The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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Mainly owing to the progressive Baltimore and Washington, DC areas (where the vast majority of Marylanders live), Democrats have consistently won Maryland's electoral votes by double digits since 1992, with Joe Biden from neighboring Delaware doing so by 33 points in 2020 and with 52% of the White vote becoming the first Dem presidential candidate since LBJ in 1964 to have a majority showing with said electoral demographic.[2] Maryland is expected to be a safe blue state in 2024.[3]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[4]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Maryland Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024,[5] alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
Republican primary
The Maryland Republican primary is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024,[5] alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[6] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Solid D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] | Solid D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[10] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[11] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling[A] | May 6−7, 2024 | 719 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
| Emerson College | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
| Gonzales Research | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% |
| Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% |
| Gonzales Research | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
| Emerson College | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | 9% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Gonzales Research | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients