2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut

The 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut.

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut

← 2016November 8, 20222028 →
Turnout51.03% Decrease
 
NomineeRichard BlumenthalLeora Levy
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceWorking Families
Popular vote723,864535,943
Percentage57.45%42.54%

Blumenthal:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Levy:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Richard Blumenthal
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Richard Blumenthal
Democratic

Democrat Richard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in 2010 with 55.2% of the vote over Republican Linda McMahon. He was then re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote over Republican Dan Carter. Blumenthal ran for reelection to a third term in office and secured the 2022 nomination. Businesswoman Leora Levy won the Republican primary on August 9, 2022. Blumenthal won reelection, defeating Levy by about 15 points.[1] The race took place simultaneously with the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election.

Democratic convention

Candidates

Nominated at convention

Endorsements

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Eliminated at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Themis Klarides
Leora Levy
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. House of Representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Results by county
Results by municipality
  Levy
  •   30-40%
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  Klarides
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
Republican primary results[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLeora Levy 46,774 50.60%
RepublicanThemis Klarides37,00340.03%
RepublicanPeter Lumaj8,6659.37%
Total votes92,442 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[32]Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[33]Solid DApril 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34]Safe DMarch 1, 2022
Politico[35]Likely DAugust 12, 2022
RCP[36]Lean DOctober 15, 2022
Fox News[37]Likely DSeptember 20, 2022
DDHQ[38]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[39]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[40]Safe DSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Leora Levy (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Richard
Blumenthal (D)
Leora
Levy (R)
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 10–23, 2022October 30, 202252.7%41.7%5.6%Blumenthal +11.0
FiveThirtyEightSeptember 15 – October 19, 2022October 30, 202253.4%40.9%5.7%Blumenthal +12.4
270towinSeptember 7–21, 2022October 30, 202252.7%41.7%5.6%Blumenthal +11.0
Average52.9%41.4%5.7%Blumenthal +11.5
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Richard
Blumenthal (D)
Leora
Levy (R)
OtherUndecided
Long Island UniversityOctober 24–26, 20221,004 (A)± 3.0%51%26%9%[c]14%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 19–23, 20221,879 (LV)± 2.3%56%41%1%[d]2%
Emerson CollegeOctober 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%53%40%2%[e]5%
54%42%4%[f]
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)[A]October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.8%49%44%7%
Western New England UniversitySeptember 15–21, 2022766 (RV)± 3.2%51%37%2%[g]10%
626 (LV)± 4.8%53%40%2%[h]5%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 15–19, 20221,911 (LV)± 2.2%57%40%1%[i]3%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%36%15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%33%22%
Emerson CollegeMay 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%52%36%11%
Hypothetical polling
Richard Blumenthal vs. Themis Klarides
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Richard
Blumenthal (D)
Themis
Klarides (R)
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%45%34%21%
Emerson CollegeMay 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%50%40%10%
Richard Blumenthal vs. Peter Lumaj
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Richard
Blumenthal (D)
Peter
Lumaj (R)
Undecided
Emerson CollegeMay 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%35%14%
Richard Blumenthal vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Richard
Blumenthal (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%41%47%12%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Fabrizo Lee (R)[A]October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)45%43%1%[j]11%

Debates

2022 United States Senate general election in Connecticut debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Richard BlumenthalLeora Levy
1Nov. 2, 2022Channel 3, CT InsiderYouTubePP

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut[48]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticRichard Blumenthal701,17555.65%-2.03%
Working FamiliesRichard Blumenthal22,6891.80%-3.71%
TotalRichard Blumenthal (incumbent) 723,864 57.45% -5.74%
RepublicanLeora Levy535,94342.54%+7.92%
Write-in800.00%±0.0%
Total votes1,259,887 100.00%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Blumenthal won all 5 congressional districts.[49]

DistrictBlumenthalLevyRepresentative
1st63%37%John B. Larson
2nd55%45%Joe Courtney
3rd58%42%Rosa DeLauro
4th61%39%Jim Himes
5th52%48%Jahana Hayes

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

References

Official campaign websites