2022 Latvian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections were held in Latvia on 1 October 2022, following the end of the term of the 13th Saeima elected in 2018.

2022 Latvian parliamentary election
Latvia
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All 100 seats in the Saeima
51 seats needed for a majority
Turnout59.41% (Increase4.83pp)
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
JVKrišjānis Kariņš19.1626+18
ZZSAivars Lembergs12.5816+5
ASUldis Pīlēns11.1415New
NAUģis Mitrevics [lv]9.40130
ST!Aleksejs Rosļikovs6.8811New
LPVAinārs Šlesers6.319New
PROKaspars Briškens6.2310+10
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results by region
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Arturs Krišjānis Kariņš
Unity
Arturs Krišjānis Kariņš
Unity
Queue of voters in Riga on election day

Electoral system

The 100 members of the Saeima are elected by open list, proportional representation from five multi-member constituencies ranging in size from 12 to 36 seats and based on the regions of Latvia, with overseas votes included in the Riga constituency. Seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method with a national electoral threshold of 5%. Voters may cast "specific votes" for candidates on the list that they have voted for. This involves drawing a plus sign (+) next to the candidate's names to indicate preference (positive votes), or by crossing out names to indicate disapproval (negative votes). The number of votes for each candidate is the number of votes cast for the list, plus their number of positive votes, minus their number of negative votes. The candidates with the highest vote totals fill their party's seats.[1]

Seat redistribution

The Central Electoral Commission is required to determine the number of Members of Parliament (MPs) to be elected using the number of eligible voters four months before the election. On 2 June 2022, the Central Electoral Commission has announced the new distribution of MPs. Rīga and Vidzeme constituencies have both gained one seat compared to the 2018 election, while Latgale and Zemgale constituencies have both lost one.[2]

June 2022 redistribution
ConstituencySeatsChange
Rīga36 1
Vidzeme26 1
Latgale13 1
Zemgale13 1
Kurzeme12
Total100

Parties

Ballot papers of Riga constituency

Lead candidates

Latvia First became the first major party to announce Ainārs Šlesers as its candidate for the position of Prime Minister on 14 August, during the founding congress of the party.[3]

Each of the member parties of the Union of Greens and Farmers proposed their own PM candidate to the party alliance board, and then they would decide on the one candidate for the whole party alliance. The Latvian Farmers' Union nominated MP Viktors Valainis as their candidate,[4] while the Green Party kept its candidate secret.[5] In the end, the Greens left the Union and joined the United List alliance.[6]

Overview

The table below lists parties and party alliances represented in the 13th Saeima.[7][8]

NameIdeologyPM candidateLeader(s)2018 resultSeats at dissolution
Votes (%)Seats
SHarmony
Saskaņa
Social democracy
Russian minority politics
Ivars ZariņšJānis Urbanovičs19.8%
23 / 100
18 / 100
KThe Conservatives
Konservatīvie
Liberal conservatismJānis Bordāns13.6%
16 / 100
15 / 100
AP!Development/For!
Attīstībai/Par!
LiberalismArtis PabriksDaniels Pavļuts
Artūrs Toms Plešs
12.0%
13 / 100
14 / 100
NANational Alliance
Nacionālā apvienība
National conservatism
Right-wing populism
Uģis MitrevicsRaivis Dzintars11.0%
13 / 100
13 / 100
JVNew Unity
Jaunā Vienotība
Liberal conservatismKrišjānis Kariņš6.7%
8 / 100
11 / 100
ZZSUnion of Greens and Farmers
Zaļo un zemnieku savienība
Agrarianism
Conservatism
Aivars LembergsArmands Krauze9.9%
11 / 100
7 / 100
ASUnited List
Apvienotais saraksts
Regionalism
Green conservatism
Uldis PīlēnsEdgars Tavars
Edvards Smiltēns
did not exist
4 / 100
RRepublic
Republika
CentrismSandis Ģirģensdid not exist
2 / 100
KuKFor Each and Every One
Katram un katrai
Right-wing populismAldis Gobzemsdid not exist
2 / 100
LPVLatvia First
Latvija pirmajā vietā
Social conservatismAinārs Šlesersdid not exist
2 / 100
SVSovereign Power
Suverēnā vara
Christian rightTBDJūlija Stepaņenkodid not exist
2 / 100
PCLFor a Humane Latvia
Par cilvēcīgu Latviju
Right-wing populism
Conservatism
TBDJurģis Miezainis14.3%
16 / 100
1 / 100

Competing parties

Political parties and party alliances are able to submit their electoral lists to the Central Electoral Commission from 13 July until 2 August.[9] So far, four lists have been submitted to and registered by the CEC.[10]

In the table below, the number in each box indicates the number of candidates standing on the party's electoral list in the indicated constituency. The maximum number of candidates on the electoral list in each constituency equals the number of MPs to be elected plus three.

PartyIdeologyPM candidateConstituencyDate submittedSource
RīgaVidzemeLatgaleKurzemeZemgaleTotal
Development/For! (AP!)LiberalismCentre to centre-rightA. Pabriks & M. Golubeva392916151611513 July[11]
For Stability! (S!)PopulismCentreAleksejs Rosļikovs301210586513 July[12]
Social Democratic Party "Harmony" (S)Social democracyCentre-leftIvars Zariņš30161615108718 July[13]
The Progressives (P)Social democracy[14]Centre-leftKaspars Briškens392916151611520 July[15]
New Unity (JV)Liberal conservatismCentre-rightKrišjānis Kariņš392916151611525 July[16]
Latvia First (LPV)Right-wing populismRight-wingAinārs Šlesers392916151611525 July[18]
United List (AS)RegionalismCentre to centre-rightUldis Pīlēns392916151611526 July[19]
National Alliance (NA)National conservatismRight-wingUģis Mitrevics392916151611526 July[20]
Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS)AgrarianismCentre to centre-rightAivars Lembergs392916151611527 July[21]
For Each and Every One (KuK)Social conservatismRight-wingAldis Gobzems392916151611527 July[22]
Latvian Russian Union (LKS)Russian minority politicsCentreMiroslavs Mitrofanovs382216111510229 July[23]
Republic (R)CentrismCentreSandis Ģirģens392916151611529 July[24]
The Conservatives (K)Liberal conservatismCentre-rightJānis Bordāns392916151611529 July[25]
Sovereign Power (SV)Christian rightRight-wingJūlija Stepaņenko[26]39241611101001 August[27]
Force of People's Power [lv] (TVS)ConspiracismFar-rightValentīns Jeremejevs39281615161141 August[28]
People's Servants for Latvia (TKL)PopulismCentreEdgars Kramiņš341711812821 August[29]
Union for Latvia (AL)Right-wing populismRight-wingMāris Možvillo28201267732 August[30]
Progressive Christian Party (KPP)Christian democracyCentre-rightAndrejs Krasņikovs124555312 August[31]
United for Latvia (VL)PopulismCentre-rightTBD107344282 August[32]
Maximum candidates3929161516115

Members of the Saeima not standing for re-election

List of MPs who announced they will not stand for re-election in 2022
MPConstituencyFirst electedPartyDate announced
Mārtiņš BondarsLatgale2014AP!31 May 2022[33]
Inga GoldbergaLatgale2018S6 June 2022[34]
Inguna RībenaZemgale2002Ind.14 June 2022[35]
Reinis ZnotiņšRīga2018K7 July 2022[36]
Vladimirs NikonovsLatgale2010S18 July 2022[13]
Dagmāra Beitnere-Le GallaVidzeme2018K21 July 2022[37]
Atis LejiņšZemgale2010JV25 July 2022[16]
Janīna JalinskaLatgale2018AS26 July 2022[19]
Ivars PugaRīga2018NA26 July 2022[20]
Jānis DūklavsLatgale2010ZZS27 July 2022[21]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Results

The New Unity party of incumbent prime minister Krišjānis Kariņš received the highest percentage of the vote (19%) and won the most seats (26). In a speech after the election, Kariņš stated that Latvia would continue to support Ukraine against Russia and he stated his preference to maintain the current coalition government.[38][39] The Union of Greens and Farmers placed second, receiving 13% of the vote, despite leader Aivars Lembergs being sentenced to five years in prison in 2021 and under sanction by the United States.[40] The other parties which placed above the 5% threshold to receive a seat in parliament were the United List with 11%, the National Alliance with 9.3%, For Stability! with 7%, Latvia First with 6%, and The Progressives, who entered parliament for the first time with 6% of the vote.[40][39]

The wasted vote in this election was 29.09%. Harmony, who had placed first in the previous three general elections, was unable to secure any parliamentary seats, being slightly under the 5% threshold (of all votes, including invalid) with 4.9% of the vote. This has been attributed by many reasons, including internal disputes on the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, pushing away both ethnic Latvians and ethnic Russians. This resulted in much of the ethnic Russian population voting for Stability!, Sovereign Power, and the Latvian Russian Union.[41][40][42] The Development/For! alliance, one of the coalition members, also narrowly missed out the 5% threshold by just 0.03% (with 4.97% of all votes).[39] Another coalition member, the Conservatives, also failed to cross the 5% threshold, receiving 3% of the vote.[40]

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
New Unity173,42519.1926+18
Union of Greens and Farmers113,67612.5816+5
United List100,63111.1415New
National Alliance84,9399.40130
For Stability!62,1686.8811New
Latvia First57,0336.319New
The Progressives56,3276.2310+10
Development/For!45,4525.030–13
Harmony43,9434.860–23
For Each and Every One33,5783.720New
Latvian Russian Union33,2033.6700
Sovereign Power29,6033.280New
The Conservatives28,2703.130–16
Republic16,0881.780New
Force of People's Power [lv]10,3501.150New
People's Servants for Latvia9,1761.0200
Union for Latvia2,9850.330–16
United for Latvia1,4130.160New
Progressive Christian Party1,3790.150New
Total903,639100.001000
Valid votes903,63998.61
Invalid/blank votes12,7291.39
Total votes916,368100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,542,40759.41
Source: Central Electoral Commission[43]

By constituency

ConstituencyJVZZSASNAS!LPVP
Riga20.595.516.917.149.158.599.05
Vidzeme23.4612.1012.6211.393.045.145.95
Latgale6.9714.545.125.7818.566.532.46
Zemgale18.7519.5512.4212.163.024.564.35
Kurzeme16.4421.1022.0510.252.174.274.80
Total19.1612.6611.009.386.916.316.23

Seat distribution

ConstituencyJVZZSASNAS!LPVPTotal
Riga1134454536
Vidzeme845412226
Latgale231141113
Zemgale332211113
Kurzeme23321112
Total2616151311910100

Aftermath

On 3 October 2022, President Egils Levits authorized Kariņš, the incumbent Prime Minister and leader of New Unity, to form a coalition government.[44] New Unity explored coalition options with Union of Greens and Farmers and the Progressives, but they fell though.[45][46] Kariņš formed a government with United List and National Alliance, sworn in on 14 December.[47][48] This government lasted until proposed changes to the make-up of cabinet caused the other parties to pull out and led to Kariņš's resignation as Prime Minister in August 2023. The government was succeeded by a New Unity–Union of Greens and Farmers–Progressives government led by Evika Siliņa, which was sworn in on 14 September 2023.[49]

See also

References