The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the seventeen seats in Pennsylvania (reduced from 18 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census).
 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 17 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
  | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pennsylvania's legislature enacted new district maps in January 2022, which were promptly vetoed by Governor Tom Wolf. The state supreme court took control of the process and selected a map in February 2022. After the court rejected several legal challenges in March, the new district boundaries were used in the May 2022 primary elections.[1][2]
Democrats won the majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. Pennsylvania and Nevada were the only two states in 2022 where the party that won a majority of seats did not win a majority of popular votes. However, not every seat was contested in Pennsylvania.
District 1
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 .svg) Results Fitzpatrick: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Ehasz: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
_(cropped).jpg)
.jpg)
The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5 points in 2020. Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 54.9% of the vote.[4]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brian Fitzpatrick, incumbent U.S. Representative[5][6]
Eliminated in primary
- Alex Entin, procurement manager[7]
Withdrawn
- Caroline Avery, personal antiquities buyer (running as a Libertarian)[8]
- Bradley Lanning, realtor[9][10]
- Dasha Pruett, photographer and nominee for Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district in 2020[11][10]
Endorsements
Brian Fitzpatrick
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 60,502 | 65.6 | |
| Republican | Alex Entin | 31,772 | 34.4 | |
| Total votes | 92,274 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Ashley Ehasz
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ashley Ehasz | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 79,546 | 100.0 | |||
Independent and third-party candidates
Libertarian Party
Disqualified
- Caroline Avery, personal antiquities buyer (originally ran as a Republican)[24]
Endorsements
Caroline Avery
- Organizations
Green Party
Withdrawn
- Henry Conoly, activist[26][27][better source needed]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | May 26, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | August 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Likely R | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Likely R | October 3, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Lean R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Likely R | August 22, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
Ashley Ehasz (D)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | Ashley Ehasz (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] | September 5–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 35% | – | 10% |
| RMG Research | July 22–29, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 35% | 10% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) Archived June 27, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[B] | June 24–25, 2022 | 626 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 38% | – | 18% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) | 201,571 | 54.9 | |
| Democratic | Ashley Ehasz | 165,809 | 45.1 | |
| Total votes | 367,380 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Boyle: 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+22 and voted for Joe Biden by 43 points in 2020. Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 75.7% of the vote.[41]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Brendan Boyle, incumbent U.S. Representative[42]
Declined
- Sharif Street, state senator from the 3rd district and son of former Philadelphia Mayor John F. Street[43]
Endorsements
Brendan Boyle
Polling
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Brendan Boyle | Sharif Street | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MuniciPoll (D)[C] | December 4–7, 2021 | 939 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 58% | 18% | 24% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 53,825 | 100.0 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Aaron Bashir | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 11,796 | 100.0 | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brendan Boyle (incumbent) | 141,229 | 75.7 | |
| Republican | Aaron Bashir | 45,454 | 24.3 | |
| Total votes | 186,683 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Evans: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+40, making it the second most democratic leaning district in the nation (behind NY-13), and voted for Joe Biden by 81 points. Democrat Dwight Evans, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 95.1% of the vote.[49]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dwight Evans, incumbent U.S. Representative[50]
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Cogbill[47]
- Alexandra Hunt, public health researcher[51]
Declined
Endorsements
Dwight Evans
Alexandra Hunt
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States in 2020[56]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 97,709 | 75.7 | |
| Democratic | Alexandra Hunt | 25,712 | 19.9 | |
| Democratic | Michael Cogbill | 5,728 | 4.4 | |
| Total votes | 129,149 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
Socialist Workers Party
Qualified for ballot
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dwight Evans (incumbent) | 251,115 | 95.1 | |
| Socialist Workers | Christopher Hoeppner | 12,820 | 4.9 | |
| Total votes | 263,935 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Dean: 60–70% Nascimento: 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 19 points in 2020. Democrat Madeleine Dean, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.3% of the vote in the general election.[59]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Madeleine Dean, incumbent U.S. Representative[60][61]
Endorsements
Madeleine Dean
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madeleine Dean (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 96,876 | 100.0 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Christian Nascimento, vice president of product at Comcast and former Methacton School Board president[64][65]
Eliminated in primary
- Daniel Burton
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Christian Nascimento | 47,192 | 68.8 | |
| Republican | Daniel Burton | 21,378 | 31.2 | |
| Total votes | 68,570 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
Madeleine Dean (D)
- Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America[66]
- National Education Association[67]
- Pennsylvania AFL-CIO[63]
- SEIU Pennsylvania State Council[68]
- Organizations
Christian Nascimento (R)
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Madeleine Dean (incumbent) | 224,799 | 61.3 | |
| Republican | Christian Nascimento | 141,986 | 38.7 | |
| Total votes | 366,785 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Scanlon: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+14 and voted for Joe Biden by 32 points in 2020. Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who had represented the district since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 65.1% of the vote in the general election.[73]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mary Gay Scanlon, incumbent U.S. Representative[61]
Endorsements
Mary Gay Scanlon
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 79,816 | 100.0 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Galluch | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 55,770 | 100.0 | |||
Independent and third-party candidates
Libertarian Party
Filed paperwork
- Robert Margus[79]
General election
Forum
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Mary Gay Scanlon | David Galluch | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 10, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Delaware County League of Women Voters of Lower Merion & Narberth | Jamie Mogil | YouTube | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) | 205,128 | 65.1 | |
| Republican | David Galluch | 110,058 | 34.9 | |
| Total votes | 315,186 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Houlahan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+5 and voted for Joe Biden by 15 points in 2020. Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 58.3% of the vote in the general election.[80]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chrissy Houlahan, incumbent U.S. Representative[81][82]
Endorsements
Chrissy Houlahan
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 71,950 | 100.0 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Guy Ciarrocchi, CEO of the Chester County Chamber of Business & Industry and former chief of staff to Lieutenant Governor Jim Cawley[86][87]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Regina Mauro
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Guy Ciarrochi | 23,369 | 33.1 | |
| Republican | Steve Fanelli | 21,146 | 29.9 | |
| Republican | Ron Vogel | 15,628 | 22.1 | |
| Republican | Regina Mauro | 10,565 | 14.9 | |
| Total votes | 70,708 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Chrissy Houlahan | Guy Ciarrocchi | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | Greater Reading Unity Coalition | Anthony Orozco | YouTube | P | P |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid D | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Likely D | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Likely D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Lean D | October 17, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Likely D | November 1, 2022 |
Endorsements
Chrissy Houlahan (D)
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- 314 Action[83]
- AIPAC PAC[12]
- Clean Water Action[69]
- Council for a Livable World[92]
- EMILY's List[92]
- End Citizens United[75]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[92]
- Feminist Majority PAC[62]
- Giffords[53]
- Human Rights Campaign[92]
- League of Conservation Voters[92]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[92]
- National Organization for Women PAC[93]
- National Women's Political Caucus[84]
- New Politics[85]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[22]
- Sierra Club[46]
- VoteVets.org[23]
Guy Ciarrocchi
- Statewide officials
- Timothy DeFoor, Auditor General of Pennsylvania (2021–present)[94]
- U.S. Representatives
- Lloyd Smucker, PA-16 (2017–2019), PA-8 (2019–present)[94]
- State legislators
- Harry Lewis, Pennsylvania state representative, 74th district (2015–2018)[94]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) | 190,386 | 58.3 | |
| Republican | Guy Ciarrocchi | 136,097 | 41.7 | |
| Total votes | 326,483 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 7
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Wild: 50-60% Scheller: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County. The district was modestly altered by redistricting, losing Stroudsburg in exchange for Carbon County.[3] This made the district more conservative, with a PVI of R+2, but it voted for Joe Biden by 0.6 points in 2020. Democrat Susan Wild, a representative since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 51.0% of the vote.[97]
During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of candidate Kevin Dellicker.[98]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Susan Wild, incumbent U.S. Representative[99][100]
Endorsements
Susan Wild
- Organizations
- AIPAC PAC[12]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[101]
- EMILY's List[102]
- End Citizens United[75]
- Feminist Majority PAC[62]
- Giffords[103]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[104]
- League of Conservation Voters[55]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[105]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[22]
- Pro-Israel America[14]
- Sierra Club[46]
- Labor unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Wild (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 63,817 | 100.0 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lisa Scheller, former Lehigh County commissioner and nominee for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district in 2020[106][107]
Eliminated in primary
- Kevin Dellicker, businessman and former National Guardsman[108]
Withdrew
Endorsements
Lisa Scheller
- Executive branch officials
