2009 Virginia gubernatorial election

The 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election took place in Virginia on November 3, 2009. The incumbent Governor, Democrat Tim Kaine, was not eligible to run due to term limits established by the Virginia Constitution, though others in the state's executive branch were not restricted. (Virginia is the only state that prohibits a Governor from serving consecutive terms.) Republican Bob McDonnell was elected as Governor as part of a Republican sweep. Republican Bill Bolling was reelected as lieutenant governor, and Republican Ken Cuccinelli was elected as attorney general. The winners were inaugurated on January 16, 2010, and served until January 11, 2014.

2009 Virginia gubernatorial election

← 2005November 3, 20092013 →
Turnout40.4% Decrease 4.6[1]
 
NomineeBob McDonnellCreigh Deeds
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,163,651818,950
Percentage58.6%41.3%

McDonnell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Deeds:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

Governor before election

Tim Kaine
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bob McDonnell
Republican

State Senator Creigh Deeds was selected as the Democratic nominee, having defeated former Democratic National Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe and former state Delegate Brian Moran in the Democratic primary election.[2][3] This was the first contested Democratic primary in two decades.[4] McDonnell, a former state Attorney General, was selected at his party's nominating convention.[5] The two major candidates competed in the 2005 Virginia Attorney General election, and were in a rematch, but in the Governor's race. McDonnell defeated Deeds in the general election by a margin of 59%–41%, much larger than the previous Attorney General election. This would be the last time until 2021 that a Republican would win any statewide election in Virginia. This is also the last time any of the following counties have voted Republican in a statewide race: Albemarle, Fairfax, Prince William, Henrico, Sussex, Brunswick, and the independent city of Suffolk.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

McAuliffe campaigning

The Democratic primary campaign for governor unofficially began on December 13, 2007 when State Senator Creigh Deeds, who ran for Attorney General of Virginia in 2005, announced that he would run for the Democratic nomination. State Delegate Brian Moran, brother of Congressman Jim Moran, joined Deeds on January 4, 2008, when he established a political action committee. For the following year (before McAuliffe indicated his intentions to run), Deeds and Moran squared off picking up endorsements, and raising money. On January 3, 2009, McLean resident Terry McAuliffe, former chairman of the Democratic National Committee and chairman of Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign announced that he was also running.[2] The Democratic primary, which took place on June 9, 2009, was the first contested in over twenty years.[4]

Sign outside Alexandria City Hall, indicating the nearest polling place

Moran received many endorsements from members of the State Democratic Party as well as the mayors of the Hampton Roads area.[citation needed] Deeds picked up support from Northern and Western Virginia, such as the endorsement from U.S. Congressman Rick Boucher. The area of strength for Deeds was concentrated in Western and Southern Virginia, and the area of strength for Moran consisted mostly of Eastern Virginia with both reaching out to Northern Virginian voters.[citation needed]

The race was close from the beginning, with McAuliffe considered to be a semi "front-runner" due to his lead in the polls and big campaign war chest. However, in the last few weeks of the race, Deeds began to surge up in the polls. By election night, June 9, Deeds swept to victory. Creigh Deeds spent $14.49 for each vote on the Democratic primary election. Terry McAuliffe spent $68.25 for each vote on the Democratic primary election.[6]

Endorsements

List of Terry McAuliffe endorsements
List of Creigh Deeds endorsements
List of Brian Moran endorsements

Fundraising

Fundraising totals through June 30, 2009, from the Virginia Public Access Project.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Creigh Deeds$6,207,528$3,486,179$2,721,350
Terry McAuliffe$8,250,507$8,250,205$304
Bob McDonnell$73,981$3,360$920,623
Brian Moran$4,057,882$4,034,070$23,816

Polling

SourceDates AdministeredTerry McAuliffeBrian MoranCreigh Deeds
Survey USAJune 830%21%42%
Public Policy PollingJune 6–726%24%40%
Suffolk University Archived June 11, 2009, at the Wayback MachineJune 420%20%27%
Daily Kos/Research 2000June 1–326%27%30%
Survey USAMay 31 – June 235%26%29%
Public Policy PollingMay 28–3124%22%27%
Public Policy PollingMay 19–21, 200929%20%20%
Daily Kos/Research 2000May 18–20, 200936%22%13%
Survey USAMay 17–19, 200937%22%26%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–3, 200930%20%14%
Survey USAApril 25–27, 200938%22%22%
Research 2000April 6–8, 200919%24%16%
Public Policy PollingMarch 27–29, 200918%22%15%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 28 – March 1, 200921%19%14%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 30 – February 1, 200918%18%11%

Results

Democratic primary results by county:
  Deeds
  •   Deeds—30–40%
  •   Deeds—40–50%
  •   Deeds—50–60%
  •   Deeds—60–70%
  •   Deeds—70–80%
  •   Deeds—80–90%
  •   Deeds—90–100%
  McAuliffe
  •   McAuliffe—30–40%
  •   McAuliffe—40–50%
  •   McAuliffe—50–60%
  Moran
  •   Moran—30–40%
  •   Moran—40–50%
  •   Moran—50–60%
Democratic Primary results[30]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCreigh Deeds 158,845 49.77
DemocraticTerry McAuliffe84,38726.44
DemocraticBrian Moran75,93623.79
Total votes319,168 100.00

Republican convention

Attorney General Bob McDonnell first announced his intention to run at American Legion's Boys State of Virginia 2007. This was the sixth consecutive Virginian gubernatorial election in which an Attorney General ran.

