2013 Virginia Attorney General election

The 2013 Virginia Attorney General election took place on November 5, 2013, to elect the Attorney General of Virginia. The incumbent Attorney General, Republican Ken Cuccinelli, did not run for re-election. He was instead his party's nominee in the 2013 gubernatorial election.

2013 Virginia Attorney General election

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NomineeMark HerringMark Obenshain
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,105,0451,104,138
Percentage49.91%49.87%

Herring:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Obenshain:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%

Attorney General before election

Ken Cuccinelli
Republican

Elected Attorney General

Mark Herring
Democratic

On May 18, 2013, a Republican state convention in Richmond nominated State Senator Mark Obenshain over State Delegate Rob Bell.[1] The Democratic primary on June 11, 2013, was won by State Senator Mark Herring, who defeated former Assistant United States Attorney Justin Fairfax.[2]

While the statewide elections for governor and lieutenant governor garnered more national attention, the race for attorney general was the most competitive.[3] Obenshain had an election night lead of 1,200 votes. In the following days, as provisional ballots were counted, Herring narrowed the lead and ultimately overtook him.[4] On November 25, the Virginia State Board of Elections certified the results and Herring was declared the winner by 1,103,777 votes to 1,103,612 – a difference of 165 votes out of more than 2.2 million cast, or 0.007%.[5][6][7]

After the certification, Obenshain requested a recount,[8] which began on December 16.[9] Obenshain conceded the election on December 18, and later that day, the recount ended with Herring winning by 907 votes, or 0.04%.[10] Democrats held the Attorney General's office for the first time since 1994, and with Herring's victory, Democrats held all five statewide offices – including both U.S. Senate seats – for the first time since 1970.

Republican nomination

Candidates

Nominated at convention

Defeated at convention

Withdrew

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Justin
Fairfax
Mark
Herring
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 24–26, 2013322± 5.5%19%22%59%

Results

Results by county:
Herring
  •   Herring—80–90%
  •   Herring—70–80%
  •   Herring—60–70%
  •   Herring—50–60%
Tie
  •   Tie
Fairfax
  •   Fairfax—50–60%
  •   Fairfax—60–70%
  •   Fairfax—70–80%
  •   Fairfax—80–90%
Virginia Attorney General Democratic primary, 2013[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticMark Herring 72,861 51.66%
DemocraticJustin Fairfax68,17748.34%
Majority4,6843.32%
Turnout141,038

General election

Endorsements

Mark Herring (D)
Current and former statewide politicians
Newspapers
Organizations
  • Virginia Police Benevolent Association[20]
Mark Obenshain (R)
Elected Officials
Others
  • John Brownlee, former United States Attorney for the Western District of Virginia and 2009 candidate for the Republican nomination for Attorney General[23]
Newspapers
Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]Lean D (flip)October 24, 2013

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Obenshain (R)
Mark
Herring (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 2–3, 2013870± 3.3%45%47%8%
Christopher Newport UniversityOctober 25–30, 20131,038± 3%45%43%12%
Public Policy PollingOctober 26–27, 2013709 EV± 3.6%42%54%3%
Hampton UniversityOctober 24, 26–27, 2013800± 2.9%45%39%16%
Washington Post/Abt SRBIOctober 24–27, 2013762± 4.5%46%49%4%
Roanoke CollegeOctober 21–27, 2013838± 3.4%35%46%20%
Christopher Newport UniversityOctober 8–13, 2013753± 3.6%46%45%9%
Watson CenterOctober 1–6, 2013886± 3.1%42%45%14%
Roanoke CollegeSeptember 30–October 5, 20131,046± 3%38%35%26%
Hampton UniversitySeptember 25–29, 2013800± 2.9%41%37%23%
University of Mary WashingtonSeptember 25–29, 2013559± 4.7%42%36%6%16%
Washington Post/Abt SRBISeptember 19–22, 2013562± 5%42%45%14%
Conquest CommunicationsSeptember 19, 2013400±5%35.8%24.5%39.8%
NBC/MaristSeptember 17–19, 2013546± 3%34%39%26%
Roanoke CollegeSeptember 9–15, 2013874± 3.3%31%33%34%
Public Policy PollingJuly 11–14, 2013601± 4%36%38%25%
Roanoke CollegeJuly 8–14, 2013525± 4.3%33%29%38%
Public Policy PollingMay 24–26, 2013672± 3.8%32%33%34%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mark
Obenshain (R)
Justin
Fairfax (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 24–26, 2013672± 3.8%32%30%38%

Initial results

Virginia Attorney General election, 2013[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticMark Herring 1,103,777 49.89% +7.60%
RepublicanMark Obenshain1,103,61249.88%-7.63%
Write-in4,8920.22%+0.13%
Majority1650.01%
Turnout2,212,281
Democratic gain from RepublicanSwing

Recount

It was widely reported that a recount was expected after the results were certified on November 25, 2013. According to the Virginia Board of Elections rules, as updated for the November 2013 election: "there are no automatic recounts. Only an apparent losing candidate can ask for a recount, and only if the difference between the apparent winning candidate and that apparent losing candidates is not more than one percent (1%) of the total votes cast for those two candidates."[28] This race is the second of the past three Virginia attorney general elections to go to a recount. In the 2005 race, Bob McDonnell won by 360 votes, with the result certified in December.[29]

Results

Virginia Attorney General election, 2013[5][10]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticMark Herring 1,105,045 49.91% +7.62%
RepublicanMark Obenshain1,104,13849.87%-7.64%
Write-in4,8920.22%+0.13%
Majority9070.04%
Turnout2,214,075
Democratic gain from RepublicanSwing

See also

References