- Mike Pompeo, United States Secretary of State (2018–2021), Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018), U.S. Representative from Kansas's 4th congressional district (2011–2017)[112]
- U.S. Representatives
- Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader (2019–2023), House Majority Leader (2014–2019), U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district (2013–present), California's 22nd congressional district (2007–2013)[112]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lisa Scheller | 34,504 | 51.3 | |
| Republican | Kevin Dellicker | 32,713 | 48.7 | |
| Total votes | 67,217 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Tossup | October 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Tossup | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Lean R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Lean R (flip) | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Tossup | August 3, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Susan Wild (D) | Lisa Scheller (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College | October 12–14, 2022 | 404 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
| RMG Research | July 31 – August 5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 47% | 2% | 8% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Wild (incumbent) | 151,364 | 51.0 | |
| Republican | Lisa Scheller | 145,527 | 49.0 | |
| Total votes | 296,891 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 8
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Cartwright: 50-60% Bognet: 50-60% 60-70% Precinct results | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties. The district added Stroudsburg in redistricting, making it slightly more liberal.[3] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3 points in 2020. Democrat Matt Cartwright, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 51.2% of the vote in the general election.[114]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Matt Cartwright, incumbent U.S. Representative[115][116]
Endorsements
Matt Cartwright
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 68,696 | 100.0 | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Bognet, former senior vice president for communications of the Export–Import Bank of the United States and nominee for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district in 2020[118][119]
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Marsicano, former mayor of Hazleton and candidate for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district in 2020[120]
Withdrawn
- Teddy Daniels, former police officer and U.S. Army veteran[121][122] (ran for Lt. Governor)
Endorsements
Jim Bognet
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)[123]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Bognet | 47,097 | 68.7 | |
| Republican | Michael Marsicano | 21,436 | 31.3 | |
| Total votes | 68,533 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Tossup | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Tossup | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Lean R (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Tossup | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Tossup | October 1, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
Matt Cartwright (D)
Jim Bognet (R)
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Bognet | Cartwright | ||||||||
| 1 | October 20, 2022 | WVIA-TV | Larry Vojtko | C-SPAN | P | P | |||
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Matt Cartwright (D) | Jim Bognet (R) | Undecided [b] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | June 23 – October 28, 2022 | October 31, 2022 | 48.1% | 45.0% | 6.9% | Cartwright +3.1 |
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Matt Cartwright (D) | Jim Bognet (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College/The New York Times | October 19–20, 2022 | 415 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Patriot Polling | October 7–9, 2022 | 289 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| GQR Research (D)[D] | September 12–15, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 44% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R) Archived September 16, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[E] | September 6–8, 2022 | 440 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| GQR Research (D)[D] | August 2–9, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 46% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[E] | June 23–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR Research (D)[D] | August 2–9, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[E] | June 23–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Matt Cartwright (incumbent) | 146,956 | 51.2 | |
| Republican | Jim Bognet | 139,930 | 48.8 | |
| Total votes | 286,886 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 9
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Meuser: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 9th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania east of the Appalachian Divide, including Williamsport, Bloomsburg, and Lebanon. The district kept most of its territory and added much of the now defunct 12th district in redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of R+21 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Dan Meuser, who had represented the district since 2019, was re-elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.[131] Meuser is running for re-election. Republican Fred Keller, who had represented the 12th district since 2019, was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020 and redistricted into the 15th district, but switched to run in the 9th district.[132] However, on February 28, Keller announced that he would retire instead of go through a primary against Meuser.[133] Meuser went on to win the general election in 2022, garnering 69.3% of the vote.[134]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dan Meuser, incumbent U.S. Representative[135][136]
Withdrawn
- Fred Keller, incumbent U.S. Representative[132][133]
Endorsements
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Meuser (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 102,180 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Amanda Waldman | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 41,622 | 100.0 | |||
