The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Connecticut, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2022 U.S. Senate race in Connecticut and the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 5 Connecticut seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This election was the closest the Republican Party has gotten to gaining a seat since 2006, where the last Republican representative was elected, as well as the first time since 2006 in which any district was won by a margin lower than 1%. This was due to the very narrow margin in Connecticut's 5th district, with Rep. Jahana Hayes winning only by a margin of 0.79%.
District 1
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Municipality results Larson 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Lazor 50-60% 60-70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses Hartford and the surrounding areas, including the north-central part of the state. The incumbent was Democrat John Larson, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2020.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Larson, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Disqualified
- Muad Hrezi, educator and former U.S. Senate staffer[3][4]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[7]
- Organizations
- Jewish Voice for Peace Action Fund[8]
- Sunrise Connecticut[9]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Republican convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Larry Lazor, physician[14]
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Green |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
John Larson | Larry Lazor | Mary Sanders | |||||
1 | Oct. 12, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting | Ray Hardman | YouTube | P | P | N |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Solid D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[23] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | John Larson | 144,873 | 59.4 | |
Working Families | John Larson | 4,683 | 1.9 | |
Total | John Larson | 149,556 | 61.3 | |
Republican | Larry Lazor | 91,506 | 37.5 | |
Green | Mary Sanders | 2,851 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 243,913 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
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Municipality results Courtney 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% France 40-50% 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd congressional district is located in eastern Connecticut and includes Enfield, Norwich, New London, and Groton. The incumbent was Democrat Joe Courtney, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2020.[1] Courtney ran for and won re-election in 2022.
Democratic convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Courtney, incumbent U.S. representative[25]
Failed to qualify
- Anthony DiLizia, army veteran[26]
Endorsements
Republican convention
Candidates
Nominee
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Green | Libertarian |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
Joe Courtney | Mike France | Kevin Blacker | William Hall | |||||
1 | Oct. 4, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting | Catherine Shen | YouTube | P | P | N | N |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[15] | Likely D | May 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Likely D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Lean D | October 30, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Likely D | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid D | October 30, 2022 |
The Economist[23] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Courtney (D) | Mike France (R) | William Hall (L) | Other | Undecided |
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Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | October 23–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 29% | 5% | 2%[b] | 13% |
55% | 36% | – | – | 9% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Joe Courtney (incumbent) | 165,946 | 58.2 | |
Republican | Mike France | 114,506 | 40.2 | |
Green | Kevin Blacker | 2,439 | 0.9 | |
Libertarian | William Hall | 2,140 | 0.7 | |
Total votes | 285,031 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
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Municipality results DeLauro 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% DeNardis 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in the south central part of the state and takes in New Haven and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Rosa DeLauro, was re-elected with 58.7% of the vote in 2020.[1] DeLauro ran for and won re-election in 2022.
Democratic convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Rosa DeLauro, incumbent U.S. representative[29]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Republican convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Lesley DeNardis, daughter of former congressman Lawrence DeNardis and former Hamden Board of Education member[31]
Independents and third-party candidates
Declared
- Amy Chai (independent), physician[32]
- Justin Paglino (Green), doctor and nominee for this district in 2020[33][34]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Solid D | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[23] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Rosa DeLauro (incumbent) | 137,924 | 56.8 | |
Republican | Lesley DeNardis | 98,704 | 40.7 | |
Independent | Amy Chai | 4,056 | 1.7 | |
Green | Justin Paglino | 1,967 | 0.8 | |
Total votes | 242,651 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
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Municipality results Himes 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Stevenson 50-60% 60-70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in southwestern Connecticut, stretching from Greenwich to Bridgeport. The incumbent was Democrat Jim Himes, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2020.[1] Himes ran for and won re-election in 2022.
Democratic convention
Candidates
Nominee
Endorsements
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jayme Stevenson, former Darien First Selectman and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Connecticut in 2018[37]
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Goldstein, ophthalmologist[38][39]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jayme Stevenson | 9,962 | 60.3 | |
Republican | Michael Goldstein | 6,655 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 16,517 | 100.0 |
General election
Debate
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Jim Himes | Jayme Stevenson | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting | Kaliliah Brown-Dean | YouTube | P | P |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[15] | Solid D | February 10, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Solid D | April 20, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe D | February 16, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Solid D | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[22] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[23] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Jim Himes (D) | Jayme Stevenson (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | October 23–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 37% | – | 10% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jim Himes (incumbent) | 140,262 | 59.4 | |
Republican | Jayme Stevenson | 93,329 | 39.5 | |
Independent Party | Jayme Stevenson | 2,493 | 1.1 | |
Total | Jayme Stevenson | 95,822 | 40.6 | |
Total votes | 236,084 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
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Municipality results Hayes 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Logan 50-60% 60-70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is based in the northwestern region of the state, including the cities of Danbury, New Britain, Meriden, and most of Waterbury. The incumbent was Democrat Jahana Hayes, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] Hayes ran for and narrowly won re-election in 2022 by a margin of 0.8%.[42]
Democratic convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Jahana Hayes, incumbent U.S. representative[42]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[43]
- Congressional Black Caucus[44]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[45]
- EMILY's List[46]
- Feminist Majority PAC[47]
- Giffords[48]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[49]
- League of Conservation Voters[50]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[30]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[11]
- Sierra Club[12]
- Labor unions
Republican convention
Candidates
Nominee
- George Logan, former state senator (2017–2021)[51][52]
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from Louisiana's 1st congressional district (2008–)[53]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present)[54]
- Bryan Steil, U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 1st congressional district (2019–present)[55]
- Organizations
General election
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Jahana Hayes | George Logan | |||||
1 | Oct. 18, 2022 | WTNH | Dennis House | YouTube | P | P |
2 | Oct. 21, 2022 | Connecticut Public Broadcasting | Frankie Graziano | YouTube | P | P |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[15] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
Inside Elections[16] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Politico[18] | Tossup | October 3, 2022 |
RCP[19] | Tossup | October 3, 2022 |
Fox News[20] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[21] | Lean D | October 27, 2022 |
538[22] | Lean D | October 25, 2022 |
The Economist[23] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Jahana Hayes (D) | George Logan (R) | Undecided [c] | Margin |
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FiveThirtyEight | July 16 – October 27, 2022 | October 29, 2022 | 46.7% | 45.3% | 8.0% | Hayes +1.4 |
- Graphical summary
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Jahana Hayes (D) | George Logan (R) | Other | Undecided |
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Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | October 23–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | – | 6% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
RMG Research | July 20–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 37% | 3% | 15% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[B] | July 16–24, 2022 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | – | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] | June 29–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
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Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] | October 4–6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[B] | July 16–24, 2022 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] | June 29–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jahana Hayes | 123,818 | 48.8 | |
Working Families | Jahana Hayes | 4,020 | 1.6 | |
Total | Jahana Hayes (incumbent) | 127,838 | 50.4 | |
Republican | George Logan | 123,342 | 48.6 | |
Independent Party | George Logan | 2,492 | 1.0 | |
Total | George Logan | 125,834 | 49.6 | |
Total votes | 253,672 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Connecticut", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Connecticut: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Connecticut". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Connecticut at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates