United States midterm election

(Redirected from U.S. midterm election)

Midterm elections in the United States are the general elections that are held near the midpoint of a president's four-year term of office, on Election Day on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Federal offices that are up for election during the midterms include all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives, and 33 or 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate.

A 2018 Oklahoma general election ballot, listing candidates for state and local offices, and well as those for U.S. Congress

In addition, 34 of the 50 U.S. states elect their governors for four-year terms during midterm elections, while Vermont and New Hampshire elect governors to two-year terms in both midterm and presidential elections. Thus, 36 governors are elected during midterm elections. Many states also elect officers to their state legislatures in midterm years. There are also elections held at the municipal level. On the ballot are many mayors, other local public offices, and a wide variety of citizen initiatives.

Special elections are often held in conjunction with regular elections,[1] so additional Senators, governors and other local officials may be elected to partial terms.

Midterm elections historically generate lower voter turnout than presidential elections. While the latter have had turnouts of about 50–60% over the past 60 years, only about 40% of those eligible to vote go to the polls in midterm elections.[2][3] Historically, midterm elections often see the president's party lose seats in Congress, and also frequently see the president's opposite-party opponents gain control of one or both houses of Congress.[4]

Background

While Article II, Section 1, Clause 1 of the United States Constitution sets the U.S. President's term of office to four years, Article I, Section 2, Clause 1 sets a two-year term for congressmembers elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. Article I, Section 3, Clause 1 then sets a six-year term for those elected to the U.S. Senate, with Clause 2 dividing the chamber into three "classes" so that approximately one-third of those seats are up for election every two years.[5]

The elections for many state and local government offices are held during the midterms so they are not overshadowed or influenced by the presidential election.[citation needed] Still, a number of state and local governments instead prefer to avoid presidential and midterm years altogether and schedule their local races during odd-numbered "off-years".[6]

Historical record of midterm

Midterm elections are regarded as a referendum on the sitting president's and/or incumbent party's performance.[7][8]

The party of the incumbent president tends to lose ground during midterm elections:[9] since World War II, the President's party has lost an average of 26 seats in the House, and an average of four seats in the Senate.

Moreover, since direct public midterm elections were introduced, in only eight of those (under presidents Woodrow Wilson, Franklin D. Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Richard Nixon, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, Donald Trump, and Joe Biden) has the President's party gained seats in the House or the Senate, and of those only two (1934, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and 2002, George W. Bush) have seen the President's party gain seats in both houses.

The losses suffered during a president's second midterm tend to be more pronounced than during their first midterm,[10] in what is described as a "six-year itch".

