Demographics of Syria

Syria's estimated pre–Syrian Civil War 2011 population was 22 ±.5[1] million permanent inhabitants, which included 21,124,000 Syrians,[2] as well as 1.3 million Iraqi refugees[3] and over 500,000 Palestinian refugees.[3] The war makes an accurate count of the Syrian population difficult, as the numbers of Syrian refugees,[4] internally displaced Syrians and casualty numbers are in flux. The CIA World Factbook showed an estimated 20.4m people as of July 2021.[5] Of the pre-war population, six million are refugees outside the country, seven million are internally displaced, three million live in rebel-held territory, and two million live in the Kurdish-ruled Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria.

Demographics of Syria
Syria population pyramid in 2020
Population20,384,316 (CIA World Factbook July 2021 est.)
Nationality
Nationalitynoun: Syrian(s) adjective: Syrian
Language
OfficialArabic
SpokenKurdish, Turkish, Neo-Aramaic (Turoyo, Western Neo-Aramaic, Suret (Assyrian and Chaldean)

Most modern-day Syrians are described as Levantine Arabs by virtue of their modern-day language and bonds to Arab culture and history. Genetically, Syrian Arabs are a variety of diverse Semitic-speaking groups indigenous to the region.[6][7][8][9] With around 10% of the population, Kurds are the second biggest ethnic group in Syria, followed by Turkmen.

Human toll of Syrian Civil War

Human toll of the Syrian civil war
Pre-war population 22 ±.5; Internally displaced 6 ±.5, Refugees 5.5 ±.5, Fatalities 0.5 ±.1 (millions)[citation needed]
Syrian refugees
By countryEgypt, Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey
SettlementsCamps: Jordan
Internally displaced Syrians
Casualties of the war
CrimesHuman rights violations, massacres, rape
Return of refugees, Refugees as weapons, Prosecution of war criminals

Forced displacement

More than six million refugees left the country during the civil war,[10] of whom over five million are registered as refugees by the UNHCR as of mid-2019.[11] Most of them fled to neighboring countries such as Turkey,[12][13] Lebanon, Jordan,[14] and Iraq,[15] as well as European nations like Greece, Germany and Sweden. Since 2017, tens of thousands have returned.[16]

The war resulted in large-scale displacement in the country. The UNHCR estimates internally displaced people (IDPs) at seven million. A further 70,000 people were trapped on the border with Jordan at Rukban in 2016–18,[17][18] with up to 40,000 still there in 2019.[19]

A significant part of the population lives in territory outside government sovereignty. At its peak in 2015, ISIL ruled over ten million people across Syria and Iraq.[20] The Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (NES), commonly referred to as Rojava, has a population of around two million.[21] Areas controlled by the opposition have had a population in the millions. In mid-2017, UN OCHA estimated that around 540,000 persons were trapped in besieged areas as of June 2017, the majority besieged by government forces in Eastern Ghouta.[22] By the time the government retook Ghouta in April 2018, some 140,000 individuals had fled their homes and up to 50,000 were evacuated to Idlib and Aleppo governorates.[23] The latter rebel areas had an estimated population of 3 million (40% of them displaced from defeated rebel areas).[24][25] Fighting in Idlib has led to further displacements, of up to 250,000 people, and generating new refugee outflows to neighbouring Turkey.[26]

Displacement has led to demographic shifts. One example is the area in the North under control by Kurdish-led and US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Many human rights groups, including Amnesty International[27] and international organizations[28][29] have accused SDF forces of committing ethnic cleansing in Arab areas they were capturing from other war factions.[30] The accusation was repeated on 8 May 2019 by Russia's foreign minister Sergey Lavrov.[31] NGOs and the opposition have also accused the government of using the conflict to affect demographic restructuring.[32][33][34][35]

Birth-death rate

In April 2016, the UN estimated that 400,000 people had died in the war,[36] and casualties have continued since, with estimates for the total dead by mid-2019 of up to 220,000 civilians, 175,000 government combatants, and 174,000 anti-government combatants (see Casualties of the Syrian Civil War).

Population

Historical population

Historical population
YearPop.±%
1 BC2,110,000—    
2002,860,000+35.5%
5002,430,000−15.0%
9002,200,000−9.5%
12002,700,000+22.7%
15001,070,000−60.4%
17001,250,000+16.8%
18501,480,000+18.4%
19001,720,000+16.2%
19372,368,000+37.7%
19503,252,000+37.3%
19604,565,000+40.4%
19706,305,000+38.1%
19808,704,000+38.0%
199012,116,000+39.2%
199514,186,000+17.1%
200417,921,000+26.3%
201121,124,000+17.9%
201617,185,000−18.6%
201718,029,549+4.9%
202323,022,427+27.7%
Source:[37][38][39] 2016 estimate[40] 2023 estimate[41]
Population history of Syria

In 1200, the territories of modern-day Syria had an estimated population of 2.7 million.[37] This number sharply decreased due to the Plague epidemic in 1348–1353, which killed off an estimated third of the Levant's population. By 1937, the population reached an estimated 2,368,000, still considerably lower than 1200's estimated population.

Modern population

Since 1960, censuses have been conducted in 1960, 1970, 1981, 1994 and 2004.[42]In 2014, 17,951,639, a massive decline due to nearly 4 million Syrian refugees leaving the country because of the Syrian Civil War and furthermore because of the death in the war. This is a drop of 9.7% from the previous year.[43]

In 2017, the head of the Syrian Commission for Family Affairs, Mohammad Akram al-Qash, said that the Syrian population was 28 million, of which, 21 million were living in Syria and that 7 million were refugees.[44] In 2018, the population was estimated to be 19,454,263 people.[45] Ever since the Syrian Civil War, the population has been steadily declining, however rebounded in 2023, with an estimated population of 23,022,427 people.

Age structure

CIA World Factbook (2018 est.)[45]
Population pyramidMaleFemale
0–14
3,132,619
2,974,394
15–24
1,933,185
1,863,991
25–54
3,807,664
3,829,150
55–64
531,455
542,738
65+
379,360
379,360
UN inc Palestinian refugees 2011-07-01 est.[46]
Population pyramidMaleFemale
0–14
4,044,000
6,281,000
15–64
6,281,000
6,126,000
65+
469,000
389,000
(2011-07-01) (Estimates, including Palestinian refugees)[46]
Age GroupMaleFemaleTotal%
Total10 794 00010 330 00021 124 000100
0-41 428 0001 347 0002 775 00013.14
5-91 384 0001 270 0002 654 00012.56
10-141 232 0001 198 0002 430 00011.50
15-191 191 0001 088 0002 279 00010.79
20-241 035 000944 0001 979 0009.37
25-29864 000873 0001 737 0008.22
30-34674 000697 0001 371 0006.49
35-39601 000628 0001 229 0005.82
40-44545 000551 0001 096 0005.19
45-49437 000433 000870 0004.12
50-54387 000405 000792 0003.75
55-59293 000280 000573 0002.71
60-64254 000227 000481 0002.28
65+469 000389 000858 0004.06
Age groupMaleFemaleTotalPercent
0–144 044 0003 815 0007 859 00037.20
15–646 281 0006 126 00012 407 00058.73
65+469 000389 000858 0004.06

Population

This data is from CIA World Factbook:[45] In 2023, the Syrian population increased by 6.39%. This made Syria the country with the highest population growth. The birth rate was estimated at 22.19 births per 1000 people. The death rate is 4.07 deaths for 1000 people. The median age (estimated in 2020) for males is 23 years old, while for females it is 24 years old. Overall, the Syrian median age is 23.5 years old. The migration rate is 45.78 migrants for 1,000 people. The gender ratio is as follows:

at birth: 1.06 male(s)/female

0–14 years: 1.05 male(s)/female

15–64 years: 0.99 male(s)/female

65 years and over: 0.88 male(s)/female

total population: 1.01 male(s)/female (2023 est.)

Demographic statistics

UN estimates:[47]

