The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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Indiana has a reputation for being the most conservative state in the Great Lakes region, with the southern region of the state having cultural influence from the Upper South and Bible Belt. Republicans have won the state in all but one presidential election since 1968: a narrow sweep in 2008 by Democrat Barack Obama (with Joe Biden on the ticket) of neighboring Illinois. As a strongly red state, Indiana is expected to go safely GOP in 2024.[2]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[3]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary was held on May 7, 2024. 88 delegates, 79 pledged and 9 superdelegates, to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[4]
In Indiana, candidates have to gather at least 500 signatures from each congressional district, for a total of 4,500 signatures, to make the primary ballot.[5] Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate that met the requirements.[6] Uncommitted will not appear on the ballot and write-in votes are not allowed.[7]
With no opposition, President Biden won 100% of the primary vote.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden | 178,074 | 100.0% | 79 | ||
| Total: | 178,074 | 100.0% | 79 | 79 | |
| Source: [8] | |||||
Republican primary
The Indiana Republican primary was held on May 7, 2024. Nikki Haley, who had already dropped out, and Donald Trump appeared on the ballot.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 461,678 | 78.3% | 58 | ||
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 128,170 | 21.7% | |||
| Total: | 589,848 | 100.0% | 58 | 58 | |
| Source: [9] | |||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[10] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[14] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[15] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 29% | 24% |
- Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.5% | 28.7% | 26.8% |