2015 Polish parliamentary election

The process of election for the Sejm is through open party-list proportional representation via the D'hondt method in multi-seat constituencies, with a 5% national threshold for single parties and 8% threshold for coalitions (requirements waived for ethnic minorities). The senate is elected using first-past-the-post voting in single-member districts.^[3] To be included on a ballot, a senate candidate must present 2,000 signatures of support from their constituents.^[4] For Sejm elections, the threshold is 5,000 signatures per constituency, though that requirement is waived for parties that have already registered lists in at least half of all constituencies (21 out of 41 as of this election).^[5]

Overall, the Sejm includes 460 MPs. Should a party have 231 or more deputies in Parliament, it has an absolute majority and can thus govern autonomously, without the need for support from other parties. The constitution can be amended with a supermajority of two-thirds, or 307 deputies.

The date of the election, 25 October, was set by the previous President of Poland, Bronisław Komorowski.^[6] The latest possible date for the election to be held was in November 2015, four years after the previous election. Prior to the announcement of the election date, the most likely dates were thought to be in October or November.

In the previous parliamentary elections in 2011 the Civic Platform–Polish People's Party coalition government, in power since 2007, won a second term. All 460 seats in the Sejm and 100 seats in the Senate were up for election.

Nationwide committees

Regional committees

The opposition party, Law and Justice won the election with 37.58% of the vote against the governing Civic Platform, which gained a 24.09% share.^[29] Beata Szydło became the new Prime Minister, succeeding Ewa Kopacz.^[30][31] Law and Justice became the first party in Poland to win majority government in a free election, since 1991. The other parties considered winners were two newcomer parties, Kukiz's Movement (third place) and Ryszard Petru's Modern party (4th place).

Two of the biggest losers were Civic Platform and the Polish People's Party. PO suffered its worst result in a parliamentary election in ten years, ending eight years of political dominance. The PSL, the junior partner in the outgoing government, had its worst result in 25 years (5.13%), just crossing the 5% threshold by a few thousand votes. Another perceived loser was the Democratic Left Alliance, Poland's largest left-wing party, which failed to win a seat for the first time since the change of system. The SLD ran as the largest partner of the United Left, which was 0.5% short of the 8% threshold for electoral alliances to win seats.

Sejm

Party		Votes	%	Seats	+/–
	Law and Justice	5,711,687	37.58	235	+78
	Civic Platform	3,661,474	24.09	138	–69
	Kukiz'15	1,339,094	8.81	42	New
	Modern	1,155,370	7.60	28	New
	United Left	1,147,102	7.55	0	–67
	Polish People's Party	779,875	5.13	16	–12
	KORWiN	722,999	4.76	0	New
	Together	550,349	3.62	0	New
	Committee of Zbigniew Stonoga	42,731	0.28	0	New
	German Minority Electoral Committee	27,530	0.18	1	0
	United for Silesia	18,668	0.12	0	New
	JOW Bezpartyjni	15,656	0.10	0	New
	Committee of Grzegorz Braun "God Bless You!"	13,113	0.09	0	New
	Congress of the New Right	4,852	0.03	0	0
	Self-Defence of the Republic of Poland	4,266	0.03	0	0
	Social Movement of the Republic of Poland	3,941	0.03	0	New
	Citizens to Parliament	1,964	0.01	0	New
Total		15,200,671	100.00	460	0
Valid votes		15,200,671	97.47
Invalid/blank votes		394,664	2.53
Total votes		15,595,335	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		30,629,150	50.92
Source: PKW

Party breakdown

* – individual members running on lists different from their own parties

By constituency

Senate

Party		Votes	%	Seats	+/–
	Law and Justice	5,993,433	39.99	61	+30
	Civic Platform	4,323,789	28.85	34	–29
	Polish People's Party	1,109,675	7.40	1	–1
	United Left	595,206	3.97	0	0
	Modern	394,817	2.63	0	New
	Kukiz'15	207,156	1.38	0	New
	KORWiN	186,510	1.24	0	New
	JOW Bezpartyjni	113,669	0.76	0	New
	Citizens to Parliament	84,246	0.56	0	New
	Congress of the New Right	79,946	0.53	0	0
	Democratic Party	64,829	0.43	0	0
	National Revival of Poland	57,012	0.38	0	0
	German Minority Electoral Committee	40,472	0.27	0	0
	Self-Defence of the Republic of Poland	20,913	0.14	0	0
	Social Movement of the Republic of Poland	14,316	0.10	0	New
	Whites–Reds	10,973	0.07	0	New
	Committee of Zbigniew Stonoga	10,167	0.07	0	New
	Slavic Union	9,562	0.06	0	New
	Committee of Grzegorz Braun "God Bless You!"	7,916	0.05	0	New
	Real Politics Union	6,190	0.04	0	0
	Patriotic Poland	6,090	0.04	0	0
	National Movement	5,462	0.04	0	New
	Labour Party	3,380	0.02	0	0
	Piast – Unity of the Thoughts of European Nations	1,786	0.01	0	New
	Independents	1,640,571	10.95	4	0
Total		14,988,086	100.00	100	0
Valid votes		14,988,086	96.12
Invalid/blank votes		604,947	3.88
Total votes		15,593,033	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		30,629,150	50.91
Source: PKW, PKW

By constituency

Political analysts noted that the election marked the first time in the post-communist era that a political party received enough votes to form a majority government.^[32][33] BBC News suggested that Law and Justice's strategy of putting forward Szydło as its candidate for prime minister was a "winning formula" in the election. Szydło was widely perceived as being more moderate than PiS' outspoken leader, Jarosław Kaczyński. However, it also noted that Kaczyński could step into the role of prime minister after the election.^[33]

According to the Associated Press, the new Sejm was the most right-wing parliament in Europe due to the absence of centre-left MPs in the chamber. All five parties in the Sejm tilted rightward on social issues. Between them, left-leaning alliances only gained 11 percent of the vote.^[34]

Kopacz swiftly conceded defeat after exit polls from TVP showed PiS on its way to a majority, while Kaczyński declared victory and hailed his party's historic majority.^[35] Kaczyński also paid tribute to his late brother, President Lech Kaczyński, who died in the 2010 plane crash.^[31]

• History of Poland (1989–present)
• List of political parties in Poland
• 2015 Polish presidential election
• 2015 Polish Constitutional Court crisis