YearSitting presidentPresident's partyNet gain/loss of president's party[a]
House seatsSenate seats
1790George WashingtonNone[b]+3: (37 ► 40)0: (18 ► 18)
1794-4: (51 ► 47)+3: (16 ► 19)
1798John AdamsFederalist+3: (57 ► 60)0: (22 ► 22)
1802Thomas JeffersonDemocratic-Republican+35: (68 ► 103)+5: (17 ► 22)
1806+2: (114 ► 116)+1: (27 ► 28)
1810James MadisonDemocratic-Republican+13: (94 ► 107)0: (26 ► 26)
1814+5: (114 ► 119)-3: (26 ► 22)
1818James MonroeDemocratic-Republican+13: (145 ► 158)+2: (28 ► 30)
1822+34: (155 ► 189)0: (44 ► 44)
1826John Quincy AdamsDemocratic-Republican[c]-9: (109 ► 100)-2: (21 ► 19)
1830Andrew JacksonDemocratic[d]-10: (136 ► 126)+1: (25 ► 26)
18340: (143 ► 143)+1: (21 ► 22)
1838Martin Van BurenDemocratic-3: (128 ► 125)-7: (35 ► 28)
1842John TylerNone[e]-69: (142 ► 73)-3: (30 ► 27)
1846James K. PolkDemocratic-30: (142 ► 112)+2: (33 ► 35)
1850Millard FillmoreWhig-22: (108 ► 86)-3: (36 ► 33)
1854Franklin PierceDemocratic-75: (158 ► 83)-3: (36 ► 33)
1858James BuchananDemocratic-35: (133 ► 98)-4: (32 ► 38)
1862Abraham LincolnRepublican-23: (108 ► 85)+1: (31 ► 32)
1866Andrew JohnsonDemocratic+9: (38 ► 47)0: (10 ► 10)
1870Ulysses S. GrantRepublican-32: (171 ► 139)-5: (63 ► 58)
1874-93: (199 ► 106)-10: (52 ► 42)
1878Rutherford B. HayesRepublican-4: (136 ► 132)-7: (38 ► 31)
1882Chester A. ArthurRepublican-29: (151 ► 118)0: (37 ► 37)
1886Grover ClevelandDemocratic-16: (183 ► 167)+2: (34 ► 36)
1890Benjamin HarrisonRepublican-93: (179 ► 86)-4: (47 ► 43)
1894Grover ClevelandDemocratic-127: (220 ► 93)-4: (44 ► 40)
1898William McKinleyRepublican-21: (205 ► 189)+6: (44 ► 50)
1902Theodore RooseveltRepublican+9: (201 ► 210)0: (55 ► 55)
1906-27: (251 ► 224)+2: (58 ► 60)
1910William Howard TaftRepublican-56: (219 ► 163)-9: (59 ► 50)
1914Woodrow WilsonDemocratic-61: (291 ► 230)+3: (50 ► 53)
1918-22: (214 ► 192)-4: (52 ► 48)
1922Warren G. HardingRepublican-77: (302 ► 225)-7: (60 ► 53)
1926Calvin CoolidgeRepublican-9: (247 ► 238)-6: (56 ► 50)
1930Herbert HooverRepublican-52: (270 ► 218)-6: (56 ► 50)
1934Franklin D. RooseveltDemocratic+9: (313 ► 322)+9: (60 ► 69)
1938-72: (334 ► 262)-7: (75 ► 68)
1942-45: (267 ► 222)-8: (65 ► 57)
1946Harry S. TrumanDemocratic-54: (242 ► 188)-10: (56 ► 46)
1950-28: (263 ► 235)-5: (54 ► 49)
1954Dwight D. EisenhowerRepublican-18: (221 ► 203)-2: (49 ► 47)
1958-48: (201 ► 153)-12: (47 ► 35)
1962John F. KennedyDemocratic-4: (262 ► 258)+4: (64 ► 68)
1966Lyndon B. JohnsonDemocratic-47: (295 ► 248)-3: (67 ► 64)
1970Richard NixonRepublican-12: (192 ► 180)+2: (43 ► 45)
1974Gerald FordRepublican-48: (192 ► 144)-4: (42 ► 38)
1978Jimmy CarterDemocratic-15: (292 ► 277)-2: (61 ► 59)
1982Ronald ReaganRepublican-26: (192 ► 166)0: (54 ► 54)
1986-5: (182 ► 177)-8: (53 ► 45)
1990George H. W. BushRepublican-8: (175 ► 167)-1: (45 ► 44)
1994Bill ClintonDemocratic-54: (258 ► 204)-9: (56 ► 47)
1998+4: (207 ► 211)0: (45 ► 45)
2002George W. BushRepublican+8: (221 ► 229)+2: (49 ► 51)
2006-32: (231 ► 199)-6: (55 ► 49)
2010Barack ObamaDemocratic-63: (256 ► 193)-6: (59 ► 53)
2014-13: (201 ► 188)-9: (55 ► 46)
2018Donald TrumpRepublican-41: (241 ► 200)+2: (51 ► 53)
2022Joe BidenDemocratic-9: (222 ► 213)+1: (50 ► 51)
2026TBDTBDTBDTBD

