45.12.24.62.64.811.8

September 2020 – March 2021

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Razumkov
SN
Poroshenko
YeS
Tymoshenko
Batkivshchyna
Boyko
OPZZh
Medvedchuk
OPZZh
Hrytsenko
HP
Smeshko
SiCh
Liashko
RPOL
Vilkul
Opoblok
Koshulynskyi
Svoboda
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Prytula
Holos
Rudik
Holos
Biletsky
NK
Klitschko
UDAR
Groysman
USH
Shariy
PSh
Palytsia
ZM
Yatsenyuk
NF
Murayev
Nashi
OthersLead
23–24 Mar 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50024.73.813.911.812.63.37.73.71.60.55.22.83.74.810.8
5–9 Mar 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01827.42.019.710.117.11.76.32.40.92.80.93.35.37.7
2–3 Mar 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50022.54.214.611.311.68.04.41.50.31.76.62.94.65.77.9
23 Feb1 Mar 2021KIIS± 2.9 pp1,20725.34.014.011.914.73.88.44.11.90.10.63.05.40.22.610.6
24.04.314.012.616.78.64.92.20.40.73.04.90.23.47.3
19–28 Feb 2021SMC± 1.5 pp3,01724.63.015.111.116.32.95.23.21.40.41.64.41.25.38.3
24.73.215.511.018.13.05.82.81.50.71.94.71.62.76.6
22–23 Feb 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50023.15.314.410.911.37.24.12.40.52.45.72.94.94.88.7
11–16 Feb 2021KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00025.63.519.411.711.13.58.23.80.90.31.35.52.62.86.2
5–7 Feb 2021KIIS± 2.4 pp2,00522.73.318.314.511.45.14.18.21.71.94.54.4[g]4.4
21 Jan5 Feb 2021Info Sapiens± 3.1 pp1,00328.820.412.018.22.74.04.20.52.00.53.53.58.4
2–3 Feb 2021Rating± 2.2 pp2,00021.23.216.412.317.17.54.02.13.11.14.37.74.1
1–3 Feb 2021Info Sapiens± 2.2 pp2,01222.22.915.513.316.37.34.83.53.45.35.55.9
29 Jan3 Feb 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01923.12.117.811.219.93.44.92.81.51.61.23.17.43.2
27 Jan1 Feb 2021KIIS± 0.95 pp1,20522.14.013.711.213.57.94.81.52.64.50.45.51.25.58.4
22.113.110.617.58.84.71.82.94.80.41.85.61.24.74.6
15–25 Jan 2021SMC± 1.5 pp3,01425.615.211.515.53.36.43.62.21.12.03.60.95.410.1
24.815.611.118.43.26.23.92.21.01.93.40.84.26.4
22 Jan 2021KIIS± 0.95 pp1,00519.815.711.811.07.58.90.92.12.50.30.95.84.23.45.34.1
2–4 Jan 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50026.213.310.516.66.44.72.64.12.36.17.39.6
17–23 Dec 2020KIIS± 0.95 pp1,20027.03.413.77.514.78.76.31.21.74.11.22.25.50.82.212.3
27.714.27.320.86.56.21.20.83.80.81.66.01.31.96.9
16–20 Dec 2020Rating± 2.2 pp2,00026.54.114.39.810.17.76.03.62.22.92.26.44.212.2
4–9 Nov 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01828.02.519.37.717.23.05.81.60.91.91.54.16.48.7
30 Oct5 Nov 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02031.221.18.316.95.62.11.12.810.810.1
28 Oct2 Nov 2020SOCIS?2,00033.718.48.214.96.84.41.12.110.315.3
17–24 Oct 2020KIIS± 2.6 pp1,50233.317.311.110.58.89.54.60.44.416.0
18–28 Sep 2020SOCIS± 2.2 pp2,00030.118.97.414.08.52.80.93.913.411.2
12–16 Sep 2020KIIS± 2.2 pp2,00031.818.99.813.34.96.86.02.30.06.112.9
3–6 Sep 2020Rating± 2.2 pp2,00029.02.714.09.315.56.43.61.93.60.73.67.313.5

February 2020 – July 2020

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Razumkov
SN
Poroshenko
YeS
Tymoshenko
Batkivshchyna
Boyko
OPZZh
Medvedchuk
OPZZh
Hrytsenko
HP
Smeshko
SiCh
Liashko
RPOL
Vilkul
Opoblok
Koshulynskyi
Svoboda
Tyahnybok
Svoboda
Vakarchuk
Holos
Prytula
Holos
Biletsky
NK
Klitschko
UDAR
Groysman
USH
Shariy
PSh
OthersLead
21–28 Jul 2020SOCIS?4,00033.417.88.815.77.02.91.02.910.515.6
15–20 Jul 2020Rating± 2.2 pp2,00030.22.113.79.114.43.05.83.92.21.60.83.18.3[h]15.8
3–9 Jul 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02236.815.37.817.23.44.51.91.31.610.219.6
24–30 Jun 2020SOCIS?2,00036.620.96.916.06.92.80.98.9[i]15.7
24–28 Jun 2020Rating± 2.2 pp2,00034.611.47.211.23.03.06.73.41.23.22.82.58.6[j]23.2
17–24 Jun 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01734.616.17.720.03.14.21.21.61.99.714.6
24 May4 Jun 2020KIIS± 0.95 pp4,00037.616.28.713.24.46.84.42.03.03.621.4
22–29 May 2020SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00041.115.27.414.56.02.32.00.810.7[k]25.9
12–13 May 2020Rating± 1.8 pp3,00039.313.38.613.93.65.92.41.72.10.48.7[l]25.4
26–30 Apr 2020KIIS± 0.95 pp1,50740.915.78.78.96.49.24.01.54.825.2
24–29 Apr 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,05641.512.85.410.83.56.02.314.128.7
17–25 Apr 2020KIIS± 1.7 pp4,02442.614.99.712.24.36.43.50.81.83.727.7
13–23 Mar 2020SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00051.315.06.511.25.52.91.00.46.7[m]36.3
8–18 Feb 2020KIIS± 3.3 pp2,03844.211.66.913.13.34.94.01.92.56.5[n]31.1
13–17 Feb 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01840.113.510.215.33.34.23.31.22.16.7[o]24.8
1–10 Feb 2020SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00048.712.29.511.84.93.02.41.16.8[p]36.5
31 Mar 20192019 election30.2415.9513.4011.676.916.045.484.151.624.5414.29

Second round

Zelenskyy v Poroshenko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Poroshenko
YeS
Lead
11–16 Feb 2022SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00051492
17–22 Dec 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01849.950.10.2
9–17 Dec 2021KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02555.744.311.4
28 Nov10 Dec 2021SMC± 1.0 pp10,00057.442.614.8
11–17 Nov 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01854468
10–13 Nov 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500594118
23–27 Oct 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.9 pp1,20055.644.411.2
29 Jul4 Aug 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01960.739.321.4
30 Jun3 Jul 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500653530
25–30 Jun 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,000604020
11–16 Jun 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01860.439.620.8
14–19 May 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,020604020
16–18 May 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500683236
22–29 Apr 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02160.539.521.0
8–12 Apr 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00056.343.712.6
6–7 Apr 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500643628
13–21 Mar 2021Rating & IRI± 2.0 pp2,400722448
5–9 Mar 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01857.242.814.4
11–16 Feb 2021KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00056.443.612.8
2–3 Feb 2021Rating± 2.2 pp2,000564412
29 Jan3 Feb 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01954468
22 Jan 2021KIIS± 0.95 pp1,00555.244.810.4
4–9 Dec 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,018574314
28 Oct2 Nov 2020SOCIS?2,000584216
21–28 Jul 2020SOCIS?4,00068.431.636.8
3–9 Jul 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02271.528.543.0
24–30 Jun 2020SOCIS?2,00065.434.630.8
17–24 Jun 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01769.830.239.6
24–29 May 2020SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00051.118.332.8
12–13 May 2020Rating± 1.8 pp3,000752550
1–10 Feb 2020SOCIS± 2.1 pp2,00047.915.832.1
21 Apr 20192019 election73.224.548.7

Zelenskyy v Tymoshenko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Tymoshenko
Batkivshchyna
Lead
17–22 Dec 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01853.546.57.0
9–17 Dec 2021KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02551.648.43.2
28 Nov10 Dec 2021SMC± 1.0 pp10,00055.144.910.2
10–13 Nov 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500594118
30 Jun3 Jul 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500613922
16–18 May 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500623824
6–7 Apr 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500574314
2–3 Feb 2021Rating± 2.2 pp2,000554510
12–13 May 2020Rating± 1.8 pp3,000742648

Zelenskyy v Boyko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Boyko
OPZZh
Lead
17–22 Dec 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01863.136.926.2
9–17 Dec 2021KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02560.239.820.4
28 Nov10 Dec 2021SMC± 1.0 pp10,00057.142.914.2
11–17 Nov 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01866.333.732.6
10–13 Nov 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500623824
29 Jul4 Aug 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,019683236
30 Jun3 Jul 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500663432
25–30 Jun 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,000762452
11–16 Jun 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01875.724.351.4
14–19 May 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,020742648
16–18 May 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500693138
22–29 Apr 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02170.929.141.8
8–12 Apr 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00072.927.145.8
6–7 Apr 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500673334
5–9 Mar 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01866.433.632.8
11–16 Feb 2021KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00061.338.722.6
2–3 Feb 2021Rating± 2.2 pp2,000604020
29 Jan3 Feb 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,019584216
4–9 Dec 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,018623824
3–9 Jul 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,02268.231.836.4
12–13 May 2020Rating± 1.8 pp3,000752550

Zelenskyy v Razumkov

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Razumkov
RP
Lead
17–22 Dec 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01843.656.412.8
9–17 Dec 2021KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02553.246.86.4
28 Nov10 Dec 2021SMC± 1.0 pp10,00047.452.65.2
11–17 Nov 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01849.650.40.8

Zelenskyy v Zaluzhnyi

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Zelenskyy
SN
Zaluzhnyi
Independent
Lead
22 Feb1 Mar 2024SOCIS± 2.1 pp3,00032.567.535.0
3–7 Nov 2023Rating± 2.2 pp2,00042402

Poroshenko v Tymoshenko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Poroshenko
YeS
Tymoshenko
Batkivshchyna
Lead
9–17 Dec 2021KIIS± 3.3 pp2,02545.254.89.6
6–7 Apr 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,500415918

Poroshenko v Boyko

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Poroshenko
YeS
Boyko
OPZZh
Lead
25–30 Jun 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,000604020
8–12 Apr 2021SOCIS± 2.4 pp2,00064.435.628.8
6–7 Apr 2021Rating± 2.0 pp2,50049512
5–9 Mar 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,018584216
11–16 Feb 2021KIIS & SOCIS± 1.8 pp3,00052.747.35.4
2–3 Feb 2021Rating± 2.2 pp2,00049512
29 Jan3 Feb 2021Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01954.245.88.4
22 Jan 2021KIIS± 0.95 pp1,00547536
4–9 Dec 2020Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01854.345.78.6

Poroshenko v Razumkov

Dates
conducted
Polling firmMargin
of error
Sample
size
Poroshenko
YeS
Razumkov
RP
Lead
17–22 Dec 2021DIF & Razumkov Centre± 2.3 pp2,01838.961.122.2

See also

Notes

References