The 2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Mexico. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in a three-way race in 2018, and is running for a third term.[1] Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[2]
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Martin Heinrich, incumbent U.S. senator[1]
Endorsements
Martin Heinrich
- Organizations
- 314 Action[3]
- End Citizens United[4]
- Feminist Majority PAC[5]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[6]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[7]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[8]
- J Street PAC[9]
- League of Conservation Voters[10]
- Let America Vote[4]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[11]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[12]
- Population Connection Action Fund[13]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Martin Heinrich (D) | $8,441,938 | $4,785,305 | $4,311,607 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[14] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | 121,903 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 121,903 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nella Domenici, former CFO of Bridgewater Associates and daughter of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici[16]
Disqualified
- Manuel Gonzales III, former Democratic Bernalillo County Sheriff (2014–2022) and candidate for mayor of Albuquerque in 2021[17]
Endorsements
Nella Domenici
- Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Nella Domenici (R) | $1,121,111[a] | $192,347 | $928,764 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[14] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Nella Domenici | 79,525 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 79,525 | 100.0% |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[20] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[22] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
Elections Daily[23] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[24] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Martin Heinrich (D) | Nella Domenici (R) | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Oak Strategic[A] | May 7–19, 2024 | 1,800 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | ||||
Republican | Nella Domenici | ||||
Total votes |
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
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