PeriodPopulationLive birthsDeathsNatural changeBirth rate
(per 1000)
Death rate
(per 1000)
Natural change
(per 1000)
Total Fertility rateInfant mortality (1000 births)Life expectancy (years)
19503 544 000  167 000  92 000  75 00047.025.921.17.60179.644.14
1951  3 621 000  171 000  92 000  80 00047.325.422.07.60177.544.45
1952  3 703 000  176 000  91 000  85 00047.624.723.07.61173.344.99
1953  3 791 000  182 000  90 000  91 00047.923.924.07.61169.145.70
1954  3 886 000  187 000  88 000  99 00048.022.625.57.62160.246.97
1955  3 989 000  192 000  85 000  107 00048.221.326.87.62151.748.31
1956  4 099 000  197 000  83 000  114 00048.020.327.77.59143.949.39
1957  4 217 000  202 000  81 000  121 00047.819.128.77.57136.650.58
1958  4 341 000  207 000  79 000  128 00047.618.229.47.54129.951.57
1959  4 473 000  212 000  77 000  135 00047.317.230.17.51123.752.61
1960  4 611 000  217 000  75 000  142 00047.016.330.77.49118.053.55
1961  4 752 000  221 000  74 000  147 00046.515.531.07.43113.054.44
1962  4 895 000  227 000  73 000  154 00046.414.831.57.44108.455.09
1963  5 045 000  233 000  72 000  162 00046.214.232.07.44104.255.78
1964  5 203 000  241 000  71 000  170 00046.213.632.67.47100.356.50
1965  5 368 000  249 000  70 000  179 00046.313.133.37.5196.557.11
1966  5 542 000  258 000  70 000  188 00046.512.633.87.5592.757.60
1967  5 723 000  267 000  70 000  197 00046.612.234.47.5888.958.10
1968  5 913 000  276 000  68 000  208 00046.611.535.17.6085.059.07
1969  6 111 000  288 000  67 000  220 00047.011.036.07.6781.159.88
1970  6 319 000  298 000  67 000  231 00047.110.536.57.6977.260.53
1971  6 539 000  305 000  65 000  240 00046.710.036.77.6573.561.37
1972  6 769 000  314 000  65 000  249 00046.39.636.77.6170.161.90
1973  7 003 000  322 000  69 000  253 00045.99.836.17.5666.960.69
1974  7 245 000  331 000  63 000  267 00045.68.736.97.5163.863.12
1975  7 497 000  341 000  63 000  278 00045.48.437.07.4760.963.54
1976  7 759 000  352 000  63 000  289 00045.38.137.27.4458.063.92
1977  8 029 000  364 000  65 000  299 00045.28.137.27.4155.263.76
1978  8 310 000  373 000  60 000  314 00044.87.237.77.3552.465.81
1979  8 601 000  382 000  60 000  322 00044.36.937.47.2749.766.14
1980  8 899 000  390 000  60 000  330 00043.86.737.17.1647.266.35
1981  9 204 000  396 000  68 000  328 00043.07.435.67.0147.064.37
1982  9 511 000  404 000  83 000  321 00042.48.733.76.8848.661.12
1983  9 835 000  413 000  58 000  355 00041.95.936.06.7440.367.83
1984  10 183 000  422 000  55 000  366 00041.45.435.96.6138.368.92
1985  10 541 000  432 000  57 000  375 00041.05.435.56.4836.668.76
1986  10 908 000  441 000  57 000  384 00040.45.235.26.3335.069.21
1987  11 281 000  447 000  58 000  389 00039.65.134.56.1333.569.30
1988  11 658 000  448 000  58 000  390 00038.44.933.45.8932.369.67
1989  12 034 000  446 000  58 000  388 00037.14.932.25.6331.169.76
1990  12 409 000  446 000  59 000  387 00035.94.831.15.3829.969.82
1991  12 782 000  444 000  60 000  384 00034.74.730.05.1228.870.04
1992  13 156 000  448 000  60 000  387 00034.04.629.44.9527.770.26
1993  13 537 000  459 000  62 000  397 00033.94.629.34.8326.570.19
1994  13 923 000  468 000  64 000  404 00033.64.629.04.7225.470.14
1995  14 313 000  474 000  64 000  409 00033.14.528.64.5724.270.42
1996  14 709 000  478 000  67 000  411 00032.54.528.04.4323.170.35
1997  15 104 000  481 000  69 000  412 00031.84.527.34.2822.070.28
1998  15 501 000  487 000  71 000  416 00031.44.626.84.1821.070.20
1999  15 901 000  493 000  72 000  421 00031.04.526.54.0820.170.43
2000  16 308 000  500 000  72 000  428 00030.64.426.24.0019.370.76
2001  16 728 000  519 000  70 000  449 00031.04.226.84.0118.671.64
2002  17 164 000  529 000  70 000  459 00030.84.126.73.9518.071.94
2003  17 611 000  541 000  70 000  471 00030.74.026.73.9017.472.41
2004  18 084 000  553 000  72 000  481 00030.64.026.63.8617.072.48
2005  18 584 000  567 000  73 000  494 00030.53.926.63.8116.672.77
2006  19 432 000  579 000  72 000  507 00030.33.826.53.7616.373.35
2007  20 703 000  625 000  75 000  551 00030.83.727.13.7016.173.71
2008  21 474 000  673 000  81 000  592 00031.03.727.33.6116.073.55
2009  21 827 000  650 000  80 000  569 00029.73.726.13.5115.973.85
2010  22 338 000  641 000  83 000  558 00028.73.725.03.4015.973.88
2011  22 731 000  629 000  90 000  539 00027.53.923.63.2816.473.31
2012  22 606 000  615 000  148 000  467 00026.66.420.23.2223.066.77
2013  21 496 000  568 000  173 000  394 00025.27.717.53.1726.363.83
2014  20 072 000  465 000  168 000  297 00022.48.114.33.1027.163.15
2015  19 205 000  397 000  143 000  254 00020.27.312.93.0525.165.12
2016  18 964 000  359 000  133 000  226 00018.97.011.92.9924.565.99
2017  18 983 000  355 000  115 000  240 00018.66.012.52.9418.568.48
2018  19 333 000  346 000  106 000  240 00018.25.612.62.8918.670.15
2019  20 098 000  375 000  100 000  275 00018.95.013.92.8418.171.82
2020  20 773 000  406 000  103 000  303 00019.75.014.72.8018.172.14
2021  21 324 000  427 000  109 000  318 00020.15.115.02.7517.872.06
Fertility[48]
NameTFR (2009)
Aleppo3.2
Damascus2.6
Daraa5.2
Deir ez-Zor6.9
Hama3.3
Al-Hasakah3.5
Homs3.1
Idlib4.8
Latakia2.2
Quneitra3.8
Raqqa5
Rif Dimashq3.3
Al-Suwayda2.1
Tartus2.3
Syria3.5
Life expectancy in Syria since 1950
Life expectancy in Syria since 1960 by gender
Marital fertility rate[48]
NameMFR (2009)
Aleppo5.4
Damascus4.7
Daraa7.3
Deir ez-Zor10.2
Hama6.6
Al-Hasakah6.8
Homs5.9
Idlib7.7
Latakia4.5
Quneitra6.5
Raqqa7.9
Rif Dimashq5.4
Al-Suwayda4
Tartus4.8
Syria6

