2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

2024 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
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← 2022 2026 →
Incumbent U.S. Representative; Matt Rosendale; Republican	; ;

2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election
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← 2022 2026 →
Incumbent U.S. Representative; Ryan Zinke; Republican	; ;

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Montana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.

District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Kalispell, Bozeman and Butte. The incumbent is Republican Ryan Zinke, who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022.^[1] He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but chose not to do so.^[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Ryan Zinke, incumbent U.S. representative^[3]

Eliminated in primary

Mary Todd, innkeeper and candidate for this district in 2022^[4]

Endorsements

Ryan Zinke

Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States^[5]
John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)^[6]

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Mary Todd (R)	$87,253^[a]	$67,177	$20,075
Ryan Zinke (R)	$5,752,008	$3,341,562	$2,520,494
Source: Federal Election Commission^[10]

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ryan Zinke (incumbent)	53,318	74.6
	Republican	Mary Todd	18,147	25.4
Total votes			71,465	100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Monica Tranel, lawyer, former Olympic rower, and nominee for this district in 2022^[3]

Endorsements

Monica Tranel

U.S. representatives

Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)^[11]
Annie Kuster, U.S. representative for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)^[12]
Pat Ryan, U.S. representative for New York's 18th congressional district (2023–present)^[12]

Statewide officials

Brian Schweitzer, former governor of Montana (2005–2013)^[13]

State legislators

Dave Fern, state representative from the 5th district (2017–present)^[13]
Shannon O'Brien, state senator from the 46th district (2021–present)^[14]

Organizations

Labor unions

National Education Association^[23]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Monica Tranel (D)	$2,340,724	$826,277	$1,524,332
Source: Federal Election Commission^[10]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Monica Tranel	49,467	100.0
Total votes			49,467	100.0

Libertarian primary

Nominee

Dennis Hayes, remodeling contractor^[4]

Eliminated in primary

Ernie Noble, construction worker^[4]

Results

Libertarian primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Dennis Hayes	324	63.9
	Libertarian	Ernie Noble	183	36.1
Total votes			507	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[24]	Likely R	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections^[25]	Lean R	September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[26]	Lean R	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily^[27]	Lean R	September 7, 2023
CNalysis^[28]	Lean R	November 16, 2023

Results

Montana's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Ryan Zinke (incumbent)
	Democratic	Monica Tranel
	Libertarian	Dennis Hayes
Total votes

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. The incumbent is Republican Matt Rosendale, who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022.^[1] He announced in February 2024 that he would run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but dropped out of the race one week later.^[29] On March 8, 2024, Rosendale announced that he would not be seeking any office in 2024.^[30]

Republican primary

Nominee

Troy Downing, Montana State Auditor (2021–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018^[31]

Eliminated in primary

Elsie Arntzen, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction (2017–present) and candidate for the at-large district in 2014^[32]
Kyle Austin, pharmacist and candidate for this district in 2022^[4]
Kenneth Bogner, President pro tempore of the Montana Senate (2023–present) from the 19th district (2019–present) and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Montana in 2020^[33]
Ric Holden, former state senator from the 1st district (1995–2003)^[34]
Joel Krautter, former state representative from the 35th district (2019–2021)^[34]
Denny Rehberg, former U.S. Representative from the at-large district (2001–2013), former Lieutenant Governor of Montana (1991–1997), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012^[35]
Stacy Zinn, retired DEA agent^[36]

Withdrawn

Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. Representative^[30]
Ed Walker, former state senator from the 29th district (2011–2015) and candidate for the at-large district in 2017 (remained on ballot)^[37]

Endorsements

Elsie Arntzen

U.S. representatives

Bob Good, chair of the Freedom Caucus (2024–present) and VA-05 (2021–present)^[38]
Harriet Hageman, WY-AL (2023–present)^[37]

Organizations

House Freedom Fund^[39]

Ken Bogner

Executive Branch officials

Thomas Homan, Acting Director of the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (2017–2018)^[37]

Troy Downing

Executive branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[40]

U.S. representatives

Derrick Van Orden, WI-03 (2023–present)^[37]

Organizations

With Honor Fund^[41]

Joel Krautter

Labor unions

Declined to endorse

U.S. representatives

Matt Rosendale, MT-02 (2021–present)^[37]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Elsie Arntzen (R)	$871,444^[b]	$805,097	$66,347
Kenneth Bogner (R)	$54,359	$43,425	$10,933
Troy Downing (R)	$1,818,816^[c]	$1,383,494	$435,322
Ric Holden (R)	$49,248^[d]	$46,540	$2,708
Joel Krautter (R)	$76,533^[e]	$67,136	$9,397
Denny Rehberg (R)	$601,991^[f]	$453,928	$148,063
Stacy Zinn (R)	$41,460	$3,091	$38,369
Source: Federal Election Commission^[42]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[g]	Margin of error	Elsie Arntzen	Kenneth Bogner	Troy Downing	Ric Holden	Denny Rehberg	Stacey Zinn	Other	Undecided
Cygnal (R)^[A]	May 8–9, 2024	410 (LV)	± 4.8%	5%	4%	28%	2%	12%	8%	3%^[h]	40%
Guidant Polling & Strategy^[B]	April 14–17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	10%	–	38%	–	26%	–	–	27%
Cygnal (R)^[A]	April 15–16, 2024	415 (LV)	± 4.8%	7%	4%	21%	1%	11%	3%	3%^[i]	51%
Moore Information^[C]	February 1, 2024	500 (LV)	–	5%	3%	16%	2%	26%	2%	9%^[j]	37%

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Troy Downing	33,187	36.2
	Republican	Denny Rehberg	15,855	17.3
	Republican	Stacy Zinn	12,139	13.2
	Republican	Elsie Arntzen	8,534	9.3
	Republican	Kenneth Bogner	8,298	9.1
	Republican	Ric Holden	6,601	7.2
	Republican	Joel Krautter	3,077	3.4
	Republican	Kyle Austin	2,882	3.1
	Republican	Ed Walker (withdrawn)	1,043	1.1
Total votes			91,616	100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

John Driscoll, former Public Service Commissioner, former Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives and nominee for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2008^[4]

Eliminated in primary

Ming Cabrera, salesman^[43]
Kevin Hamm, IT consultant^[44]
Steve Held, actor and rancher^[4]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Ming Cabrera (D)	$60,007^[k]	$41,424	$18,582
Kevin Hamm (D)	$62,689	$57,628	$5,061
Steve Held (D)	$86,570^[l]	$67,945	$18,624
Source: Federal Election Commission^[42]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	John Driscoll	12,330	33.9
	Democratic	Steve Held	9,589	26.3
	Democratic	Ming Cabrera	7,638	21.0
	Democratic	Kevin Hamm	6,849	18.8
Total votes			36,406	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[24]	Solid R	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections^[25]	Solid R	September 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[26]	Safe R	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily^[27]	Safe R	September 7, 2023
CNalysis^[28]	Solid R	November 16, 2023

Results

Montana's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Troy Downing
	Democratic	John Driscoll
Total votes

Notes

Partisan clients

References

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Troy Downing (R) for Congress

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