Comparison with other U.S. general elections

Basic rotation of U.S. general elections (fixed terms only[1])
Year20222023202420252026
TypeMidtermOff-yearaPresidential yearOff-yearbMidterm
PresidentNoYesNo
SenateClass III (34 seats)NoClass I (33 seats)NoClass II (33 seats)
HouseAll 435 seats[3]NoAll 435 seats[2]NoAll 435 seats[2]
Governor36 states, DC, & 3 territories[4]
AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IA, KS, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NE, NV, NH, NM, NY, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, VT, WI, WY, DC (Mayor), GU, MP, VI
3 states
KY, LA, MS
11 states, 2 territories
DE, IN, MO, MT, NH, NC, ND, UT, VT, WA, WV, AS, PR
2 states
NJ, VA
36 states, DC, & 3 territories[4]
AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IA, KS, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NE, NV, NH, NM, NY, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, VT, WI, WY, DC (Mayor), GU, MP, VI
Lieutenant Governor[5]10 states [6]
AL, AR, CA, GA, ID, NV, OK, RI, TX, VT
2 states
LA, MS
5 states, 1 territory
DE, MO, NC, VT, WA, AS
1 state
VA
10 states [6]
AL, AR, CA, GA, ID, NV, OK, RI, TX, VT
Secretary of State26 states
AL, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, GA, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, MA, MI, MN, NE, NV, NM, ND, OH, RI, SC, TX, VT, WI, WY
2 states
KY, MS
8 states
MO, MT, NC, OR, PA, VT, WA, WV
None26 states
AL, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, GA, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, MA, MI, MN, NE, NV, NM, ND, OH, RI, SC, TX, VT, WI, WY
Attorney General29 states, DC, & 2 territories
AL, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, FL, GA, ID, IL, IA, KS, MD, MA, MI, MN, NE, NV, NM, NY, ND, OH, OK, RI, SC, TX, VT, WI, WY, DC, GU, MP
2 states
KY, MS
10 states
IN, MO, MT, NC, OR, PA, UT, VT, WA, WV
1 state
VA
29 states, DC, & 2 territories
AL, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, FL, GA, ID, IL, IA, KS, MD, MA, MI, MN, NE, NV, NM, NY, ND, OH, OK, RI, SC, TX, VT, WI, WY, DC, GU, MP
State Treasurer[7]23 states
AL, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, FL (CFO), ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, MA, NE, NV, NM, OH, OK, RI, SC, VT, WI, WY
2 states
KY, MS
9 states
MO, NC, ND, OR, PA, UT, VT, WA, WV
None23 states
AL, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, FL (CFO), ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, MA, NE, NV, NM, OH, OK, RI, SC, VT, WI, WY
State Comptroller/Controller8 states
CA, CT, IL, MD, NV, NY, SC, TX
NoneNoneNone8 states
CA, CT, IL, MD, NV, NY, SC, TX
State Auditor15 states
AL, AR, DE, IN, IA, MA, MN, MO, NE, NM, OH, OK, SD, VT, WY
1 state
KY
9 states
MT, NC, ND, PA, UT, VT, WA, WV, GU
None15 states
AL, AR, DE, IN, IA, MA, MN, MO, NE, NM, OH, OK, SD, VT, WY
Superintendent of Public Instruction8 states
AZ, CA, GA, ID, OK,
SC, SD (incl. Land), WY
None4 states
MT, NC, ND, WA
1 state
WI
8 states
AZ, CA, GA, ID, OK,
SC, SD (incl. Land), WY
Agriculture Commissioner7 states
AL, FL, GA, IA, ND, SC, TX
2 states
KY, MS
2 states
NC, WV
None7 states
AL, FL, GA, IA, ND, SC, TX
Insurance Commissioner5 states
CA, DE, GA, KS, OK
2 states
LA, MS
3 states
NC, ND, WA,
None5 states
CA, DE, GA, KS, OK
Other commissioners & elected officials8 states
AZ (Mine Inspector), AR (Land), GA (Land), NM (Land), ND (Tax), OK (Labor), OR (Labor), TX (Land)
None1 state
NC (Labor)
None8 states
AZ (Mine Inspector), AR (Land), GA (Land), NM (Land), ND (Tax), OK (Labor), OR (Labor), TX (Land)
State legislatures[8]46 states, DC, & 4 territories
AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, WA, WV, WI, WY, DC, AS, GU, MP, VI
4 states
LA, MS, NJ, VA
44 states, DC, & 5 territories
AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, ME, MA, MI, MN, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, WA, WV, WI, WY, DC, AS, GU, MP, PR, VI
2 states
NJ, VA
46 states, DC, & 4 territories
AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, WA, WV, WI, WY, DC, AS, GU, MP, VI
State boards of education [9]8 states, DC, & 3 territories
AL, CO, KS, MI, NE, OH, TX, UT, DC, GU, MP, VI
None8 states, DC, & 3 territories
AL, CO, KS, MI, NE, OH, TX, UT, DC, GU, MP, VI
None8 states, DC, & 3 territories
AL, CO, KS, MI, NE, OH, TX, UT, DC, GU, MP, VI
Other state, local, and tribal officesVaries
1 This table does not include special elections, which may be held to fill political offices that have become vacant between the regularly scheduled elections.
2 As well as all six non-voting delegates of the U.S. House.
3 As well as five non-voting delegates of the U.S. House. The Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico instead serves a four-year term that coincides with the presidential term.
4 The Governors of New Hampshire and Vermont are each elected to two-year terms. The other 48 state governors and all five territorial governors serve four-year terms.
5 In 26 states and 3 territories the Lieutenant Governor is elected on the same ticket as the Governor: AK, CO, CT, FL, HI, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MD, MA, MI, MN, MT, NE, NJ, NM, NY, ND, OH, PA, SC, SD, UT, WI, GU, MP, VI.
6 Like the Governor, Vermont's other officials are each elected to two-year terms. All other state officers for all other states listed serve four-year terms.
7 In some states, the comptroller or controller has the duties equivalent to a treasurer. There are some states with both positions, so both have been included separately.
8 This list does not differentiate chambers of each legislature. Forty-nine state legislatures are bicameral; Nebraska is unicameral. Additionally, Washington, DC, Guam, and the US Virgin Islands are unicameral; the other territories are bicameral. All legislatures have varying terms for their members. Many have two-year terms for the lower house and four-year terms for the upper house. Some have all two-year terms and some all four-year terms. Arkansas has a combination of both two- and four-year terms in the same chamber.
9 Most states not listed here have a board appointed by the Governor and legislature. All boards listed here have members that serve four-year staggered terms, except Colorado, which has six-year terms, and Guam, which has two-year terms. Most are elected statewide, some are elected from districts. Louisiana, Ohio, Guam, and the Northern Mariana Islands have additional members who are appointed.

Notes

References

External links