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2021 Virginia gubernatorial election

election for Governor of Commonwealth of Virginia

The 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election happened on November 2, 2021, to elect the next governor of Virginia. Incumbent Governor Ralph Northam is unable to run, as the Constitution of Virginia does not allow terms to be served in a row.

2021 Virginia gubernatorial election
← 2017November 2, 2021[1]2025 →
Turnout55.3% Increase 7.7
 
NomineeGlenn YoungkinTerry McAuliffe
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,663,5961,600,116
Percentage50.6%48.6%
County and independent city results
Youngkin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
McAuliffe:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Ralph Northam
Democratic

Elected Governor

Glenn Youngkin
Republican

The Democratic Party chose previous Governor Terry McAuliffe, and the Republican Party chose Glenn Youngkin. Teacher Princess Blanding ran under the new Liberation Party.

In the general election on November 2, Republican Glenn Youngkin won the election over Democrat and former Governor Terry McAuliffe, making him the first Republican to win a statewide election in Virginia since 2009.[2]

Democratic primary election

Candidates

Chosen

Lost in primary election

Withdrew

  • Mark Herring, attorney general of Virginia and previous state senator for the 33rd district (2006-2014).

Polling

Graph

SourceDate(s)Participants[a]Possible %
of error		Jennifer
Carroll Foy		Lee
Carter		Justin
Fairfax		Terry
McAuliffe		Jennifer
McClellan		OtherUndecided
Roanoke CollegeMay 24 – June 1, 2021637 (LV)± 3.9%11%1%5%49%9%0%24%
Christopher Newport UniversityApril 11–20, 2021806 (LV)± 3.9%5%1%8%47%6%2%31%
Public Policy Polling (D)April 12–13, 2021526 (LV)± 4.3%8%4%7%42%8%–29%
Christopher Newport UniversityJanuary 31 – February 14, 2021488 (RV)± 4.9%4%1%12%26%4%0%54%
YouGov Blue (D)February 6–11, 2021235 (RV)± 7.4%7%6%6%43%8%0%30%
Global Strategy Group (D)[A]January 12–20, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%7%–14%42%6%–30%
Expedition Strategies (D)[B]December 2020– (LV)–5%–16%32%8%–38%

Results

Results by county and independent city:
McAuliffe
  •   McAuliffe—80–90%
  •   McAuliffe—70–80%
  •   McAuliffe—60–70%
  •   McAuliffe—50–60%
  •   McAuliffe—40–50%
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Terry McAuliffe 307,367 62.10%
DemocraticJennifer Carroll Foy98,05219.81%
DemocraticJennifer McClellan58,21311.76%
DemocraticJustin Fairfax17,6063.56%
DemocraticLee J. Carter13,6942.77%
Total votes494,932100.00%

Republican convention election

A convention is a different way to choose a person for an election. This Republican convention used a method of voting called instant-runoff voting to choose a person for the general election.

The Republican Party of Virginia chose a convention on December 5, 2020 with a vote. The vote was 41 to 28.[4] This decision started debates internally. At first, state senator Amanda Chase was going to run as an independent, but decided to run in the convention.[5]

Candidates

Chosen at convention

Lost at convention

  • Amanda Chase, state senator for the 11th senate district.
  • Kirk Cox, state delegate for the 66th house district, and previous Speaker of Virginia House of Delegates (2018-2020).
  • Sergio de la Peña, previous U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Western Hemisphere Affairs.
  • Peter Doran, previous CEO.
  • Octavia Johnson, previous sheriff of Roanoke City (2006-2013).
  • Pete Snyder, previous candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Virginia in 2013.