Life expectancy at birth

This data is from CIA World Factbook:[45]

total: 75.2 years
male: 72.8 years
female: 77.8 years (2018 est.)

Population centers

Aleppo 2,132,100
Damascus 1,711,000
Homs 652,609
Latakia 383,786
Hama 312,994
Raqqa 220,488
Deir ez-Zor 211,857
Al-Hasakah 188,160
Qamishli 184,231
Population centers as of 2004[49] 6,133,652 Syrians among 17,921,000 total population live in the first 10: (1) Aleppo 2,132,100 (2) Damascus 1,711,000 (3) Homs 652,609 (4) Latakia 383,786 (5) Hama 312,994 (6) Raqqa 220,488 (7) Deir ez-Zor 211,857 (8) Al-Hasakah 188,160 (9) Qamishli 184,231 (10) Sayyidah Zaynab 136,427

60% of the population lives in the Aleppo Governorate, the Euphrates valley or along the coastal plain; a fertile strip between the coastal mountains and the desert. Overall population density is about 118.3 inhabitants per square kilometre (306/sq mi).

Urbanization

This data is from CIA World Factbook:[45]

Urban population: 54.2% of total population (2018)

Rate of urbanization: 1.43% annual rate of change (2015-20 est.)

Major urban areas

Population density, 1993

As of 2018; this data is from CIA World Factbook:[45]

Damascus (capital): 2.32 million

Aleppo: 1.754 million

Homs: 1.295 million

Hama: 894,000

Ethnicity and religion

On 1 January 2011, Syria was estimated to have a population of 24 million people, distributed over its 14 governorates.[50] Arabs represent 80-85% of the population, with the rest being a mixture of many ethnic and religious sects, as shown in the table below:

Ethnic and religious groups% of Syrian population[50]Notes[50]
Syrian Arabs80–85%The Arabs form the majority in all districts except for the Al-Hasakah Governorate.
Kurds10%The majority of Kurds are Sunni Muslims, with a Yazidi minority; concentrated in Syrian Kurdistan region and major urban centres outside that region.
Turkmen/Turkoman4–5%Descendants of ethnic Turks, rather than Turkmens. These figures exclude the Arabic-speaking Turks. Only approximately 30% of Turkmen speak a Turkic language. The majority are Sunni Muslims.
Assyrians3–4%Most Assyrians are Christians
Circassians1.5%The majority of Circassians are Sunni Muslims.
Armenians1%The majority of Armenians are Christians.
Smaller groups of Albanians, Greeks and Chechens, among others<0.9% (combined)A significant number of these ethnic groups are Arabized, particularly those that adhere to Islam.

