2022 Sicilian regional election

2022 Sicilian regional election
All 70 seats to the Sicilian Regional Assembly; 36 seats needed for a majority
President before election; Nello Musumeci; DB	Elected President ; Renato Schifani; FI

The 2022 Sicilian regional election for the renewal of the Sicilian Regional Assembly and the election of the President of Sicily were held on 25 September, 2022. Renato Schifani, candidate of the centre-right coalition, easily won the election, becoming the next president of the region.^[1]

Electoral system

The Sicilian Parliament is elected with a mixed system: 62 MPs are chosen with a form of proportional representation using a largest remainder method with open lists and a 5% threshold, while 8 MPs (7+1) are elected using Party bloc vote.

AG	CL	CT	EN	ME	PA	RG	SR	TP	Total
6	3	13	2	8	16	4	5	5	62

Background

Progressive camp primary election

On 18 June a press conference was held between the leaders of Democratic Party, Five Star Movement, Italian Left, Green Europe, Article One, Italian Socialist Party and One Hundred Steps for Sicily. They presented the guidelines for the Progressive camp primary election, which was held on 23 July. The deadline for the candidacies was set for June 30.^[2]^[3] Caterina Chinnici won the primary election with 44% of votes, ahead of Barbara Floridia (32%) and Claudio Fava (23%).^[4]

Candidate		Party	Votes	%	Notes
	Caterina Chinnici	Democratic Party	14,552	44.77%	^[5]
	Barbara Floridia	Five Star Movement	10,317	31.74%	^[6]
	Claudio Fava	One Hundred Steps for Sicily	7,547	23.22%	^[7]^[8]
Total				100%

Parties and candidates

Below is a list of the parties and their respective leaders in the election.

Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Previous result		Candidate	Ref.
Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Votes (%)	Seats	Candidate	Ref.
	Centre-right coalition		Forza Italia	16.4	12	Renato Schifani
			Populars and Autonomists – Us With Sicily	7.1	5
			Brothers of Italy (incl. DB)	5.6	3
			Italy First – League	5.6	3
			Christian Democracy (incl. UDC)	—	—
	Five Star Movement			26.7	19	Nuccio Di Paola	^[9]
	Centre-left coalition		Democratic Party (incl. PSI)	13.0	11	Caterina Chinnici
		One Hundred Steps for Sicily (incl. Art.1, SI and EV)	5.2	1		Caterina Chinnici
	Free Sicilians			0.7	–	Eliana Esposito	^[10]
	Action – Italia Viva (incl. Together and PSS)			—	—	Gaetano Armao	^[11]
	De Luca's coalition		South calls North	—	—	Cateno De Luca	^[12]
	De Luca's coalition		Sicilia Vera	—	—

Opinion polling

Candidates

Exit poll

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	Schifani	Di Paola	Chinnici	De Luca	Armao	Others	Lead
Date	Polling firm	Sample size						Others	Lead
25 Sep 2022	Opinio	–	37–41	13–17	15.5–19.5	24–28	1.5–3.5	1.5–3.5	13.0
1–8 Sep 2022	SWG	1,800	33–37	10–14	17–21	26–30	1–3	2–6	7.0
7 Sep 2022	Noto	1,000	41.0	15.0	25.0	12.0	4.0	2.0	16.0
2–6 Sep 2022	Ipsos	1,200	28.7	19.5	22.1	23.5	4.6	1.6	5.2
1–3 Sep 2022	Tecnè	2,000	37–41	11–15	25–29	13–17	3–5	2–3	12.0
26–29 Aug 2022	Tecnè	2,000	38–42	8–12	27–31	12–16	3–5	2–4	11.0

Hypothetical candidates

Date	Polling firm	Musumeci	Cancelleri	Micari	Fava	De Luca	No-one	Lead
Date	Polling firm						No-one	Lead
26 Jun 2021	Keix	26.1	22.1	6.0	13.2	—	31.0	4.0
		28.1	27.1	—	—	—	44.8	1.0
		24.2	21.1	—	—	13.8	40.9	3.1
		23.6	—	—	21.1	14.6	TBA	2.5
		28.5	—	—	25.4	—	TBA	3.1

Parties

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	CDX								M5S	CSX						IV	A	+E	Others	Lead
			FI	MpA/NcI	UDC–CP–IS	#DB	FdI	Lega	CI	Other	M5S	PD	CPpS	Art.1	SI	EV	Other	IV	A	+E
										Other							Other
9–14 March 2022	Keix	1,920	10.3	0.6	1.6	6.8	15.4	7.8	—	—	22.9	9.8	2.6			—	—	3.3	0.6	—	—	7.5
16 February 2022	Demopolis	—	14.0	—	—	—	26.0	9.0	—	—	21.0	18.2	—			—	—	—	—	—	11.8	5.0
23 December 2021	Noto	—	11	3.5	—	9	15	8	1	3.5	15.0	17.0	2.5			2.0	2.0	2	1.5	1.5	5.0	2.0
26 June 2021	Keix	—	9.2	2.5	3.5	8.1	13.7	10.5	—	—	22.7	13.9	4.4	3.1	0.7	—	—	4.2	3.1	—	—	9.0

Results


Candidates		Votes	%	Seats	Parties		Votes	%	Seats

	Renato Schifani	887,215	42.05	7
						Brothers of Italy	282,345	15.10	11
						Forza Italia	275,736	14.75	11
						Italy First – League	127,454	6.80	4
						Populars and Autonomists	127,096	6.80	3
						Christian Democracy	121,691	6.51	4
					Total		934,322	49.96	33
	Cateno De Luca	505,386	23.95	1
						South calls North	254,453	13.61	7
						Sicilia Vera	50,877	2.72	–
						Sicilian Pride	18,165	0.97	–
						Land of Love	3,390	0.18	–
						Young Sicilians	3,042	0.16	–
						Sicilian Autonomy	3,042	0.16	–
						Sicily Feat	2,702	0.14	–
						Work in Sicily	1,793	0.10	–
						Enough Mafias	1,356	0.07	–
					Total		336,390	18.11	7
	Caterina Chinnici	341,252	16.17	–
						Democratic Party	238,761	12.77	11
						One Hundred Steps for Sicily	55,599	2.97	–
					Total		294,360	15.74	11
	Nuccio di Paola	321,142	15.22	–		Five Star Movement	254,974	13.64	11
	Gaetano Armao	43,835	2.08	–		Action – Italia Viva	39,788	2.13	–
	Eliana Esposito	10,973	0.52	–		Free Sicilians	7,654	0.41	–

Blank and invalid votes		140,596	6.25
Total candidates		2,250,399	100.00	8	Total parties		1,869,863	100.00	62
Registered voters/turnout		4,609,984	48.82
Source: Regione Sicilia

Popular vote

FdI			15.10%
FI			14.75%
M5S			13.64%
ScN			13.61%
PD			12.77%
Lega			6.80%
Pe A			6.80%
DC			6.51%
CPpS			2.97%
SV			2.72%
A–IV			2.13%

President

Schifani			42.05%
De Luca			23.95%
Chinnici			16.17%
Di Paola			15.22%
Armao			2.08%
Esposito			0.52%

References

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