Polling

Graph

Without convention polling

Primary polling

SourceDate(s)Participants[a]Possible %
of error		Amanda
Chase		Kirk
Cox		Sergio
de la Peña		Peter
Doran		Octavia
Johnson		Pete
Snyder		Glenn
Youngkin		OtherUndecided
Change Research (D)May 5–6, 2021605 (LV)± 4.4%29%7%2%0%1%13%25%–25%
Public Policy Polling (D)[C]April 2021695 (LV)± 3.7%22%7%3%1%0%16%21%–30%
Christopher Newport UniversityJanuary 31 – February 14, 2021370 (RV)± 5.6%17%10%––––3%–55%
YouGov Blue (D)February 6–11, 2021170 (RV)± 8.6%24%7%1%––13%5%0%54%

Convention polling

SourceDate(s)Participants[a]Possible %
of error		Amanda
Chase		Kirk
Cox		Pete
Snyder		Glenn
Youngkin		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[D]April 29 – May 3, 20213,896 (LV)± 1.6%10%10%26%38%13%3%
Final results by county and independent city:
Youngkin
  •   Youngkin—80–90%
  •   Youngkin—70–80%
  •   Youngkin—60–70%
  •   Youngkin—50–60%
Tie
  •   Tie—50%
Snyder
  •   Snyder—50–60%
  •   Snyder—60–70%
  •   Snyder—70–80%
  •   Snyder—>90%

Results

Round-by-round results of the convention election
Virginia GOP Convention, Governor Nominee[6]
CandidateRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Glenn Youngkin4131.8032.9%4140.5533.0%4148.9133.0%4331.9334.5%5311.4342.3%6869.2254.7%
Pete Snyder3241.6125.8%3243.8425.8%3249.7125.9%3502.9127.9%4078.2532.5%5684.7845.3%
Amanda Chase2605.8920.8%2611.5420.8%2619.8320.9%2859.3922.8%3164.3225.2%Lost
Kirk Cox1693.5813.5%1698.1313.5%1705.9013.6%1859.7714.8%Lost
Sergio de la Peña805.356.4%812.446.5%829.656.6%Lost
Peter Doran 42.280.3%47.500.4%Lost
Octavia Johnson33.480.3%Lost

General election

Predictions

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Terry
McAuliffe (D)		Glenn
Youngkin (R)		Other/Undecided
[b]		Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 20–31, 2021November 1, 202146.8%48.5%4.8%Youngkin +1.7%
FiveThirtyEightAugust 1 – November 1, 2021November 1, 202147.0%47.9%5.1%Youngkin +1.0%
Average46.9%48.2%5.0%Youngkin +1.4%

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Terry
McAuliffe (D)		Glenn
Youngkin (R)		Princess
Blanding (Lib.)		OtherUndecided
Research Co.October 31 – November 1, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%47%48%2%–3%
Targoz Market ResearchOctober 26 – November 1, 2021747 (LV)± 3.6%50%47%––3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)October 29–31, 20211,081 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%–2%2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) Archived 2022-04-17 at the Wayback MachineOctober 27–30, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%45%47%2%–6%
Echelon Insights Archived 2021-10-29 at the Wayback MachineOctober 27–29, 2021611 (LV)± 4.0%46%49%2%–4%
Roanoke CollegeOctober 14–28, 2021571 (LV)± 4.7%48%47%1%0%4%
Fox NewsOctober 24–27, 20211,212 (RV)± 2.5%47%48%–2%3%
1,015 (LV)± 3.0%45%53%–1%1%
Washington Post/Schar SchoolOctober 20–26, 20211,107 (RV)± 3.5%47%44%3%2%[c]3%
49%45%–3%[d]4%
918 (LV)± 4.0%49%48%1%0%[e]2%
49%48%–0%[f]2%
Christopher Newport UniversityOctober 17–25, 2021944 (LV)± 3.5%49%48%1%–1%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 21–24, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%46%45%2%–7%
Emerson CollegeOctober 22–23, 2021875 (LV)± 3.2%48%48%1%–3%
co/efficient (R)[E]October 20–21, 2021785 (LV)± 3.5%43%47%5%–5%
Cygnal (R)October 19–21, 2021816 (LV)± 3.4%48%48%1%–3%
KAConsulting LLC (R)[F]October 18–21, 2021661 (LV)± 3.8%41%43%–1%15%
Virginia Commonwealth UniversityOctober 9–21, 2021722 (LV)± 6.4%41%38%–10%11%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 16–19, 20211,005 (RV)± 3.1%46%46%–2%7%
1,005 (LV)[g]45%48%–––
1,005 (LV)[h]48%45%–––
Data for Progress (D)October 4–15, 20211,589 (LV)± 2.0%50%45%–2%3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)October 11–13, 20211,095 (LV)± 3.0%48%48%–1%3%
Fox NewsOctober 10–13, 20211,004 (RV)± 3.0%52%41%–2%5%
726 (LV)± 3.5%51%46%–1%2%
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)October 9–12, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%47%43%–0%10%
YouGov/CBS NewsOctober 4–11, 20211,040 (LV)± 4.1%50%47%–2%0%
Christopher Newport UniversitySeptember 27 – October 6, 2021802 (LV)± 4.2%49%45%1%–5%
Emerson CollegeOctober 1–3, 2021620 (LV)± 3.9%49%48%–1%2%
Fox NewsSeptember 26–29, 2021901 (RV)± 3.0%48%44%–1%7%
Roanoke CollegeSeptember 12–26, 2021603 (LV)± 4.6%48%41%1%1%9%
Monmouth UniversitySeptember 22–26, 2021801 (RV)± 3.5%48%43%–2%8%
801 (LV)[g]48%45%–––
801 (LV)[h]50%43%–––
Global Strategy Group (D) Archived 2022-03-16 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 16–20, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%48%45%––7%
KAConsulting LLC (R)[F]September 17–19, 2021700 (LV)± 3.7%46%42%–1%10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[G]September 17–18, 2021875 (V)± 3.3%45%42%––13%
Virginia Commonwealth UniversitySeptember 7–15, 2021731 (LV)± 6.9%43%34%–10%13%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 13–14, 2021778 (LV)± 3.4%49%45%–2%5%
University of Mary WashingtonSeptember 7–13, 20211,000 (A)± 3.1%43%38%2%6%[i]11%
885 (RV)± 3.3%46%41%2%––
528 (LV)± 4.1%43%48%2%2%[j]6%
Washington Post/Schar SchoolSeptember 7–13, 2021907 (RV)± 4.0%49%43%–3%4%
728 (LV)± 4.5%50%47%–1%2%
WPA Intelligence (R)[H]August 30 – September 2, 2021734 (LV)± 3.6%46%48%3%–4%
48%48%––4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)August 26–29, 20211,074 (LV)± 3.0%47%46%–2%5%
Monmouth UniversityAugust 24–29, 2021802 (RV)± 3.5%47%42%–2%9%
802 (LV)[g]47%45%–––
802 (LV)[h]49%42%–––
Christopher Newport UniversityAugust 15–23, 2021800 (LV)± 3.6%50%41%3%–6%
Change Research (D)August 17–21, 20211,653 (LV)± 3.6%49%43%3%–5%
Change Research (D)[I]August 14–18, 20211,334 (LV)± 2.7%47%44%––9%
Roanoke CollegeAugust 3–17, 2021558 (LV)± 4.2%46%38%2%1%13%
Virginia Commonwealth UniversityAugust 4–15, 2021770 (RV)± 5.4%40%37%–15%9%
~747 (LV)± 5.5%40%37%–14%9%
co/efficient (R)August 8–9, 20211,200 (LV)± 2.8%47%45%––8%
WPA Intelligence (R)[H]August 3–5, 2021734 (LV)± 3.6%50%43%3%–4%
51%45%––4%
co/efficient (R)[J]July 25–27, 2021762 (LV)± 3.5%45%40%2%–13%
The Trafalgar Group (R)July 8–10, 20211,104 (LV)± 2.9%47%45%–4%4%
Spry Strategies (R)[K]July 6–9, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%41%–2%10%
JMC Analytics and Polling (R)June 9–12, 2021550 (LV)± 4.2%46%42%––12%
WPA Intelligence (R)[H]June 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 4.4%48%46%––5%

Results

2021 Virginia gubernatorial election[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanGlenn Youngkin 1,663,596 50.57 +5.60
DemocraticTerry McAuliffe1,600,11648.64-5.26
LiberationPrincess Blanding23,1250.70New party
Write-in2,5930.08+0.03
Total votes3,289,403 100.00 N/A
Turnout
Registered electors5,951,368
Republican gain from Democratic

Related pages

  • 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election

Notes

References

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