Search

2016 United States Senate election in Indiana

The 2016 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Indiana. The election was held alongside the presidential election and 2016 Indiana elections.

2016 United States Senate election in Indiana
← 2010November 8, 20162022 →
 
NomineeTodd YoungEvan BayhLucy Brenton
PartyRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Popular vote1,423,9911,158,974149,481
Percentage52.11%42.41%5.47%
Young:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Bayh:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Dan Coats
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Todd Young
Republican

Republican incumbent Dan Coats, who served in the Senate since 2011 and previously from 1989 to 1999, ultimately chose to not seek reelection.[1] U.S. Representative Todd Young won the May 3 Republican primary to succeed him, with former U.S. Representative Baron Hill winning the Democratic nomination. However, Hill withdrew from the race on July 11, with former senator Evan Bayh entering the race to regain the seat, which he held from 1999 to 2011.

The Indiana Democratic Party formally chose Bayh as Hill's replacement on July 22. Following his entry, Bayh was initially seen as the frontrunner in the race. However, during the campaign, he faced heavy criticism over his post-Senate career as a lobbyist, as well as questions about his residency in the state. Young ultimately won by a comfortable margin, defeating Bayh in the general election by 10 points.[2]

Background

Republican Senator Dan Coats, who had served in the Senate since 2011, and previously from 1989 to 1999, stated that he planned to run for re-election,[3][4] but in March 2014 his chief of staff said that Coats had "decided not to decide whether to run again until after the [2014] midterm elections".[5]

On March 24, 2015, Coats announced that he would not run for re-election, citing that he would be of advanced age (just under 80 years old) by the end of the 2017–2023 term, should he complete it.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Marlin Stutzman

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Todd
Young		Marlin
Stutzman		Undecided
NBC/WSJ/MaristApril 26–28, 2016645± 3.9%56%24%20%
IPFW/Downs CenterApril 13–27, 2016400± 4.9%42%34%24%
WTHR/HoweyApril 18–21, 2016507± 4.0%43%31%26%

Results

Results by county:
  Young—80–90%
  Young—70–80%
  Young—60–70%
  Young—50–60%
  Stutzman—50–60%
  Stutzman—60–70%
  Stutzman—70–80%
Republican primary results[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTodd Young 661,136 67.0%
RepublicanMarlin Stutzman324,42933.0%
Total votes985,565 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Baron Hill, former U.S. Representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1990 (withdrew after winning primary)

Withdrawn

  • John Dickerson, former nonprofit organization director[29][30]

Declined

Endorsements

Baron Hill
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBaron Hill 516,183 100.00%
Total votes516,183 100.00%

Democratic State Central Committee selection

On July 11, 2016, CNN's Tom LoBianco announced that Bayh would enter the race to regain his old Senate seat and Hill would drop out and withdraw his name from the November ballot.[41] Hill soon released a statement formally dropping out of the race, saying he did not "...want to stand in the way of Democrats winning Indiana and the U.S. Senate. That would not be fair to my party or my state. And, the stakes are far too high in this election not to put my country above my own political ambitions,"[42] without explicitly endorsing Bayh.[42] The first candidate to declare was Bob Kern, a frequent candidate for Congress in various districts around the state.[43] Bayh officially declared for the race July 13.[44] The Indiana Democratic Party's State Central Committee chose Bayh as Hill's replacement, for the general election.[42]

Candidates

General election

Candidates

Debates

DatesLocationYoungBayhBrentonLink
October 18, 2016Indianapolis, IndianaParticipantParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN

Endorsements

Evan Bayh
U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
Mayors
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Todd Young
Presidents of the United States
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Former state party chairs
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[63]TossupNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64]Lean RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[65]TossupNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos[66]TossupNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[67]TossupNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Todd
Young (R)		Evan
Bayh (D)		Lucy
Brenton (L)		Undecided
SurveyMonkeyNovember 1–7, 20161,700± 4.6%53%42%—5%
SurveyMonkeyOct 31–Nov 6, 20161,383± 4.6%52%43%—5%
WTHR/HoweyNovember 1–3, 2016600± 4.0%46%41%6%7%
SurveyMonkeyOct 28–Nov 3, 2016923± 4.6%52%43%—5%
SurveyMonkeyOct 27–Nov 2, 2016790± 4.6%51%44%—5%
Gravis MarketingOct 30–Nov 1, 2016399± 4.9%37%40%7%16%
SurveyMonkeyOct 26–Nov 1, 2016638± 4.6%51%46%—3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 25–31, 2016674± 4.6%50%46%—4%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 27–30, 2016402± 4.9%45%45%4%5%
Gravis MarketingOctober 22–24, 2016596± 2.3%37%39%7%17%
WISH/Ball State Hoosier SurveyOctober 10–16, 2016544± 3.9%43%49%—6%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 11–13, 2016402± 4.9%42%48%6%4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young)October 9–11, 2016609± 4.0%40%39%8%13%
The Times-Picayune/LucidOctober 7–10, 20161,123± 3.0%43%46%—11%
WTHR/HoweyOctober 3–5, 2016600± 4.0%41%42%8%9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young)October 3, 2016[68]––38%42%7%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young)September 21, 2016[68]––39%44%9%8%
WTHR/Howey Archived October 16, 2016, at the Wayback MachineSeptember 6–8, 2016600± 4.0%40%44%5%11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young)September 1, 2016[68]––35%44%6%15%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Bayh)August 15–18, 2016801± 3.5%39%55%—6%
Monmouth UniversityAugust 13–16, 2016403± 4.9%41%48%4%7%
Global Strategy Group (D-SMP)August 10–14, 2016801± 3.5%36%54%—10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young)August 8, 2016[68]––35%48%7%10%
Expedition Strategies (R-Gregg)August 1–3, 2016600± 4.0%32%58%—9%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-DSCC)July 12–14, 2016602± 4.1%33%54%—13%
Hypothetical polling
with Baron Hill
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Todd
Young (R)		Baron
Hill (D)		Undecided
Bellwether ResearchMay 11–15, 2016600± 4.0%36%22%30%
WTHR/HoweyApril 18–21, 2016500± 4.3%48%30%22%
with Marlin Stutzman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Marlin
Stutzman (R)		Baron
Hill (D)		Undecided
WTHR/HoweyApril 18–21, 2016500± 4.0%39%36%25%

Results

United States Senate election in Indiana, 2016 [69]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanTodd Young 1,423,991 52.11% -2.47%
DemocraticEvan Bayh1,158,94742.41%+2.41%
LibertarianLucy Brenton149,4815.47%+0.06%
IndependentJames L. Johnson, Jr. (write-in)1270.01%N/A
Total votes2,732,546 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

External links

Official campaign websites
Retrieved from "https:https://www.search.com.vn/wiki/index.php?lang=en&q=2016_United_States_Senate_election_in_Indiana&oldid=1226172870"
🔥 Top keywords: Main PageSpecial:SearchWikipedia:Featured picturesYasukeHarrison ButkerRobert FicoBridgertonCleopatraDeaths in 2024Joyce VincentXXXTentacionHank AdamsIt Ends with UsYouTubeNew Caledonia2024 Indian general electionHeeramandiDarren DutchyshenSlovakiaKingdom of the Planet of the ApesAttempted assassination of Robert FicoLawrence WongBaby ReindeerXXX: Return of Xander CageThelma HoustonFuriosa: A Mad Max SagaMegalopolis (film)Richard GaddKepler's SupernovaWicked (musical)Sunil ChhetriXXX (2002 film)Ashley MadisonAnya Taylor-JoyPlanet of the ApesNava MauYoung SheldonPortal:Current eventsX-Men '97