The CIA World Factbook cites the following figures for ethnic groups as at July 2018: approximately Arab 50%, Alawite 15%, Kurd 10%, Levantine 10%, other 15% (includes Druze, Ismaili, Imami, Nusairi, Assyrians, Turkmen, Armenian and Chechens).[5] However, Professor John A. Shoup said in 2018 that Kurds made 9% of the population, followed by Turkish-speaking Turkmen comprising 4-5%, Assyrians 4%, Armenians 2%, and Circassians about 1% of the total population.[51]

Religion in Syria (est. 2021)[52]

  Sunni Islam (74%)
  Christianity (10%)
  Druze (3%)

There has been no Syrian census including a question about religion since 1960, these are thus the last official statistics available:[53]

In 1991 Professor Alasdair Drysdale and Professor Raymond Hinnebusch said that some 85% of Syrians were Muslims and that the remainder were almost all Christians, however, both religious groups were subdivided into many ethnic sects.[54] Among the former, approximately 75% of Syrians were Sunni Muslim, of whom, 60% were Arabic-speaking and the remainder of Sunnis included Kurds 8.5%, Turkmen/Turkoman 3%, and Circassians (less than 1%).[54] In addition, Alawis formed 5.5%, Druze 3% and Ismailis 1.5% of the population. In regards to the Christians, they were subdivided into the Greek Orthodox 4.7%, Armenians 4% and Assyrians 1%.[54]

According to Pierre Beckouche, before 2011, Sunni Muslims accounted for 78% of Syria's population, which included 500,000 Palestinian refugees and the non-Arab Sunni Muslims, namely the Kurds 9-10% and the Turkmen/Turkoman 4%.[55] Other Muslims included Shias and Alawites 11%-16%, whilst the Christians made up 6% of the population.[55] There were also a few Jewish communities in Aleppo and Damascus.[55]

The CIA World Factbook cites the following figures for religious groups: religions - Muslim 87% (official; includes Sunni 74% and Alawi, Ismaili, and Shia 13%), Christian 10% (mainly of the Greek Orthodox and Greek Catholic churches[56] - may be smaller as a result of Christians fleeing the country), Druze 3%.[5]

The first census which focused on the sectarian distribution was carried out in 1932 under the French mandate, however, this census was only carried out in the lands under the short-lived Government of Latakia (the Alawite State established by the French) which covered only 7,000 km2 (2,700 sq mi) out of modern Syria's total area of 185,000 km2 (71,000 sq mi).[57] A general census of Syria in 1943 gave details of religious groups of the population and the rate of growth of each and estimates of the population in 1953 from an unnamed source were as follows:

1943 census[57][58]1953 census[57]Growth[57]
Sunnis1,971,053 (68.91%)2,578,810 (70.54%)31%
Shi'ites12,742 (0.45%)14,887 (0.41%)17%
Alawites325,311 (11.37%)398,445 (10.90%)22%
Ismailis28,527 (1.00%)36,745 (1.01%)29%
Druze87,184 (3.05%)113,318 (3.10%)30%
Yezidi2,788 (0.10%)3,082 (0.08%)11%
Total Muslims2,427,605 (84.87%)3,145,287 (86.03%)30%
Jews29,770 (1.04%)31,647 (0.87%)6%
Christians403,036 (14.09%)478,970 (13.10%)19%

Literacy rate

Education is free and compulsory from ages 6 to 11. Schooling consists of 6 years of primary education followed by a 3-year general or vocational training period and a 3-year academic or vocational program. The second 3-year period of academic training is required for university admission. Total enrollment at post-secondary schools is over 150,000. The literacy rate of Syrians aged 15 and older is 86.0% for males and 73.6% for females.[59]

Languages

Arabic is the official, and most widely spoken, language. Arabic speakers make up 85% of the population. Several modern Arabic dialects are used in everyday life, most notably Levantine in the west and Mesopotamian in the northeast. A report published by the UNHCR points out that "while the majority of Syrians are considered Arabs, this is a term based on spoken language (Arabic), not ethnicity."[60]

According to The Encyclopedia of Arabic Language and Linguistics, in addition to Arabic, the following languages are spoken in the country, in order of the number of speakers: Kurdish,[61] Turkish,[61] Neo-Aramaic (four dialects),[61] Circassian,[61] Chechen,[61] Armenian,[61] and finally Greek.[61] None of these languages have official status.[61]

Many educated Syrians also speak English and French.[62][63]

References

External links