Since New Mexico's admission to the Union in January 1912,[1] it has participated in 28 United States presidential elections. In the 1912 presidential election, Theodore Roosevelt, the Progressive Party's nominee, received the highest vote share (17.1%) ever won by a third party candidate in New Mexico.[2] In the 1932 presidential election, Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt won New Mexico, defeating Republican Herbert Hoover by 26.96%,[3] which remains the largest ever margin of victory in the state's history. In the 2000 presidential election, Democrat Al Gore won New Mexico, defeating Republican George W. Bush by a margin of just 0.06% (366 votes).[4]
 | |
| Number of elections | 28 |
|---|---|
| Voted Democratic | 16 |
| Voted Republican | 12 |
| Voted other | 0 |
| Voted for winning candidate | 25 |
| Voted for losing candidate | 3 |
Up to the 2016 presidential election, New Mexico has been a leading indicator of election trends with a success rate of 88.9%;[5] the winner in New Mexico has won the presidency 25 out of 28 times, except in the 1976, 2000, and 2016 presidential elections.[6] As the Electoral College winner lost the popular vote in both 2000 and 2016, New Mexico has aligned with the national popular vote in every election since 1980.
New Mexico is a signatory of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, an interstate compact in which signatories award all of their electoral votes to the winner of the national-level popular vote in a presidential election, even if another candidate won an individual signatory's popular vote. As of 2021,[update] it has not yet gone into force.[7]
Presidential elections
| Key for parties |
|---|
American Independent Party – (AI) Communist Party USA – (CPUSA) Constitution Party – (C) Democratic Party – (D) Dixiecrat Party – (DI) Farmer–Labor Party – (FL) Green Party – (G) Independent candidate – (I) Libertarian Party – (LI) Prohibition Party – (PRO) Progressive Party (1912) – (PR-1912) Progressive Party (1924) – (PR-1924) Reform Party – (RE) Republican Party – (R) Socialist Labor Party of America – (SLP) Socialist Workers Party – (SWP) Union Party – (U) Note – A double dagger (‡) indicates the national winner. |
| Year | Winner | Runner-up | Other candidate[a] | EV | Ref. | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | % | Candidate | Votes | % | Candidate | Votes | % | ||||||
| Woodrow Wilson (D)‡ | 20,437 | 41.87% | William Howard Taft (R) | 17,164 | 35.17% | Theodore Roosevelt (PR-1912) | 8,347 | 17.10% | 3 | |||||
| Woodrow Wilson (D)‡ | 33,693 | 50.38% | Charles Evans Hughes (R) | 31,097 | 46.50% | Allan L. Benson (S) | 1,977 | 2.96% | 3 | |||||
| Warren G. Harding (R) ‡ | 57,634 | 54.67% | James M. Cox (D) | 46,668 | 44.27% | Parley P. Christensen (FL) | 1,104 | 1.05% | 3 | |||||
| Calvin Coolidge (R) ‡ | 54,745 | 48.52% | John W. Davis (D) | 48,542 | 43.02% | Robert M. La Follette (PR-1924) | 9,543 | 8.46% | 3 | |||||
| Herbert Hoover (R)‡ | 69,708 | 59.04% | Al Smith (D) | 48,211 | 40.83% | William Z. Foster (CPUSA) | 158 | 0.13% | 3 | |||||
| Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡ | 95,089 | 62.72% | Herbert Hoover (R) | 54,217 | 35.76% | Norman Thomas (S) | 1,776 | 1.17% | 3 | |||||
| Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡ | 106,037 | 62.69% | Alf Landon (R) | 61,727 | 36.50% | William Lemke (U) | 924 | 0.55% | 3 | |||||
| Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡ | 103,699 | 56.59% | Wendell Willkie (R) | 79,315 | 43.28% | Norman Thomas (S) | 144 | 0.08% | 3 | |||||
| Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)‡ | 81,389 | 53.47% | Thomas E. Dewey (R) | 70,688 | 46.44% | Claude A. Watson (PRO) | 148 | 0.10% | 4 | |||||
| Harry S. Truman (D) ‡ | 105,464 | 56.38% | Thomas E. Dewey (R) | 80,303 | 42.93% | Strom Thurmond (DI) | 1,037 | 0.55% | 4 | |||||
| Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) ‡ | 132,170 | 55.39% | Adlai Stevenson (D) | 105,661 | 44.28% | Stuart Hamblen (PRO) | 297 | 0.12% | 4 | |||||
| Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) ‡ | 146,788 | 57.81% | Adlai Stevenson (D) | 106,098 | 41.78% | T. Coleman Andrews (C) | 364 | 0.14% | 4 | |||||
| John F. Kennedy (D) ‡ | 156,027 | 50.15% | Richard Nixon (R) | 153,733 | 49.41% | Eric Hass (SLP) | 570 | 0.18% | 4 | |||||
| Lyndon B. Johnson (D) ‡ | 194,015 | 59.03% | Barry Goldwater (R) | 131,838 | 40.12% | Eric Hass (SLP) | 1,217 | 0.37% | 4 | |||||
| Richard Nixon (R) ‡ | 169,692 | 51.84% | Hubert Humphrey (D) | 130,081 | 39.74% | George Wallace (AI) | 25,737 | 7.86% | 4 | |||||
| Richard Nixon (R) ‡ | 235,606 | 61.00% | George McGovern (D) | 141,084 | 36.53% | John G. Schmitz (AI) | 8,767 | 2.27% | 4 | |||||
| Gerald Ford (R) | 211,419 | 50.53% | Jimmy Carter (D) ‡ | 201,148 | 48.07% | Peter Camejo (SWP) | 2,462 | 0.59% | 4 | |||||
| Ronald Reagan (R) ‡ | 250,779 | 54.88% | Jimmy Carter (D) | 167,826 | 36.73% | John B. Anderson (I) | 29,459 | 6.45% | 4 | |||||
| Ronald Reagan (R) ‡ | 307,101 | 59.70% | Walter Mondale (D) | 201,769 | 39.23% | David Bergland (LI) | 4,459 | 0.87% | 5 | |||||
| George H. W. Bush (R) ‡ | 270,341 | 51.86% | Michael Dukakis (D) | 244,497 | 46.90% | Ron Paul (LI) | 3,268 | 0.63% | 5 | |||||
| Bill Clinton (D) ‡ | 261,617 | 45.90% | George H. W. Bush (R) | 212,824 | 37.34% | Ross Perot (I) | 91,895 | 16.12% | 5 | |||||
| Bill Clinton (D) ‡ | 273,495 | 49.18% | Bob Dole (R) | 232,751 | 41.86% | Ross Perot (RE) | 32,257 | 5.80% | 5 | |||||
| Al Gore (D) | 286,783 | 47.91% | George W. Bush (R) ‡ | 286,417 | 47.85% | Ralph Nader (G) | 21,251 | 3.55% | 5 | |||||
| George W. Bush (R)‡ | 376,930 | 49.84% | John Kerry (D) | 370,942 | 49.05% | Ralph Nader (I) | 4,053 | 0.54% | 5 | |||||
| Barack Obama (D)‡ | 472,422 | 56.91% | John McCain (R) | 346,832 | 41.78% | Ralph Nader (I) | 5,327 | 0.64% | 5 | |||||
| Barack Obama (D)‡ | 415,335 | 52.99% | Mitt Romney (R) | 335,788 | 42.84% | Gary Johnson (LI) | 27,788 | 3.55% | 5 | |||||
| Hillary Clinton (D) | 385,234 | 48.26% | Donald Trump (R)‡ | 319,667 | 40.04% | Gary Johnson (LI) | 74,541 | 9.34% | 5 | |||||
| Joe Biden (D)‡ | 501,614 | 54.29% | Donald Trump (R) | 401,894 | 43.50% | Jo Jorgensen (LI) | 12,585 | 1.36% | 5 | |||||
Graph
The following graph shows the margin of victory of the Democratic and Republican Parties in the 28 presidential elections New Mexico participated. Value above the origin point on the Y-axis indicated Democratic Party's margin of victory; values below the origin point indicates Republican Party's margin of victory.
See also
Notes
References
Works cited
- Guide to U.S. Elections. SAGE Publications. 2010. ISBN 978-1-60426-536-1.
- Presidential elections, 1789–1996. Congressional Quarterly. 1997. ISBN 978-1-56802-065-5. LCCN 97019084. OL 673017M.