Independents and third-party candidates
Libertarian Party
Withdrawn
- Liz Terwilliger, candidate for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district in 2020[139][140][141]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28][142] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
Dan Meuser (R)
Amanda Waldman (D)
- Labor unions
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Meuser | Waldman | ||||||||
| 1 | October 21, 2022 | WVIA-TV | Larry Vojtko | PAhomepage | P | P | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Meuser (incumbent) | 209,185 | 69.3 | |
| Democratic | Amanda Waldman | 92,622 | 30.7 | |
| Total votes | 301,807 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 10
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Perry: 50-60% Daniels: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4 points in 2020. Republican Scott Perry, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 53.8% of the vote.[145]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Scott Perry, incumbent U.S. representative and chair of the Freedom Caucus[146]
Did not file
- Brian Allen, clinical psychologist[147]
Endorsements
Scott Perry
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 84,646 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Shamaine Daniels, at-large member of Harrisburg city council (2014–present)[150][151]
Eliminated in primary
- Rick Coplen, Carlisle school board member, retired Army officer, and candidate for Pennsylvania State Senate in 2020[152]
Declined
- Tom Brier, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2020[153]
- Eugene DePasquale, former Pennsylvania Auditor General and nominee for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district in 2020[154][155]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Shamaine Daniels | 32,260 | 52.6 | |
| Democratic | Rick Coplen | 29,128 | 47.4 | |
| Total votes | 61,388 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | May 26, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | April 19, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Likely R | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Likely R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Likely R | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Scott Perry (R) | Shamaine Daniels (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[F] | August 9–10, 2022 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Scott Perry (incumbent) | 169,331 | 53.8 | |
| Democratic | Shamaine Daniels | 145,215 | 46.2 | |
| Total votes | 314,546 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Smucker: 50-60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+14 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.5% of the vote.[156]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lloyd Smucker, incumbent U.S. Representative[157]
Endorsements
Lloyd Smucker
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[158]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 96,886 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Endorsements
Bob Hollister
- Trade unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Hollister | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 46,080 | 100.0 | |||
Independents and other parties
Libertarian Party
Failed to qualify for ballot
- Dave Womack, Dallastown Borough Council-elect, criminal justice activist[163][164][better source needed]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Endorsements
Lloyd Smucker (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[158]
- Organizations
Bob Hollister (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Bob Casey Jr., Pennsylvania (2007–present)[165]
- Chris Coons, Delaware (2010–present)[165]
- Statewide officials
- Eugene DePasquale, Pennsylvania Auditor General (2013–2021), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 95th district (2007–2013)[165]
- State legislators
- Patty Kim, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 103rd district (2013–present)[165]
- Mike Sturla, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 96th district (1991–present)[165]
- Local officials
- Rick Gray, Mayor of Lancaster (2006–2018)[165]
- Izzy Smith-Wade-El, Lancaster City Council President, 2022 candidate for Pennsylvania House of Representatives, District 49[165]
- Danene Sorace, Mayor of Lancaster (2018–present)[165]
- John Trescot, Lancaster County commissioner[165]
- Trade unions
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) | 194,991 | 61.5 | |
| Democratic | Bob Hollister | 121,835 | 38.5 | |
| Total votes | 316,826 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Lee: 60-70% Doyle: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. The district was numbered the 18th district before redistricting, with the old 12th district now eliminated. The district expanded into parts of Westmoreland County due to redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020. Democrat Mike Doyle has represented the district since 1995. He was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2020.[131] Doyle announced that he will not seek re-election in 2022.[166] He was succeeded in Congress by Pennsylvania State House Representative Summer Lee who was elected with 56.2% of the vote.[167]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Jerry Dickinson, law professor and candidate for Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district in 2020[170]
- Steve Irwin, attorney, chair of the United States Commission on Civil Rights for Pennsylvania and former commissioner of the Pennsylvania Department of Banking & Securities[171]
- William Parker, businessman, activist and 2021 candidate for Pittsburgh mayor[172][173]
- Jeff Woodard, executive director at Pennsylvania College Access Program[174]
Withdrew
- Stephanie Fox, former Brentwood city councilor (endorsed Irwin, ran for state representative)[175][176]
- Bhavini Patel, Edgewood borough councilor[177][178]
Declined
- Mike Doyle, incumbent U.S. Representative (endorsed Irwin)[166]
Endorsements
Jerry Dickinson
- Party officials
- Jim Burn, Chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party (2010–2015)[179]
- Organizations
- Brand New Congress[179]
- J Street (co-endorsement with Lee)[180]
Steve Irwin
- Executive Branch officials
- Patrick Murphy, Acting U.S. Secretary of the Army (2016), U.S. Under Secretary of the Army (2016–2017), former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (2007–2011)[181]
- Governors
- Ed Rendell, Governor of Pennsylvania (2003–2011), General Chair of the Democratic National Committee (1999–2001), Mayor of Philadelphia (1992–2000), District Attorney of Philadelphia (1978–1986)[166]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mike Doyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (2019–2022), Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2003–2019), Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (1995–2003)[166]
- Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district (2005–2015), Pennsylvania State Senator from the 4th district (1991–2005), candidate for Governor in 2014[182]
- State legislators
- Dan Frankel, Pennsylvania state representative from the 23rd district (1999–present)[182]
- Local officials
- Mike Cherepko, Mayor of McKeesport (2011–present)[183]
- Rich Fitzgerald, chief executive of Allegheny County (2012–present)[166]
- Bruce Kraus, Pittsburgh City Councilor from the 3rd district (2008–present), President of the Pittsburgh City Council (2014–2020)[184]
- Dan Lavelle, Pittsburgh City Councilor from the 6th district (2010–present)[184]
- Thomas J. Murphy Jr., former mayor of Pittsburgh (1994–2006), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 20th district (1983–1993), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 17th district (1979–1982)[184]
- Bill Peduto, former mayor of Pittsburgh (2014–2022), Pittsburgh City Councilor from the 8th district (2002–2014)[182]
- Labor unions
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers-Local 3[185]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Ship Builders, Blacksmiths, Forgers and Helpers-Local 154[185]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers-Local 5[185]
- Laborers' District Council of Western PA[186]
- Sheet Metal Workers' International Association[187]
- United Association – Local 27[187]
- United Steel Workers – District 10[188]
- Organizations
Summer Lee
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present)[191]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[192]
- U.S. Representatives
- Cori Bush, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district (2021–present)[193]
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative from Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present)[194]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative from California's 17th congressional district (2017–present)[193]
- Andy Levin, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 9th congressional district (2019–2023)[195]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative from New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present)[193]
- Ilhan Omar, U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 5th congressional district (2019–present)[193]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)[193]
- Ayanna Pressley, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 7th congressional district (2019–present)[184]
- Jan Schakowsky, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 9th congressional district (1999–present)[195]
- Rashida Tlaib, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 13th congressional district (2019–present)[193]
- State legislators
- Joanna McClinton, Minority Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2020–present), Pennsylvania state representative (2015–present)[196]
- Local officials
- Ed Gainey, Mayor of Pittsburgh (2022–present), former member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives from the 24th district (2013–2022)[197]
- Labor unions
- Pittsburgh Federation of Teachers[185]
- SEIU-32BJ, Healthcare PA, Local #688, PA State Council[198][196]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776[184]
- United Electrical Workers Local #610[199]
- Political parties
- Organizations
- Congressional Progressive Caucus[201]
- Democracy for America[200]
- EMILY's List[202]
- End Citizens United[75][203]
- J Street (co-endorsement with Dickinson)[180]
- Justice Democrats[204]
- League of Conservation Voters[55]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[21]
- Our Revolution[205]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[206]
- Progressive Democrats of America[207]
- Sierra Club[46]
- Stonewall Democrats - Pittsburgh chapter[208]
- Sunrise Movement[209][210]
Debates and forums
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Dickinson | Irwin | Lee | Parker | Woodard | |||||
| 1[211] | May 10, 2022 | Pittsburgh's Action News 4 | Shannon Perrine | Youtube | P | P | P | P | P |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Jerry Dickinson | Steve Irwin | Summer Lee | Will Parker | Jeff Woodard | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury Public Affairs (D) | Late April 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 30% | 29% | – | – | – |
| GQR Research (D)[G] | March 26–31, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 7% | 13% | 38% | 0% | 2% | 40% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Summer Lee | 48,002 | 41.9 | |
| Democratic | Steve Irwin | 47,014 | 41.0 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Dickinson | 12,440 | 10.9 | |
| Democratic | Jeff Woodard | 5,454 | 4.8 | |
| Democratic | William Parker | 1,670 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 114,580 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Doyle, Plum city councilor (no relation to Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle)[213][214]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Doyle[c] | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 39,531 | 100.0 | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Likely D | June 28, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Likely D | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Likely D | October 19, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Lean D | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Likely D | October 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Likely D | October 28, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid D | October 27, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe D | November 5, 2022 |
Endorsements
Summer Lee (D)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[215]
