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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
← 2016November 6, 20182020 →
All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election51
Seats won51
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote935,564613,040
Percentage59.59%39.05%
SwingDecrease 11.11%Increase 9.77%

Overview

Popular vote
Republican
 
59.59%
Democratic
 
39.05%
Other
 
1.36%
House seats
Republican
 
83.33%
Democratic
 
16.67%

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[1]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1172,16768.59%78,84931.41%00.00%251,016100.0%Republican hold
District 2171,70066.72%79,96431.07%5,6812.21%257,345100.0%Republican hold
District 3101,93036.57%173,00262.07%3,7881.36%278,720100.0%Democratic hold
District 4162,94662.24%90,53634.58%8,3303.18%261,812100.0%Republican hold
District 5172,09378.94%45,89021.05%340.02%218,017100.0%Republican hold
District 6154,46851.00%144,73647.79%3,6841.22%302,888100.0%Republican hold
Total935,30459.58%612,97739.05%21,5171.37%1,569,798100.0%

District 1

2018 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeJames ComerPaul Walker
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote172,16778,849
Percentage68.6%31.4%
County results
Comer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

Incumbent Republican James Comer, who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+23.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Paul Walker, professor[2]
Eliminated in primary
  • Alonzo Pennington, musician[3]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPaul Walker 51,094 74.6
DemocraticAlonzo Pennington17,39825.4
Total votes68,492 100.0

General election

Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Comer (incumbent) 172,167 68.6
DemocraticPaul Walker78,84931.4
Total votes251,016 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2018 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeBrett GuthrieHank Linderman
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote171,70079,964
Percentage66.7%31.1%
County results
Guthrie:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Hank Linderman, musician[4]
Eliminated in primary
  • Brian Pedigo, teacher and farmer[5]
  • Rane Eir Olivia Sessions, veteran and former intern for William D. Ford[6]
  • Grant Short pilot, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[7]

Results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHank Linderman 14,516 30.0
DemocraticBrian Pedigo13,86628.7
DemocraticRane Eir Olivia Sessions10,50121.7
DemocraticGrant Short9,47019.6
Total votes48,353 100.0

General election

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrett Guthrie (incumbent) 171,700 66.7
DemocraticHank Linderman79,96431.1
IndependentThomas Loecken5,6812.2
Total votes257,345 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2018 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeJohn YarmuthVickie Yates Glisson
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote173,002101,930
Percentage62.1%36.1%
County result
Yarmuth:      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with %63 of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Vickie Yates Glisson, lawyer and former state health secretary[8]
Eliminated in primary
  • Mike Craven, Ford worker
  • Rhonda Palazzo, realtor
Withdrawn
  • Waymen Eddings

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanVickie Yates Glisson 11,239 49.1
RepublicanMike Craven6,16326.9
RepublicanRhonda Palazzo5,51124.0
Total votes22,913 100.0

General election

Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Yarmuth (incumbent) 173,002 62.1
RepublicanVickie Yates Glisson101,93036.6
LibertarianGregory Boles3,7881.4
Total votes278,720 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2018 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeThomas MassieSeth Hall
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote162,94690,536
Percentage62.2%34.6%
County results
Massie:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

Incumbent Republican Thomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Seth Hall, health insurance worker
Eliminated in primary
  • Christina Lord[9]
  • Patti Piatt, business executive[10]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSeth Hall 17,859 40.8
DemocraticPatti Piatt16,44137.5
DemocraticChristina Lord9,50921.7
Total votes43,809 100.0

General election

Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas Massie (incumbent) 162,946 62.2
DemocraticSeth Hall90,53634.6
IndependentMike Moffett8,3182.2
IndependentDavid Goodwin (write-in)120.0
Total votes261,812 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2018 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeHal RogersKenneth Stepp
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote172,09345,890
Percentage78.9%21.0%
County results
Rogers:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+31.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Gerardo Serrano

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (incumbent) 75,405 84.2
RepublicanGerardo Serrano14,17715.8
Total votes89,582 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kenneth Stepp, attorney
Eliminated in primary
  • Scott Sykes

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKenneth Stepp 33,584 58.7
DemocraticScott Sykes23,63741.3
Total votes57,221 100.0

General election

Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (incumbent) 172,093 78.9
DemocraticKenneth Stepp45,89021.0
IndependentBill Ray (write-in)340.1
Total votes218,017 100.0

District 6

2018 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeAndy BarrAmy McGrath
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote154,468144,736
Percentage51.0%47.8%
County results
Barr:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
McGrath:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

Incumbent Republican Andy Barr, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Chuck Eddy

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (incumbent) 40,514 83.8
RepublicanChuck Eddy7,85816.2
Total votes48,372 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Campaign

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee included Kentucky's 6th congressional district on its initial list of Republican-held seats considered targets in 2018.[16][17] McGrath's campaign announcement video, entitled "Told Me" where she spoke of her navy service (being the first female Marine to fly an F-18 in combat), attracted much national attention.[18][19][20]

The DCCC opted to support Jim Gray in the primary.[21][22]

Endorsements

Jim Gray
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Amy McGrath
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Reggie Thomas
Individuals
  • Nancy Jo Kemper, former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches and nominee for this seat in 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jim
Gray		Amy
McGrath		Reggie
Thomas		OtherUndecided
Garin Hart Yang (D-McGrath)April 17–19, 2018400±5.0%35%42%6%3%14%
Mellman Group (D-Gray)March 3–6, 2018400±4.9%52%19%6%—23%

Results

County results
Map legend
  •   McGrath—60–70%
  •   McGrath—50–60%
  •   McGrath—40–50%
  •   Gray—50–60%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAmy McGrath 48,859 48.7
DemocraticJim Gray40,68440.5
DemocraticReggie Thomas7,2267.2
DemocraticGeoff Young1,5741.6
DemocraticDaniel Kemph1,2401.2
DemocraticTheodore Green8350.8
Total votes100,418 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Andy Barr (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Amy McGrath (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Andy
Barr (R)		Amy
McGrath (D)		OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeNovember 1–4, 2018438± 4.9%44%44%2%10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)October 6–8, 2018400± 4.9%48%46%––
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)September 30 – October 2, 2018501± 4.5%44%51%––
Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 12–17, 2018600± 4.0%47%47%2%3%
NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeSeptember 6–8, 2018506± 4.9%47%46%–7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)September 4–6, 2018400± 4.9%49%45%–6%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)July 7–10, 2018461± 4.6%43%50%–7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)June 6–7, 2018400± 4.9%38%51%–11%
DCCC (D)April 30–May 2, 2018508± 4.4%37%52%–8%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)February 5–7, 2018401± 5.0%48%44%––
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Andy
Barr (R)		Generic
Democrat		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D)February 12–13, 2018662± 3.8%42%44%–14%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[32]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[33]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[35]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[36]TossupNovember 5, 2018
538[37]TossupNovember 7, 2018

Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (incumbent) 154,468 51.0
DemocraticAmy McGrath144,73647.8
LibertarianFrank Harris2,1500.7
IndependentRikka Wallin1,0110.3
IndependentJames Germalic5230.2
Total votes302,890 100.0
Republican hold

See also

References

External links

Official campaign websites
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