The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]
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 County results Enzi: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]
Candidates
Declared
- Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3][4]
- Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker[5][6]
- Mike Enzi, incumbent senator[7]
- James "Coaltrain" Gregory[5]
- Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant[5]
Withdrew
- Liz Cheney, attorney, political commentator and daughter of Dick Cheney[8]
Endorsements
Mike Enzi
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (R-WY)[9]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO)[10]
- Richard Burr, U.S. Senator (R-NC)[10]
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[10]
- Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator (R-UT)[10]
- Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Representative (R-WY)[11]
- John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ) and nominee for President in 2008[11]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Minority Leader[9]
- Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (R-KS) and Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee[9]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY)[12]
- Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (R-AL)[10]
- Olympia Snowe, former U.S. Senator (R-ME)[13]
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)
- U.S. Ambassadors
- Mel Sembler, former Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee, former Ambassador to Australia, former Ambassador to Italy[14]
- Individuals
- Tammy Bruce, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[15]
- Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host, conservative political commentator[16]
- Mark Levin, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[17]
- Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[18]
Polling
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Enzi | Liz Cheney | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | July 17–18, 2013 | 422 | ± 4.77% | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 26% | 19% |
| Wickers Group ^ | August 22–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Wickers Group ^ | October 25–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 69% | 17% | 14% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Liz Cheney | Cynthia Lummis | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 34% | 41% | 25% |
Results
Enzi
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 77,965 | 78.51% | |
| Republican | Bryan E. Miller | 9,330 | 9.39% | |
| Republican | James "Coaltrain" Gregory | 3,740 | 3.77% | |
| Republican | Thomas Bleming | 2,504 | 2.52% | |
| Republican | Arthur Bruce Clifton | 1,403 | 1.41% | |
| Republican | Write-in | 346 | 0.35% | |
| Republican | Over Votes | 51 | 0.05% | |
| Republican | Under Votes | 3,973 | 4.00% | |
| Total votes | 99,312 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[5]
- Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012[20]
- Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate[5][21][22]
- Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010[23]
Declined
- Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008[24]
Results
Hardy
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Wilde
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 7,200 | 39.33% | |
| Democratic | Rex Wilde | 3,012 | 16.46% | |
| Democratic | Al Hamburg | 2,988 | 16.32% | |
| Democratic | William Bryk | 1,670 | 9.12% | |
| Democratic | Write-in | 216 | 1.18% | |
| Democratic | Over Votes | 31 | 0.17% | |
| Democratic | Under Votes | 3,189 | 17.42% | |
| Total votes | 18,306 | 100.00% | ||
Independents and Third Parties
Candidates
Declared
- Curt Gottshall (Independent), commercial airline pilot[25]
- Joseph Porambo (Libertarian), cook at an assisted living home[26]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[27] | Solid R | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[29] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[30] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Enzi (R) | Charlie Hardy (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 419 | ± 5.1% | 66% | 23% | 5% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20–21, 2014 | 700 | ± 4% | 63% | 27% | 4% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 350 | ± 8% | 66% | 21% | 4% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 264 | ± 7% | 75% | 17% | 2% | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 258 | ± 11% | 67% | 27% | 0% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
- With Enzi
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Enzi (R) | Dave Freudenthal (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 54% | 31% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Enzi (R) | Gary Trauner (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 66% | 19% | — | 14% |
- With Cheney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Liz Cheney (R) | Dave Freudenthal (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 45% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Liz Cheney (R) | Gary Trauner (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 31% | — | 20% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 121,554 | 72.19% | -3.44% | |
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 29,377 | 17.45% | -6.81% | |
| Independent | Curt Gottshall | 13,311 | 7.90% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Joseph Porambo | 3,677 | 2.18% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 471 | 0.28% | +0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 168,390 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
References
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in Wyoming, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
- Wyoming U.S. Senate debate excerpts, OnTheIssues.org
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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