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present)[191]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[192]
- U.S. Representatives
- Cori Bush, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district (2021–present)[193]
- Mike Doyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (1995–2003, 2019–2022) Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2003–2019) [216] (endorsed Steve Irwin in the primaries)
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative from Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present)[194]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative from California's 17th congressional district (2017–present)[193]
- Andy Levin, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 9th congressional district (2019–2023)[195]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative from New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present)[193]
- Ilhan Omar, U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 5th congressional district (2019–present)[193]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)[193]
- Ayanna Pressley, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts's 7th congressional district (2019–present)[184]
- Jan Schakowsky, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 9th congressional district (1999–present)[195]
- Rashida Tlaib, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 13th congressional district (2019–present)[193]
- State legislators
- Joanna McClinton, Minority Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2020–present), Pennsylvania state representative (2015–present)[196]
- Local officials
- Ed Gainey, Mayor of Pittsburgh (2022–present), former member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives from the 24th district (2013–2022)[197]
- Labor unions
- Pittsburgh Federation of Teachers[185]
- SEIU-32BJ, Healthcare PA, Local #688, PA State Council[198][196]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1776[184]
- United Electrical Workers Local #610[199]
- Political parties
- Organizations
- Congressional Progressive Caucus[201]
- Democracy for America[200]
- EMILY's List[202]
- End Citizens United[75][203]
- J Street (co-endorsement with Dickinson)[180]
- Justice Democrats[217]
- League of Conservation Voters[55]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[21]
- Our Revolution[205]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[206]
- Progressive Democrats of America[207]
- Sierra Club[46]
- Stonewall Democrats - Pittsburgh chapter[208]
- Sunrise Movement[209][210]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Summer Lee (D) | Mike Doyle (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[H] | October 30–31, 2022 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 40% | 6% |
| Summer Lee Internal Poll (D) | October 2022 | – | – | 44% | 40% | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Summer Lee | 184,674 | 56.2 | |
| Republican | Mike Doyle[c] | 143,946 | 43.8 | |
| Total votes | 328,620 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Joyce: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose its territory in Somerset and Westmoreland counties in exchange for Johnstown.[3] The district has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45 points in 2020. Republican John Joyce, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 after being unopposed in the primary and general elections.[218]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Joyce, incumbent U.S. Representative[219]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Joyce (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 114,160 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declined
- Mark Critz, western region director of the Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture and former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2010–2013)[220][221] (won nomination via write-in, but declined to run)[222]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Critz (write-in) | 967 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 967 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Joyce (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 260,345 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 14
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Reschenthaler: >90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did have to expand eastward to take in more population.[3] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32 points in 2020. Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 having been unopposed in the primary and general elections.[223]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Guy Reschenthaler, incumbent U.S. Representative[224]
Endorsements
Guy Reschenthaler
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[225]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 81,243 | 100.0 | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 230,865 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
District 15
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Thompson: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 15th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania west of the Appalachian Divide, including State College, Lock Haven, and Bradford. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose Johnstown in exchange for the parts of State College formerly in the 12th district.[3] It has a PVI of R+20 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Glenn Thompson, who had represented the district since 2009, was most recently re-elected in 2022, receiving 69.9% of the vote.[226]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Glenn Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative[227]
Declined
- Fred Keller, incumbent U.S. Representative[132] (filed to run in Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, then announced retirement)[133]
Endorsements
Glenn Thompson
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Thompson (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 99,270 | 100.0 | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Thompson (incumbent) | 213,417 | 69.9 | |
| Democratic | Mike Molesevich | 91,729 | 30.1 | |
| Total votes | 305,146 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 16
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Kelly: 60-70% Pastore 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 16th district is based in Northwest Pennsylvania, including all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence, and Butler counties and parts of Venango County.[3] The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 59.4% of the vote in the general election.[229]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Kelly, incumbent U.S. Representative[230][231]
Endorsements
Mike Kelly
- U.S. U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[232]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 87,028 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Rick Telesz, farmer[235]
Endorsements
Dan Pastore
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Pastore | 44,262 | 69.1 | |
| Democratic | Rick Telesz | 19,788 | 30.9 | |
| Total votes | 64,050 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Solid R | March 11, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Kelly (incumbent) | 190,546 | 59.4 | |
| Democratic | Dan Pastore | 130,443 | 40.6 | |
| Total votes | 320,989 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 17
| | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Deluzio: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Shaffer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6 points in 2020. Democrat Conor Lamb, who represented the district since 2018, was re-elected in 2020 with 51.1% of the vote.[131] He retired to run for the U.S. Senate in 2022.[236] Lamb was succeeded by former Navy Officer Chris Deluzio, who was elected in 2022 by winning 53.4% of the vote in the general election.[237]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Deluzio, attorney and policy director of University of Pittsburgh Institute for Cyber Law, Policy and Security[238][239]
Eliminated in primary
- Sean Meloy, senior political advisor for Victory Fund[240]
Declined
- Conor Lamb, incumbent U.S. Representative (ran for U.S. Senate)
Endorsements
Chris Deluzio
Forum
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Chris Deluzio | Sean Meloy | |||||
| 1 | Apr. 23, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Great Pittsburgh Robert Morris University | Kristen Davis | YouTube | P | P |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Deluzio | 62,389 | 63.6 | |
| Democratic | Sean Meloy | 35,638 | 36.4 | |
| Total votes | 98,027 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jeremy Shaffer, former Ross Township commissioner and nominee for State Senate District 38 in 2018[242][243][244][245]
Eliminated in primary
- Kathy Coder, political activist and 2018 lieutenant gubernatorial candidate[242][243]
- Jason Killmeyer, conservative writer and national security expert[242][243]
Did not appear on ballot
- Tricia Staible, manufacturing company president[246]
Declined
- Sam DeMarco, Allegheny County at-large councilor and chair of the Allegheny County Republican Party[247][248]
Forum
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Kathy Coder | Jason Killmeyer | Jeremy Shaffer | |||||
| 1 | Apr. 23, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Great Pittsburgh Robert Morris University | Kristen Davis | YouTube | P | P | A |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeremy Shaffer | 40,965 | 58.7 | |
| Republican | Jason Killmeyer | 16,801 | 24.0 | |
| Republican | Kathy Coder | 12,079 | 17.3 | |
| Total votes | 69,845 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Debate
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Chris Deluzio | Jeremy Shaffer | |||||
| 1 | Nov. 2, 2022 | KDKA-TV | Ken Rice | YouTube | P | P |
Endorsements
Chris Deluzio (D)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[215]
- Statewide officials
- John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[249]
- Organizations
- Allegheny County Democratic Party[189]
- League of Conservation Voters[55]
- New Politics[85]
- Sierra Club[46]
- VoteVets.org[23]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mike Doyle, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district (1995–2003, 2019–2022), Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2003–2019)[216]
Jeremy Shaffer (R)
- U.S. Representatives
- Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader (2019–2023) and U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district (2013–2023), California's 22nd congressional district (2007–2013)[250]
- Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Tossup | February 23, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[29] | Tossup | August 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean R (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[31] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[32] | Lean R (flip) | October 21, 2022 |
| Fox News[33] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[34] | Lean R (flip) | October 31, 2022 |
| 538[35] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
| The Economist[36] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Chris Deluzio (D) | Jeremy Shaffer (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[I] | September 18–20, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[J] | July 18–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| RMG Research | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[H] | May 9–10, 2022 | 494 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 16% |
Hypothetical polling
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[K] | October 19, 2022 | – | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Deluzio | 193,615 | 53.4 | |
| Republican | Jeremy Shaffer | 169,013 | 46.6 | |
| Total votes | 362,628 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
🔥 Top keywords: Main PageSpecial:SearchWikipedia:Featured picturesYasukeHarrison ButkerRobert FicoBridgertonCleopatraDeaths in 2024Joyce VincentXXXTentacionHank AdamsIt Ends with UsYouTubeNew Caledonia2024 Indian general electionHeeramandiDarren DutchyshenSlovakiaKingdom of the Planet of the ApesAttempted assassination of Robert FicoLawrence WongBaby ReindeerXXX: Return of Xander CageThelma HoustonFuriosa: A Mad Max SagaMegalopolis (film)Richard GaddKepler's SupernovaWicked (musical)Sunil ChhetriXXX (2002 film)Ashley MadisonAnya Taylor-JoyPlanet of the ApesNava MauYoung SheldonPortal:Current eventsX-Men '97