McDonnell was the only Republican candidate to file with the election board before the November 2008 deadline. As a result, there was no Republican Party primary. McDonnell accepted the Republican nomination at a state convention on May 30, 2009, in Richmond.[31] Other potential candidates for the Republican nomination, lieutenant governor Bill Bolling and former Senator George Allen, both declined to run.[32]

Chairman of the Republican National Committee Michael Steele had said that the election for governor of Virginia is one of the most important elections for the Republican Party.[33]

General election

Deeds and McDonnell both ran for Attorney General of Virginia in 2005. McDonnell won by just over 300 votes, in the same election in which Tim Kaine was elected Governor with 52% of the vote.

The main themes of the election were the economy, transportation, and jobs.

The first debate was in Hot Springs, Virginia on July 25.[34]

Vice President Joe Biden campaigned for Deeds in Henrico County, Virginia, a suburb of Richmond, Virginia on July 16.[35] Also attending were Richmond Mayor Dwight Clinton Jones, state Senator A. Donald McEachin (D-Henrico), and Virginia first lady Anne Holton.[36]

President Obama and Governor Kaine campaigning with Deeds on August 6

On August 6, President Barack Obama and Governor Tim Kaine campaigned for Deeds in McLean, Virginia.[37]

Deeds is from Bath County, Virginia, a rural area of fewer than 5,000 people, where John McCain received over 55% of the vote. McDonnell is from Virginia Beach, which McCain won with 49.9%.[38]

Fundraising

CandidateGeneral Elec. RaisedTotal Raised
R Creigh Deeds (Democrat)$10,057,402$16,264,930
Robert F McDonnell (Republican)$21,466,436$21,466,436

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Rothenberg Political Report[39]Lean R (flip)October 26, 2009

Polling

SourceDates AdministeredCreigh Deeds (D)Bob McDonnell (R)
SurveyUSAOctober 30 – November 1, 200940%58%
Public Policy PollingNovember 1, 200942%56%
Mason-Dixon/Richmond Times-DispatchOctober 28–29, 200941%53%
Research 2000October 26–28, 200944%54%
Center for Community ResearchOctober 21–27, 200936%53%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 27, 200941%54%
SurveyUSAOctober 25–26, 200941%58%
Public Policy PollingOctober 23–26, 200940%55%
The Washington PostOctober 22–25, 200944%55%
Virginia Commonwealth UniversityOctober 21–25, 200936%54%
SurveyUSAOctober 17–19, 200940%59%
Public Policy PollingOctober 16–19, 200940%52%
Clarus ResearchOctober 18–19, 200941%49%
CNU-Pilot-WVEC[permanent dead link]October 19, 200931%45%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 12, 200943%50%
Mason-DixonOctober 6–8, 200940%48%
The Washington PostOctober 4–7, 200944%53%
Survey USAOctober 2–4, 200943%54%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 29, 200942%51%
Survey USASeptember 26–28, 200941%55%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 25–28, 200943%48%
Insider AdvantageSeptember 23, 200944%48%
The Washington PostSeptember 20, 200947%51%
Research 2000September 14–16, 200943%50%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 16, 200946%48%
Clarus Research GroupSeptember 16, 200937%42%
Survey USASeptember 3, 200942%54%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 1, 200942%51%
Public Policy PollingAugust 28–31, 200942%49%
Washington PostAugust 16, 200940%47%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 10, 200938%47%
Research 2000August 3–5, 200943%51%
Public Policy PollingJuly 31 – August 3, 200937%51%
Survey USAJuly 27–28, 200940%55%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 14, 200941%44%
Public Policy PollingJune 30 – July 2, 200943%49%
Research 2000June 15–17, 200944%45%
ALRJune 10–14, 200942%38%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 10, 200947%41%
Survey USAJune 5 – 7, 200943%47%
Survey USAMay 31 – June 2, 200943%44%
Research 2000May 18–20, 200932%45%
Survey USAMay 17–19, 200940%46%
Survey USAApril 27, 200939%44%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 15, 200930%45%
Research 2000April 6–8, 200931%38%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 4, 200930%39%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 4, 200839%39%
Public Policy PollingJune 14–16, 200827%32%
Hypothetical polling
with McAuliffe
SourceDates AdministeredTerry McAuliffe (D)Bob McDonnell (R)
Survey USAMay 31 – June 2, 200940%47%
Research 2000May 18–20, 200934%44%
Survey USAMay 19, 200940%46%
Survey USAApril 27, 200939%46%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 15, 200933%45%
Research 2000April 8, 200933%40%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 4, 200935%42%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 4, 200836%41%
with Moran
SourceDates AdministeredBrian Moran (D)Bob McDonnell (R)
Survey USAMay 31 – June 2, 200937%48%
Research 2000May 18–20, 200935%42%
Survey USAMay 19, 200937%47%
Survey USAApril 27, 200934%46%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 15, 200934%44%
Research 2000April 8, 200936%37%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 4, 200936%39%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 4, 200841%37%
Public Policy PollingJune 14–16, 200827%33%

Results

Virginia gubernatorial election, 2009[40][41]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBob McDonnell 1,163,651 58.61% +12.62%
DemocraticCreigh Deeds818,95041.25%-10.47%
Write-in2,5020.12%
Majority344,70117.36%+11.63%
Turnout1,985,10342%
Republican gain from DemocraticSwing

Results by county and independent city

County[42]McDonnellVotesDeedsVotesOthersVotes
Accomack62.4%5,40037.6%3,2490.0%2
Albemarle50.5%15,76749.4%15,4330.1%35
Alexandria37.0%13,05062.8%22,1080.2%71
Alleghany38.7%2,01761.2%3,1900.1%3
Amelia71.1%2,87828.9%1,1680.0%2
Amherst67.9%5,97632.1%2,8270.0%4
Appomattox74.3%3,39725.6%1,1720.0%1
Arlington34.3%19,32565.5%36,9490.2%141
Augusta77.4%15,66122.5%4,5580.1%16
Bath36.5%66663.5%1,1590.1%1
Bedford County77.1%16,88122.9%5,0090.1%14
Bedford64.8%1,01635.2%5530.0%0
Bland75.9%1,39424.1%4420.1%1
Botetourt71.3%7,72628.6%3,0970.2%19
Bristol72.4%2,76027.5%1,0470.1%3
Brunswick50.5%2,10749.4%2,0620.1%4
Buchanan63.2%3,26136.7%1,8950.0%2
Buckingham63.4%2,31336.6%1,3350.0%0
Buena Vista60.9%82439.1%5280.0%0
Campbell76.9%11,61122.9%3,4570.2%26
Caroline56.5%3,70943.5%2,8550.1%4
Carroll73.0%5,22927.0%1,9320.1%5
Charles City41.4%89058.5%1,2590.1%2
Charlotte66.6%2,34733.2%1,1710.1%5
Charlottesville26.2%2,63673.6%7,4060.1%14
Chesapeake60.3%32,51839.6%21,3760.1%43
Chesterfield66.3%59,55833.6%30,1610.2%156
Clarke63.3%2,74436.6%1,5860.1%4
Colonial Heights83.1%4,33316.8%8770.0%2
Covington34.1%50765.8%9790.1%2
Craig67.8%1,09132.2%5180.1%1
Culpeper70.3%7,25329.6%3,0570.1%14
Cumberland64.1%1,72835.9%9670.0%1
Danville55.0%6,00144.9%4,9060.1%11
Dickenson60.5%2,17639.5%1,4200.1%3
Dinwiddie62.6%4,46137.3%2,6610.1%4
Emporia52.4%69047.6%6270.1%1
Essex60.8%1,63139.2%1,0510.0%0
Fairfax County50.7%138,65549.1%134,1890.2%438
Fairfax53.0%3,28546.9%2,9090.1%7
Falls Church34.9%1,46364.9%2,7180.1%6
Fauquier68.8%12,30931.1%5,5660.1%23
Floyd65.8%2,95134.1%1,5290.2%7
Fluvanna63.4%4,85036.5%2,7910.1%10
Franklin County68.8%10,28331.1%4,6560.1%12
Franklin45.4%1,01354.5%1,2160.0%1
Frederick74.8%13,27425.1%4,4560.1%25
Fredericksburg48.9%2,23150.8%2,3180.2%10
Galax62.4%81837.4%4900.2%3
Giles63.3%2,91636.6%1,6830.1%4
Gloucester72.1%8,12627.8%3,1300.1%16
Goochland70.8%5,83729.1%2,4010.1%10
Grayson70.3%3,02629.7%1,2790.0%0
Greene72.5%3,51427.4%1,3260.1%5
Greensville47.4%1,28352.6%1,4260.0%0
Halifax61.5%5,45338.3%3,3900.2%19
Hampton42.0%13,55957.9%18,6960.1%47
Hanover76.2%26,40123.6%8,1800.1%46
Harrisonburg57.7%3,81642.2%2,7900.2%11
Henrico56.2%49,46243.7%38,4200.1%114
Henry63.0%8,16037.0%4,7910.0%1
Highland55.1%61944.9%5050.0%0
Hopewell62.4%2,92637.4%1,7530.2%11
Isle of Wight65.8%7,68434.1%3,9810.1%8
James City65.6%15,19334.3%7,9450.1%25
King and Queen58.9%1,17541.0%8190.1%2
King George70.2%3,83929.7%1,6240.1%7
King William71.5%3,41128.4%1,3540.1%3
Lancaster64.6%3,05135.2%1,6610.3%12
Lee74.3%3,75525.7%1,3000.0%1
Lexington39.3%59260.5%9110.1%2
Loudoun61.0%39,99638.8%25,4300.1%95
Louisa65.3%5,71334.6%3,0230.1%7
Lunenburg62.5%2,04037.5%1,2220.0%1
Lynchburg61.8%12,50338.1%7,7130.1%26
Madison69.5%2,89230.5%1,2680.1%3
Manassas61.9%4,26638.0%2,6180.1%5
Manassas Park60.2%1,00639.8%6660.0%0
Martinsville48.2%1,56551.7%1,6780.2%5
Mathews69.9%2,49030.0%1,0670.1%4
Mecklenburg67.7%4,87232.3%2,3270.0%1
Middlesex69.5%2,65230.4%1,1610.1%2
Montgomery54.5%11,37845.3%9,4550.2%35
Nelson53.7%2,68346.2%2,3110.1%5
New Kent74.4%4,52625.5%1,5490.1%6
Newport News49.9%18,40150.0%18,4150.1%41
Norfolk39.8%15,91360.1%24,0250.1%50
Northampton51.0%1,97648.9%1,8920.1%4
Northumberland65.4%3,16734.4%1,6650.2%10
Norton60.6%56839.3%3690.1%1
Nottoway58.3%2,41541.6%1,7230.1%6
Orange67.3%6,24832.7%3,0330.1%6
Page70.1%5,24529.7%2,2230.1%9
Patrick70.0%3,38329.9%1,4420.1%5
Petersburg19.0%1,22181.0%5,2140.0%3
Pittsylvania71.5%11,73928.5%4,6890.0%0
Poquoson80.2%3,73719.8%9220.1%3
Portsmouth40.2%8,82459.8%13,1240.1%15
Powhatan79.8%7,28720.0%1,8280.1%11
Prince Edward55.0%2,75244.9%2,2500.1%4
Prince George68.9%5,84631.0%2,6340.1%7
Prince William58.7%43,99341.2%30,8470.1%100
Pulaski65.1%5,68934.8%3,0440.0%3
Radford54.6%1,55445.3%1,2910.1%3
Rappahannock57.7%1,66442.2%1,2170.1%3
Richmond County68.3%1,52531.7%7080.0%1
Richmond30.5%13,78569.2%31,2410.2%101
Roanoke County68.0%20,61731.8%9,6430.1%45
Roanoke48.0%9,92951.9%10,7310.1%21
Rockbridge58.1%3,96441.9%2,8590.0%3
Rockingham78.1%16,51921.8%4,5990.1%22
Russell62.4%4,81237.6%2,8950.0%2
Salem66.5%4,70633.4%2,3650.2%11
Scott78.8%4,37021.1%1,1720.1%3
Shenandoah74.9%9,12925.0%3,0490.1%18
Smyth73.5%5,42426.4%1,9460.1%7
Southampton59.8%2,99240.2%2,0110.0%2
Spotsylvania68.4%17,83131.5%8,2200.1%36
Stafford67.4%19,16432.4%9,2260.2%46
Staunton58.5%3,71541.4%2,6270.1%4
Suffolk55.7%11,09544.2%8,7980.1%14
Surry46.2%1,10553.6%1,2830.2%5
Sussex52.4%1,52847.6%1,3860.0%0
Tazewell73.4%7,58826.6%2,7490.1%7
Virginia Beach63.7%63,96436.2%36,3030.1%96
Warren68.6%5,60431.3%2,5590.1%8
Washington74.9%10,34825.1%3,4690.0%5
Waynesboro68.9%3,44731.0%1,5490.1%6
Westmoreland58.6%2,42241.4%1,7110.0%2
Williamsburg45.3%1,57954.6%1,9050.1%5
Winchester60.7%3,21539.2%2,0760.2%8
Wise70.3%5,53829.6%2,3270.1%9
Wythe72.6%5,65027.2%2,1190.1%10
York69.6%13,42030.3%5,8390.1%23

Counties and Independent Cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties and Independent Cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

References

External links

Campaign Websites (Archived)