2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2018November 3, 20202022 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election51
Seats won51
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote1,363,964735,419
Percentage64.46%34.76%
SwingIncrease 4.87%Decrease 4.29%

Overview

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1246,32974.99%82,14125.01%00.00%328,470100.0%Republican hold
District 2255,73570.96%94,64326.26%10,0212.78%360,399100.0%Republican hold
District 3136,42537.16%230,67262.84%00.00%367,097100.0%Democratic hold
District 4256,61367.09%125,89632.91%00.00%382,509100.0%Republican hold
District 5250,91484.21%47,05615.79%00.00%297,970100.0%Republican hold
District 6216,94857.32%155,01140.96%6,4911.72%378,450100.0%Republican hold
Total1,363,96464.46%735,41934.76%16,5120.78%2,115,895100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
64.46%
Democratic
34.76%
Other
0.78%
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67%

District 1

2020 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeJames ComerJames Rhodes
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote246,32982,141
Percentage75.0%25.0%

County results
Comer:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

James Comer
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • James Rhodes[2]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Comer (incumbent) 246,329 75.0
DemocraticJames Rhodes82,14125.0
Total votes328,470 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeBrett GuthrieHank Linderman
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote255,73594,643
Percentage70.9%26.3%

County results
Guthrie:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrett Guthrie (incumbent) 65,313 88.6
RepublicanKathleen Free8,38011.4
Total votes73,693 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Hank Linderman, nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2018[11]

Third parties

Libertarian Party

Populist Party

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrett Guthrie (incumbent) 255,735 70.9
DemocraticHank Linderman94,64326.3
LibertarianRobert Lee Perry7,5882.1
PopulistLewis Carter2,4310.7
Write-in20.0
Total votes360,399 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2020 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeJohn YarmuthRhonda Palazzo
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote230,672137,425
Percentage62.7%37.3%

County result
Yarmuth:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Yarmuth
Democratic

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[14]
  • Waymen Eddings, businessman[14]
  • Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[14]

Primary results

Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRhonda Palazzo 19,806 42.4
RepublicanMike Craven19,67642.1
RepublicanWaymen Eddings7,27515.5
Total votes46,757 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Yarmuth (incumbent) 230,672 62.7
RepublicanRhonda Palazzo137,42537.3
Total votes368,097 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2020 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeThomas MassieAlexandra Owensby
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote256,613125,896
Percentage67.1%32.9%

County results
Massie:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined
  • Kim Moser, state representative[17]

Endorsements

Thomas Massie (R)
US senators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Todd
McMurty
Kim
Moser
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[A]June 10–11, 2020411 (LV)± 4.9%77%11%12%
WPA Intelligence[A]April 27–28, 2020407 (LV)± 4.9%70%13%17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B]February 4–6, 2020300 (V)± 5.66%71%3%
WPA Intelligence[C]July 8–9, 2019400 (LV)± 4.9%64%10%26%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Generic
Republican
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[C]July 8–9, 2019400 (LV)± 4.9%50%8%43%[b]

Primary results

Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas Massie (incumbent) 68,591 81.0
RepublicanTodd McMurtry16,09219.0
Total votes84,683 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Shannon Fabert, business consultant[19]
  • Alexandra Owensby, nurse practitioner[19]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAlexandra Owensby 41,531 58.4
DemocraticShannon Fabert29,55741.6
Total votes71,088 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas Massie (incumbent) 256,613 67.1
DemocraticAlexandra Owensby125,89632.9
Total votes382,509 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2020 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeHal RogersMatthew Best
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote250,91447,056
Percentage84.2%15.8%

County results
Rogers:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[20]
  • Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018[20]

Primary results

Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (incumbent) 76,575 91.1
RepublicanGerardo Serrano7,4368.9
Total votes84,011 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[9]Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (incumbent) 250,914 84.2
DemocraticMatthew Best47,05615.8
Total votes297,970 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2020 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeAndy BarrJosh Hicks
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote216,948155,011
Percentage57.3%41.0%

County results
Barr:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hicks:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (incumbent) 62,706 90.7
RepublicanChuck Eddy3,6365.3
RepublicanGeoff Young2,7654.0
Total votes69,107 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran[24]
  • Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018[23]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJosh Hicks 81,305 72.4
DemocraticDaniel Kemph31,06427.6
Total votes112,369 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Josh Hicks (D)

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Likely RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4]Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5]Likely RJuly 2, 2020
Politico[6]Likely RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7]Likely RJune 3, 2020
RCP[8]Lean ROctober 24, 2020
Niskanen[9]Lean RJune 7, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Andy
Barr (R)
Josh
Hicks (D)
Frank
Harris (L)
Undecided
Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D)[D]July 13, 2020700 (LV)± 5.0%48%50%2%11%

Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2020[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (incumbent) 216,948 57.3
DemocraticJosh Hicks155,01141.0
LibertarianFrank Harris6,4911.7
Total votes378,450 100.0
Republican hold

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

References

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates