The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Overview
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 246,329 | 74.99% | 82,141 | 25.01% | 0 | 0.00% | 328,470 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 255,735 | 70.96% | 94,643 | 26.26% | 10,021 | 2.78% | 360,399 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 136,425 | 37.16% | 230,672 | 62.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 367,097 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 256,613 | 67.09% | 125,896 | 32.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 382,509 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 250,914 | 84.21% | 47,056 | 15.79% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,970 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 6 | 216,948 | 57.32% | 155,011 | 40.96% | 6,491 | 1.72% | 378,450 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
Total | 1,363,964 | 64.46% | 735,419 | 34.76% | 16,512 | 0.78% | 2,115,895 | 100.0% |
District 1
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Comer: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- James Rhodes[2]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | James Comer (incumbent) | 246,329 | 75.0 | |
Democratic | James Rhodes | 82,141 | 25.0 | |
Total votes | 328,470 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Guthrie: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Kathleen Free[11]
- Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative[11]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 65,313 | 88.6 | |
Republican | Kathleen Free | 8,380 | 11.4 | |
Total votes | 73,693 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Third parties
Libertarian Party
- Robert Lee Perry[citation needed]
Populist Party
- Lewis Carter[citation needed]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 255,735 | 70.9 | |
Democratic | Hank Linderman | 94,643 | 26.3 | |
Libertarian | Robert Lee Perry | 7,588 | 2.1 | |
Populist | Lewis Carter | 2,431 | 0.7 | |
Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 360,399 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County result Yarmuth: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Yarmuth, incumbent U.S. representative[13]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[14]
- Waymen Eddings, businessman[14]
- Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[14]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rhonda Palazzo | 19,806 | 42.4 | |
Republican | Mike Craven | 19,676 | 42.1 | |
Republican | Waymen Eddings | 7,275 | 15.5 | |
Total votes | 46,757 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[4] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[6] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[7] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[8] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[9] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 230,672 | 62.7 | |
Republican | Rhonda Palazzo | 137,425 | 37.3 | |
Total votes | 368,097 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Massie: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative[15]
- Todd McMurtry, attorney[16]
Declined
- Kim Moser, state representative[17]
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Thomas Massie | Todd McMurty | Kim Moser | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence[A] | June 10–11, 2020 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 77% | 11% | – | 12% |
WPA Intelligence[A] | April 27–28, 2020 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 70% | 13% | – | 17% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | February 4–6, 2020 | 300 (V) | ± 5.66% | 71% | 3% | – | – |
WPA Intelligence[C] | July 8–9, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 64% | – | 10% | 26% |
- with Generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Thomas Massie | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence[C] | July 8–9, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 8% | 43%[b] |
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 68,591 | 81.0 | |
Republican | Todd McMurtry | 16,092 | 19.0 | |
Total votes | 84,683 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alexandra Owensby | 41,531 | 58.4 | |
Democratic | Shannon Fabert | 29,557 | 41.6 | |
Total votes | 71,088 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 256,613 | 67.1 | |
Democratic | Alexandra Owensby | 125,896 | 32.9 | |
Total votes | 382,509 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Rogers: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[20]
- Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018[20]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 76,575 | 91.1 | |
Republican | Gerardo Serrano | 7,436 | 8.9 | |
Total votes | 84,011 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Matthew Best[20]
Declined
- Rocky Adkins, minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Kentucky in 2019[21]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 250,914 | 84.2 | |
Democratic | Matthew Best | 47,056 | 15.8 | |
Total votes | 297,970 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 6
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Barr: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hicks: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative[22]
- Chuck Eddy, retired salesman[23]
- Geoff Young, perennial candidate and assistant director[23]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 62,706 | 90.7 | |
Republican | Chuck Eddy | 3,636 | 5.3 | |
Republican | Geoff Young | 2,765 | 4.0 | |
Total votes | 69,107 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran[24]
- Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018[23]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Josh Hicks | 81,305 | 72.4 | |
Democratic | Daniel Kemph | 31,064 | 27.6 | |
Total votes | 112,369 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- Charles Booker, state representative and former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[25]
- VoteVets[26]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[3] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[6] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[7] | Likely R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[8] | Lean R | October 24, 2020 |
Niskanen[9] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Andy Barr (R) | Josh Hicks (D) | Frank Harris (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D)[D] | July 13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% | 11% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 216,948 | 57.3 | |
Democratic | Josh Hicks | 155,011 | 41.0 | |
Libertarian | Frank Harris | 6,491 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 378,450 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Kentucky", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Kentucky: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Kentucky". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Kentucky at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- James Comer (R) for Congress
- James Rhodes (D) for Congress Archived January 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Brett Guthrie (R) for Congress
- Hank Linderman (D) for Congress
- Robert Lee Perry (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Rhonda Palazzo (R) for Congress Archived June 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- John Yarmuth (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Thomas Massie (R) for Congress
- Alexandra Owensby (D) for Congress Archived November 15, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Andy Barr (R) for Congress
- Josh Hicks (D) for Congress Archived June 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine