The 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Kentucky voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2] A Southern state completely in the Bible Belt, Republicans have won Kentucky by double digits since 2000. The state last voted Democratic for fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996. Kentucky is widely expected to continue its Republican streak in 2024.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.
Republican primary
The Kentucky Republican caucuses were held on May 21, 2024, alongside the Oregon primary.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[3] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[7] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[8] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[9] | Solid R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[10] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| co/efficient (R) | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients