Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election

The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.

Polling aggregations

Seat projections

Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.

Polling aggregator		Date updated	Number of seats	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others
Polling aggregator		Date updated	Number of seats									Others
Politico Europe^[1]		10 May 2024	720	31	146	43	81	173	74	84	42	46
election.de^[2]		9 May 2024	720	40	140	55	89	177	80	84	55	–
corneliushirsch.com^[3]		9 May 2024	720	43	137	48	87	183	82	94	46	–
Europe Elects^[4]		28 Apr 2024	720	44	140	48	86	183	86	84	48	1
Der Föderalist^[5]	Baseline^[a]	26 Apr 2024	720	35	132	51	86	173	81	83	35	44
Der Föderalist^[5]	Dynamic^[b]	26 Apr 2024	720	39	134	53	89	181	86	99	39	–
EM Analytics^[6]		22 Apr 2024	720	39	139	51	77	181	86	86	61	–

2019 election	After Brexit	1 Feb 2020	705	40	148	67	97	187	62	76	28	–
2019 election	Before Brexit	26 May 2019	751	41	154	74	108	182	62	73	57	–

Popular vote projections

Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.

Polling aggregator		Date updated	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others
Polling aggregator		Date updated									Others
The Economist^[7]		10 May 2024	6.0%	17.0%	6.0%	10.0%	23.0%	10.0%	10.0%	4.0%	13.0%
Europe Elects^[4]		28 Apr 2024	6.3%	18.3%	7.7%	9.9%	22.9%	11.8%	11.2%	6.6%	5.2%
EM Analytics^[8]		22 Apr 2024	7.0%	18.5%	7.9%	10.3%	22.0%	11.1%	12.1%	6.7%	4.6%

2019 election
2019 election	Before Brexit	26 May 2019	6.5%	18.5%	11.7%	13.0%	21.0%	8.2%	10.8%	7.2%	3.1%

Seats

361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.

Organisation	Release date	Area	Number of seats	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others	Lead
Organisation	Release date	Area	Number of seats									Others	Lead
election.de^[9]	9 May 2024	EU27	720	40	140	55	89	177	80	84	55		37
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[10]	28 Apr 2024	EU27	720	44	140	48	86	183	86	84	48	1	43
Der Föderalist^[11]	26 Apr 2024	EU27	720	35	132	51	86	173	81	83	35	44	41
Der Föderalist^[11]	26 Apr 2024	EU27	720	39	134	53	89	181	86	99	39		47
EM Analytics^[12]	22 Apr 2024	EU27	720	39	139	51	86	181	86	77	61		42
election.de^[13]	22 Apr 2024	EU27	720	39	138	52	90	173	80	87	61		35
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[14]	16 Apr 2024	EU27	720	40	139	52	84	184	82	84	52	3	45
election.de^[15]	8 Apr 2024	EU27	720	39	138	55	86	176	81	85	60		38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[16]	28 Mar 2024	EU27	720	47	135	52	87	184	81	82	48	4	49
election.de^[17]	22 Mar 2024	EU27	720	40	139	54	89	176	84	83	55		37
Ipsos for Euronews^[18]	19 Mar 2024	EU27	720	42	136	55	85	177	76	81	68		41
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[19]	18 Mar 2024	EU27	720	46	135	50	86	183	84	89	43	4	48
Politico Europe^[20]	9 Mar 2024	EU27	720	33	141	48	90	180	87	89	52		39
election.de^[21]	8 Mar 2024	EU27	720	39	142	51	86	171	86	86	59		29
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[22]	1 Mar 2024	EU27	720	45	140	49	82	181	83	92	44	4	41
Der Föderalist^[23]	26 Feb 2024	EU27	720	35	135	48	85	176	78	85	36	42	41
Der Föderalist^[23]	26 Feb 2024	EU27	720	37	137	48	89	183	82	101	43		46
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[24]	19 Feb 2024	EU27	720	44	140	48	85	180	83	92	43	6	40
election.de^[25]	7 Feb 2024	EU27	720	42	138	49	78	176	88	94	55		38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[26]	1 Feb 2024	EU27	720	42	140	51	82	180	80	91	49	5	40
ECFR^[27]	23 Jan 2024	EU27	720	44	131	61	86	173	85	98	42		42
Europe Elects for EURACTIV^[28]	15 Jan 2024	EU27	720	37	143	50	84	178	80	93	49	6	35
election.de^[29]	9 Jan 2024	EU27	720	41	141	45	80	179	86	95	53		38
Politico Europe^[30]	9 Jan 2024	EU27	720	33	145	43	86	178	89	96	50		33
Der Föderalist^[31]	8 Jan 2024	EU27	720	33	141	45	86	169	75	89	43	39	28
Der Föderalist^[31]	8 Jan 2024	EU27	720	35	143	47	91	177	85	108	34		34
Europe Elects^[32]	30 Dec 2023	EU27	720	36	142	49	84	179	81	93	50	6	37
Politico Europe^[33]	11 Dec 2023	EU27	720	33	145	47	87	175	91	91	51		30
Europe Elects^[34]	30 Nov 2023	EU27	720	38	141	52	89	175	82	87	52	4	35
Politico Europe^[35]	9 Nov 2023	EU27	720	38	143	49	91	179	90	85	45		36
Der Föderalist^[36]	6 Nov 2023	EU27	720	43	137	43	90	170	78	76	37	45	33
Der Föderalist^[36]	6 Nov 2023	EU27	720	46	138	47	96	178	89	92	34		40
Europe Elects^[37]	31 Oct 2023	EU27	720	45	139	51	92	173	80	76	53	11	34
	12 Oct 2023	PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.^[38]
Politico Europe^[39]	9 Oct 2023	EU27	720	40	151	49	89	172	93	82	44		21
Europe Elects^[40]	30 Sep 2023	EU27	720	43	145	52	90	165	86	74	56	10	21
	22 Sep 2023	The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.^[41]
Der Föderalist^[42]	11 Sep 2023	EU27	720	43	147	46	91	162	77	74	36	43	15
			720	45	147	50	96	171	90	89	32		24
			705	42	144	46	90	157	77	72	35	41	13
			705	44	144	50	95	165	89	87	31		21
Politico Europe^[43]	7 Sep 2023	EU27	705	42	146	46	91	167	93	76	44		21
Europe Elects^[44]	31 Aug 2023	EU27	720	38	149	53	90	164	83	75	58	10	15
Politico Europe^[45]	9 Aug 2023	EU27	705	45	145	48	89	165	89	77	47		20
Europe Elects^[46]	31 Jul 2023	EU27	705	45	143	49	90	157	82	82	55	12	14
Der Föderalist^[47]	17 Jul 2023	EU27	705	41	136	48	94	160	79	70	36	41	24
Der Föderalist^[47]	17 Jul 2023	EU27	705	43	137	52	99	167	89	87	31		30
Der Föderalist^[48]	22 May 2023	EU27	705	49	137	50	92	162	79	67	33	36	25
Der Föderalist^[48]	22 May 2023	EU27	705	50	137	54	99	172	82	83	28		35
Europe Elects^[49]	28 Apr 2023	EU27	705	51	141	49	89	163	85	64	51	11	22
Der Föderalist^[50]	27 Mar 2023	EU27	705	44	137	42	94	162	78	68	38	42	25
Der Föderalist^[50]	27 Mar 2023	EU27	705	46	141	46	102	170	81	84	35		29
Der Föderalist^[51]	1 Feb 2023	EU27	705	50	135	42	96	168	78	65	37	34	33
Der Föderalist^[51]	1 Feb 2023	EU27	705	52	138	47	103	172	82	80	31		34
Der Föderalist^[52]	6 Dec 2022	EU27	705	51	136	44	93	166	79	64	37	35	30
Der Föderalist^[52]	6 Dec 2022	EU27	705	53	139	50	100	170	83	80	30		31
Europe Elects^[53]	7 Dec 2022	EU27	705	49	142	56	100	158	84	63	46	7	16
Europe Elects^[54]	1 Nov 2022	EU27	705	55	135	53	106	162	81	66	41	6	27
Der Föderalist^[55]	12 Oct 2022	EU27	705	52	127	42	100	169	79	63	35	38	42
Der Föderalist^[55]	12 Oct 2022	EU27	705	54	130	48	108	174	84	80	27		44
Der Föderalist^[56]	20 Aug 2022	EU27	705	52	134	47	98	170	75	63	27	39	36
Der Föderalist^[56]	20 Aug 2022	EU27	705	54	137	53	107	175	80	76	23		38
Der Föderalist^[57]	22 Jun 2022	EU27	705	54	133	44	101	165	77	64	31	36	32
Der Föderalist^[57]	22 Jun 2022	EU27	705	56	136	54	106	168	81	79	25		32
Der Föderalist^[58]	25 Apr 2022	EU27	705	59	139	39	97	157	78	64	37	35	18
Der Föderalist^[58]	25 Apr 2022	EU27	705	60	143	49	102	159	84	76	32		16
Der Föderalist^[59]	1 Mar 2022	EU27	705	53	139	36	98	158	78	62	45	36	19
Der Föderalist^[59]	1 Mar 2022	EU27	705	55	142	44	105	160	109	62	28		18
Europe Elects^[60]	8 Jan 2022	EU27	705	49	152	55	99	158	78	62	35	17	6
Der Föderalist^[61]	4 Jan 2022	EU27	705	51	142	39	99	165	73	62	34	40	23
Der Föderalist^[61]	4 Jan 2022	EU27	705	53	146	43	105	166	102	62	28		20
Europe Elects^[62]	7 Dec 2021	EU27	705	50	155	55	103	146	81	75	36	4	9
Der Föderalist^[63]	8 Nov 2021	EU27	705	50	144	42	96	155	75	72	36	35	11
Der Föderalist^[63]	8 Nov 2021	EU27	705	52	148	48	107	156	23	120	51		8
Europe Elects^[64]	4 Nov 2021	EU27	705	50	155	51	102	151	81	75	35	5	4
Europe Elects^[65]	8 Oct 2021	EU27	705	50	154	47	94	156	78	75	36	15	2
Der Föderalist^[66]	13 Sep 2021	EU27	705	54	141	42	98	160	70	75	33	32	19
Der Föderalist^[66]	13 Sep 2021	EU27	705	56	145	48	107	160	22	116	51		15
Der Föderalist^[67]	21 Jul 2021	EU27	705	52	133	45	97	167	71	74	31	35	34
Der Föderalist^[67]	21 Jul 2021	EU27	705	54	138	49	108	168	23	117	48		30
Europe Elects^[68]	9 Jul 2021	EU27	705	52	144	55	94	156	75	77	34	18	12
Europe Elects^[69]	5 Jun 2021	EU27	705	51	146	58	92	155	76	74	35	18	9
Der Föderalist^[70]	24 May 2021	EU27	705	50	125	50	95	167	74	73	33	38	42
Der Föderalist^[70]	24 May 2021	EU27	705	52	130	54	109	167	87	74	32		37
Europe Elects^[71]	2 May 2021	EU27	705	52	144	56	93	158	75	74	34	19	14
Europe Elects^[72]	2 Apr 2021	EU27	705	51	151	52	93	159	74	74	32	19	8
Der Föderalist^[73]	29 Mar 2021	EU27	705	52	136	46	96	164	71	73	34	33	28
Der Föderalist^[73]	29 Mar 2021	EU27	705	54	141	49	109	164	85	73	30		23
	3 Mar 2021	Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.^[74]
Der Föderalist^[75]	2 Feb 2021	EU27	705	52	135	45	94	184	70	71	21	33	49
Der Föderalist^[75]	2 Feb 2021	EU27	705	53	141	48	107	184	73	71	28		49
Europe Elects^[76]	5 Jan 2021	EU27	705	55	138	47	97	190	73	72	22	11	52
Der Föderalist^[77]	9 Dec 2020	EU27	705	52	136	47	93	188	67	73	20	29	52
Der Föderalist^[77]	9 Dec 2020	EU27	705	53	140	40	103	188	73	73	25		48
Europe Elects^[78]	2 Dec 2020	EU27	705	55	136	48	95	195	68	73	23	12	59
Europe Elects^[79]	31 Oct 2020	EU27	705	54	136	48	93	197	70	74	24	9	61
Der Föderalist^[80]	12 Oct 2020	EU27	705	51	127	49	96	193	67	71	21	30	66
Der Föderalist^[80]	12 Oct 2020	EU27	705	52	136	52	102	193	71	71	28	–	57
Europe Elects^[81]	4 Oct 2020	EU27	705	55	136	49	95	195	71	77	23	4	59
Europe Elects^[82]	31 Aug 2020	EU27	705	55	134	49	96	196	71	75	24	5	62
Europe Elects^[83]	14 Aug 2020	EU27	705	54	134	49	97	198	70	75	23	5	64
Europe Elects^[84]	24 Jul 2020	EU27	705	54	133	48	97	198	71	77	24	3	65
Europe Elects^[85]	28 May 2020	EU27	705	55	135	47	98	197	70	77	23	3	62
Europe Elects^[86]	30 Apr 2020	EU27	705	55	140	46	94	193	72	78	23	4	53
Europe Elects^[87]	31 Mar 2020	EU27	705	57	135	51	92	188	72	83	21	6	53
Europe Elects^[88]	29 Feb 2020	EU27	705	56	133	55	99	184	68	85	21	6	51
Europe Elects^[89]	31 Jan 2020	EU27	705	55	130	53	101	182	70	85	23	6	52
	31 Jan 2020	The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.^[90]
Europe Elects^[91]	31 Dec 2019	EU27	705	54	131	52	102	182	70	86	25	3	51
Europe Elects^[92]	31 Dec 2019	EU28	751	53	153	52	103	177	103	82	25	3	24
Europe Elects^[93]	30 Nov 2019	EU28	751	49	157	61	107	176	95	80	25	1	19
Europe Elects^[93]	31 Aug 2019	EU28	751	46	151	62	115	175	92	78	30	2	24
Europe Elects^[93]	30 Sep 2019	EU28	751	48	151	63	118	170	87	79	32	3	19
Europe Elects^[93]	31 Aug 2019	EU28	751	47	154	64	116	166	89	80	32	3	12
Europe Elects^[93]	31 Jul 2019	EU28	751	48	153	65	117	168	85	79	33	3	15
Europe Elects^[93]	30 Jun 2019	EU28	751	46	145	74	119	167	64	80	54	2	22
Redistribution of seats after Brexit	1 Feb 2020	EU27	705	40	148	68	97	187	62	76	27	–	39
2019 European Parliament election	26 May 2019	EU28	751	41	154	74	108	182	62	73	57	–	28

Popular vote

The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.

Organisation	Release date	Area	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	ID	NI	Others	Lead
Organisation	Release date	Area									Others	Lead
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[94]	28 Apr 2024	EU27	6.3%	18.3%	7.7%	10.9%	22.9%	11.8%	11.2%	6.6%	5.2%	4.6%
EM Analytics^[95]	22 Apr 2024	EU27	7.0%	18.5%	7.9%	10.3%	22.0%	11.1%	12.1%	6.7%	4.6%	3.5%
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[96]	16 Apr 2024	EU27	5.9%	18.0%	7.6%	10.4%	24.3%	11.0%	10.9%	6.5%	5.4%	6.3%
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[97]	28 Mar 2024	EU27	7.7%	18.4%	8.1%	10.6%	23.0%	11.2%	11.2%	6.0%	3.8%	4.6%
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[98]	18 Mar 2024	EU27	4.8%	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	22.2%	11.1%	11.6%	7.3%	6.1%	3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[99]	1 Mar 2024	EU27	5.5%	18.9%	7.3%	9.5%	22.6%	11.6%	11.7%	7.4%	5.2%	3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[100]	19 Feb 2024	EU27	6.7%	18.5%	7.3%	9.7%	22.9%	11.3%	11.4%	7.1%	5.0%	4.4%
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[101]	1 Feb 2024	EU27	6.8%	18.4%	6.9%	9.5%	22.6%	11.3%	12.3%	5.9%	6.2%	4.2%
Europe Elects for Euractiv^[102]	15 Jan 2024	EU27	5.9%	18.3%	6.8%	10.3%	23.5%	10.9%	12.5%	6.1%	5.5%	5.2%
Europe Elects^[103]	30 Dec 2023	EU27	5.5%	17.9%	7.0%	10.4%	22.8%	11.1%	12.1%	6.2%	6.9%	4.9%
Europe Elects^[104]	30 Nov 2023	EU27	5.7%	18.4%	7.2%	10.7%	22.4%	11.0%	11.7%	6.1%	6.7%	4.0%
Europe Elects^[105]	31 Oct 2023	EU27	5.9%	18.5%	7.5%	10.5%	22.4%	11.3%	11.3%	6.1%	6.5%	3.9%
Europe Elects^[106]	30 Sep 2023	EU27	6.9%	19.1%	7.0%	9.9%	21.3%	11.8%	10.8%	6.0%	7.0%	2.2%
Europe Elects	31 Aug 2023	EU27	6.1%	19.5%	7.1%	10.2%	21.6%	11.8%	10.5%	6.0%	7.0%	2.1%
Europe Elects^[107]	31 Jul 2023	EU27	7.2%	19.5%	6.9%	10.5%	20.6%	11.5%	10.6%	6.4%	6.7%	1.1%
Europe Elects^[108]	28 Jun 2023	EU27	6.9%	18.7%	7.0%	10.4%	21.4%	11.7%	10.5%	6.3%	7.1%	2.7%
Europe Elects^[109]	31 May 2023	EU27	7.5%	18.8%	6.9%	10.8%	20.7%	11.7%	9.6%	6.1%	7.6%	1.9%
Europe Elects^[110]	30 Apr 2023	EU27	7.8%	18.2%	7.0%	10.4%	21.4%	11.6%	9.6%	6.0%	7.8%	3.2%
Europe Elects^[111]	31 Mar 2023	EU27	7.3%	19.0%	7.3%	11.1%	21.6%	11.4%	9.0%	6.0%	7.1%	2.6%
Europe Elects^[112]	28 Feb 2023	EU27	7.1%	18.7%	7.3%	11.1%	21.7%	11.5%	9.2%	6.0%	7.2%	3.0%
Europe Elects^[113]	31 Jan 2023	EU27	7.4%	18.5%	7.4%	11.3%	21.5%	11.5%	9.0%	6.1%	6.8%	3.0%
Europe Elects^[114]	31 Dec 2022	EU27	7.1%	18.7%	7.6%	11.5%	21.1%	11.6%	8.9%	5.4%	7.9%	2.4%
Europe Elects^[53]	7 Dec 2022	EU27	7.2%	18.8%	8.1%	11.7%	21.2%	11.2%	8.9%	5.5%	7.2%	2.4%
Europe Elects^[54]	1 Nov 2022	EU27	8.0%	18.3%	8.1%	12.0%	21.6%	11.3%	8.7%	5.7%	6.1%	3.3%
Europe Elects^[60]	8 Jan 2022	EU27	6.7%	20.6%	7.2%	11.9%	20.7%	10.3%	8.8%	5.0%	8.8%	0.1%
Europe Elects^[62]	7 Dec 2021	EU27	7.0%	20.4%	7.4%	13.6%	17.9%	10.3%	10.4%	4.8%	6.9%	1.2%
Europe Elects^[64]	4 Nov 2021	EU27	6.9%	20.7%	7.2%	13.0%	19.5%	10.7%	10.2%	5.3%	6.5%	1.2%
Europe Elects^[65]	8 Oct 2021	EU27	7.3%	20.3%	7.2%	12.0%	20.3%	10.5%	10.3%	5.3%	6.8%	Tie
Europe Elects^[68]	9 Jul 2021	EU27	7.2%	17.9%	8.0%	11.8%	21.2%	10.3%	10.6%	5.0%	8.0%	3.3%
Europe Elects^[69]	5 Jun 2021	EU27	7.8%	18.0%	9.1%	11.4%	20.6%	10.5%	10.4%	5.0%	7.1%	2.6%
Europe Elects^[86]	2 May 2021	EU27	7.9%	18.3%	8.5%	11.3%	20.3%	10.5%	10.6%	5.1%	7.4%	2.0%
Europe Elects^[87]	2 Apr 2021	EU27	8.0%	18.7%	8.2%	11.2%	21.6%	10.2%	10.8%	4.9%	6.3%	2.9%
	3 Mar 2021	Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.^[74]
Europe Elects^[76]	2 Mar 2021	EU27	7.9%	18.9%	7.5%	11.1%	23.1%	10.3%	10.8%	3.8%	6.6%	4.2%
Europe Elects^[76]	2 Feb 2021	EU27	8.2%	18.6%	7.5%	10.9%	24.4%	10.1%	10.5%	3.8%	6.0%	5.8%
Europe Elects^[76]	31 Dec 2020	EU27	8.4%	18.9%	7.5%	10.9%	24.1%	10.2%	10.5%	3.6%	5.9%	5.2%
Europe Elects^[78]	2 Dec 2020	EU27	8.2%	18.5%	7.7%	10.9%	24.8%	9.5%	10.5%	3.8%	6.0%	6.3%
Europe Elects^[79]	31 Oct 2020	EU27	7.6%	18.4%	7.7%	10.8%	25.0%	9.9%	10.6%	4.0%	6.1%	6.6%
Europe Elects^[81]	4 Oct 2020	EU27	7.9%	17.9%	7.8%	11.4%	24.4%	9.7%	11.0%	4.1%	5.7%	6.5%
Europe Elects^[82]	31 Aug 2020	EU27	8.1%	18.3%	7.4%	11.5%	25.0%	9.6%	10.9%	4.1%	5.2%	6.7%
Europe Elects^[83]	14 Aug 2020	EU27	8.0%	18.0%	7.2%	11.5%	25.3%	9.4%	10.8%	3.8%	6.0%	7.3%
Europe Elects^[84]	24 Jul 2020	EU27	8.3%	17.9%	7.4%	11.6%	25.7%	9.5%	10.9%	4.1%	4.6%	7.8%
Europe Elects^[85]	28 May 2020	EU27	8.2%	18.0%	7.2%	11.3%	25.2%	9.6%	11.1%	4.0%	5.4%	7.2%
Europe Elects^[86]	30 Apr 2020	EU27	8.2%	18.5%	7.2%	10.9%	25.3%	9.8%	11.4%	3.9%	4.7%	6.8%
Europe Elects^[87]	31 Mar 2020	EU27	8.5%	18.2%	8.0%	10.7%	24.1%	10.0%	11.8%	3.8%	4.9%	5.9%
Europe Elects^[88]	29 Feb 2020	EU27	9.1%	18.0%	8.4%	10.9%	22.7%	9.7%	12.5%	3.8%	4.9%	4.7%
Europe Elects^[89]	31 Jan 2020	EU27	8.0%	18.6%	8.4%	12.4%	20.5%	12.1%	12.1%	4.0%	3.9%	1.9%
	31 Jan 2020	The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.^[90]
Europe Elects^[93]	31 Dec 2019	EU28	8.1%	18.8%	8.2%	11.8%	20.9%	12.4%	11.9%	4.2%	3.7%	2.1%
Europe Elects^[93]	30 Nov 2019	EU28	8.0%	18.4%	8.4%	12.3%	20.3%	12.0%	12.0%	4.0%	3.8%	1.9%
Europe Elects^[93]	31 Oct 2019	EU28	6.5%	17.8%	8.3%	13.1%	20.3%	10.0%	11.3%	4.8%	7.9%	2.5%
Europe Elects^[93]	30 Sep 2019	EU28	6.6%	19.5%	8.3%	12.3%	19.6%	9.7%	11.3%	4.8%	7.9%	0.1%
Europe Elects^[93]	31 Aug 2019	EU28	6.9%	19.0%	8.7%	12.9%	20.0%	9.6%	11.4%	5.6%	5.9%	1.0%
Europe Elects^[93]	31 Jul 2019	EU28	6.6%	19.0%	9.4%	12.8%	19.3%	9.3%	11.5%	5.3%	6.7%	0.3%
Europe Elects^[93]	30 Jun 2019	EU28	6.9%	18.9%	10.3%	13.3%	19.1%	9.8%	11.4%	5.1%	5.2%	0.2%
2019 European Parliament election^[115]	26 May 2019	EU27	7.0%	18.9%	11.2%	12.3%	22.6%	8.1%	11.5%	4.3%	4.1%	3.7%
2019 European Parliament election^[93]	26 May 2019	EU28	6.5%	18.5%	11.7%	13.0%	21.0%	8.2%	10.8%	4.8%	5.5%	2.5%

National opinion polling

Austria

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	ÖVP EPP	SPÖ S&D	FPÖ ID	Grüne G/EFA	NEOS Renew	KPÖ Left	Others	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Others	Lead
OGM	7–8 May 2024	1,007	22 5	22 5	26 5	13 2	14 3	2 0	1 0	4
Lazarsfeld Society	6–8 May 2024	2,000	21 4	21 4	26 6	14 3	15 3	2 0	DNA: 1 0	5
Market	22–25 Apr 2024	842	20 4	24 5	27 6	12 2	13 3	3 0	1 0	3
Lazarsfeld Society	22–24 Apr 2024	2,000	21 4	23 5	27 6	12 2	13 3	3 0	1 0	4
Ipsos	23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	1,000	21.0 4	22.0 5	28.2 6	13.0 3	11.8 2	2.1 0	1.9 0	6.2
Lazarsfeld Society	26–28 Feb 2024	1,000	20 4	22 5	26 5	14 3	16 3	2 0	—	4
Market	5–7 Feb 2024	800	24 5	23 5	27 6	11 2	12 2	2 0	1 0	3
Lazarsfeld Society	29–31 Jan 2024	1,000	24 5	20 4	27 6	13 2	14 3	2 0	—	3
OGM	22–31 Jan 2024	2,076	22 5	21 4	26 6	14 3	12 2	2 0	3 0	4
IFDD	25–28 Jan 2024	1,000	21 4	24 5	27 6	14 3	9 2	3 0	2 0	3
Lazarsfeld Society	11–13 Dec 2023	1,000	22 5	22 5	30 6	13 2	9 2	2 0	2 0	8
Peter Hajek	22–29 Nov 2023	1,600	23 5	24 5	30 7	12 2	7 1	3 0	1 0	6
IFDD	1–4 Oct 2023	837	25 5/6	25 5/6	25 5/6	14 3	8 1	—	3 0	Tie
2019 legislative election	29 Sep 2019	–	37.5 8	21.2 5	16.2 3	13.9 3	8.1 1	0.7 0	2.5 0	16.3
2019 European election	26 May 2019	–	34.6 7	23.9 5	17.2 3	14.1 3	8.4 1	0.8 0	1.0 0	9.7

Projected turnout:

According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.

Belgium

Dutch-speaking

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	N‑VA ECR	VB ID	Open Vld Renew	cd&v EPP	Groen G/EFA	Vooruit S&D	PVDA Left	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size								Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews^[116]	1,500	18.7% 3	23.5% 3	12.7% 2	11.5% 1	9.7% 1	13.8% 2	9.3% 1	0.8% 0	4.8%
26 May 2019	European election			22.4% 3	19.1% 3	15.9% 2	14.5% 2	12.4% 1	10.2% 1	4.9% 0	0.5% 0	3.3%

French-speaking

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	PS S&D	Ecolo G/EFA	MR Renew	PTB Left	LE EPP	DéFI NI	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size							Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews^[116]	1,500	26.7% 2	12.8% 1	22.8% 2	19.2% 2	11.0% 1	2.8% 0	4.7% 0	3.9%
26 May 2019	European election			26.7% 2	19.9% 2	19.3% 2	14.6% 1	8.9% 1	5.9% 0	4.7% 0	6.8%

Bulgaria

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample	GERB—SDS EPP	BSPzB S&D	DPS Renew	VMRO ECR	PP–DB Renew-EPP^[c]	Revival ID	ITN ECR^[d]	Blue Bulgaria ECR	Others	NOTA	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample									Others	NOTA	Lead
MarketLinks	29 Apr–9 May 2024	—	29.4 6	9.3 2	13.1 3	—	20.6 4	12.3 2	2.7 0	1.7 0	6.4^[e]	4.2	8.8
Alpha Research	28 Apr–5 May 2024	1000	25.1 5	8.0 2	14.4 3	—	18.5 4	14.8 3	4.8 0	2.4 0	12.0^[f]	—	6.6
Gallup	22 Apr–2 May 2024	808	26.4 5	8.2 2	14.9 3	1.3 0	17.5 4	14.7 3	4.5 0	1.4 0	11.1^[g]	—	8.9
TREND	12 Apr–19 Apr 2024	1002	27.2 5	9.4 2	15.4 3	—	17.2 4	15.3 3	5.1 0	—	10.1^[h]	—	10.1
Gallup	28 Mar-5 Apr 2024	805	28.7 5	10.1 2	15.3 3	—	18.2 4	15.1 3	5.5 0	—	9.8	—	6.2
IPSOS	N/A	N/A	27.1 5	8.8 2	13.0 2	—	20.9 4	15.1 3	6.1 1	—	8.9^[i]	—	6.2
Alpha Research	1-7 Mar 2024	1000	27.0 5	10.6 2	10.0 2	—	23.8 5	15.8 3	5.9 0	—	6.9	—	3.2
Market Links	24 Feb-3 Mar 2024	1058	26.4 5	9.7 2	14.0 3	—	22.7 4	13.5 3	3.8 0	—	6.1	3.9	3.7
2019 election	26 May 2019	—	30.4 6	23.5 5	16.1 3	7.1 2	5.9^[j] 1	1.0 0	—	—	2.6	4.1	6.9

Croatia

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	HDZ EPP	SDP S&D	Most ECR	PiP NI	IDS RE	DP ID	M! G/EFA	Others	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size								Others	Lead
Promocija plus	04 May 2024	1000	30.6 5	24.2 4	5.4 1	2.5 0	2.3 0	6.7 1	7.5 1	-	6.4
2024 parliamentary election	17 Apr 2024	–	34.4	25.4	8.0	^[k]	2.3	9.6	9.1	11.2	9.0
2019 European election	26 May 2019	–	27.1	22.1	17.6	13.6	11.9	–	1.8	5.8	5.0

Cyprus

Date	Polling firm	DISY EPP	AKEL Left	ELAM ECR	DIKO S&D	EDEK S&D	DIPA Renew	KOSP G/EFA	APC Left	EP NI	VOLT G/EFA	Others	Lead
Date	Polling firm											Others	Lead
10-22 Apr 2024	CMRC	29.0	27.5	15.2	12.3	3.6	1.4	3.6	2.9	-	3.6	0.7	1.5
08-19 Apr 2024	CYMAR Market Research Ltd	28.1	25.0	15.6	12.5	6.3	1.6	1.6	-	-	3.1	6.3	3.1
14–23 Mar 2024	SIGMA	28.1	28.1	15.1	13.7	4.1	2.7	2.7	-	-	2.7	2.7	0
20–26 Feb 2024	Pulse Market Research	31.3	25.8	14.7	12.9	5.5	0.5	3.7	-	-	-	5.5	5.5
12–16 Feb 2024	SIGMA	29.0	27.5	14.5	11.6	4.3	4.3	2.9	1.4	-	1.4	2.9	1.5
11 Feb 2024	Symmetron	30.7	29	13.7	10.9	3.8	3.8	3.4	-	-	3	1.6	1.7
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024	Interview	31.7	31.8	15	9.0	2.4	2.2	6.8	-	-	-	1.1	0.1
22–26 Jan 2024	L.S.Prime	26.4	26.4	13.8	11.1	4.2	4.2	2.8	-	-	-	11.1	0
03–11 Jan 2024	IMR	25.7	27.8	17.4	9.7	3.2	3.3	4.9	-	-	1.8	3.5	2.1
30 May	Election 2021	27.8%	22.3%	6.8%	11.3%	6.7%	6.1%	4.4%	1.0%	3.3%	-	10.3%	5.5
26 May	Election 2019	29.0%	27.5%	8.2%	13.8%	10.6%	3.8%	-	0.8%	-	-	3.0%	1.5

Czech Republic

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPOLU ECR–EPP	ANO Renew	Piráti G/EFA	STAN EPP	SPD– Trikolóra ID	Stačilo! Left	SOCDEM S&D	Svobodní NI	Přísaha NI	Zelení EGP	PRO NI	Others	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size												Others	Lead
STEM/Mark	28 Mar–8 April 2024	1,009	20.0	27.5	10.1	10.4	10.4	6.7	3.4	2.5	6.0	0.9	—	1.9	7.5
Data Collect	25 Mar 2024		20.9	27.3	10.8	9.3	10.9	7.1	2.9	1.5	2.5	2.5	1.9	2.4	6.4
IPSOS	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,517	21.6	26.3	11.3	13.4	7.9	6.1	2.7	2.8	4.9	—	—	—	4.7
IPSOS	Dec 2023	TBA	25.2	26.3	10.0	12.0	7.7	6.0	—	—	—	—	—	12.8	1.1
STEM/MARK	23–28 Nov 2023	1,010	15.0	33.8	11.4	7.3	14.7	5.4	3.6	2.9	—	—	—	6.0	18.8
2021 parliamentary election	8–9 Oct 2021	–	27.8	27.1	15.6		9.6	3.6	4.7	2.8^[l]	4.7	1.0	—	0.9	0.7
2019 European election	24–25 May 2019	–	21.8^[m]	21.2	14.0	11.7^[n]	9.1	6.9	4.0	0.7	—	—	—	10.6	0.6

Denmark

Polling execution			Parties												Alliances
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	V Renew	A S&D	F G/EFA	O ID	B Renew	C EPP	Ø Left	Å G/EFA	I EPP	M Renew	Æ ECR	Others	AFÅ	BMV	CI
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size												Others
Epinion	23–29 Apr 2024	1,938	11.2 2	20.1 4	14.6 2	6.5 1	7.0 1	6.8 1	6.9 1	2.3 0	12.0 2	4.5 0	8.1 1	—	37.0 6	22.7 3	18.8 3
Epinion	6–13 Mar 2024	1,074	12 2	24 4	14 2	7 1	5 1	5 1	7 1	3 0	9 1	7 1	7 1	—	41 6	24 4	14 2
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,000	10.5 2	21.0 4	12.0 2	5.0 0	6.0 1	6.0 1	8.0 1	2.0 0	13.0 2	7.0 1	8.5 1	—	35.0 6	23.5 4	19.0 3
Epinion	24–31 Jan 2024	1,051	11 2	22 4	12 2	7 1	6 1	6 1	7 1	1 0	10 1	7 1	9 1	—	35 6	24 4	16 2
2022 general election			13.3 (3)	27.5 (6)	8.3 (1)	2.6 (0)	3.8 (0)	5.5 (1)	5.1 (0)	3.3 (0)	7.9 (1)	9.3 (2)	8.1 (1)	5.2 (0)	39.1 (7)	26.4 (4)	13.4 (2)
2021 municipal elections			21.2 (4)	28.4 (5)	7.6 (1)	4.1 (0)	5.6 (1)	15.2 (3)	7.3 (1)	0.7 (0)	1.4 (0)	—		8.5 (0)	36.7 (6)	26.8 (5)	16.6 (3)
2019 general election			23.4 (5)	25.9 (6)	7.7 (1)	8.7 (1)	8.6 (0)	6.6 (1)	6.9 (1)	3.0 (0)	2.3 (0)	—		6.9 (0)	36.6 (7)	32.0 (5)	9.0 (1)

2019 EP election			23.5 (4)	21.5 3	13.2 2	10.8 1	10.1 2	6.2 1	5.5 1	3.4 0	2.2 0	—		3.7 0	—

Estonia

Polling execution			Parties										Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Reform Renew	SDE S&D	Centre Renew	EKRE ID	Isamaa EPP	E200 Renew	EER G/EFA	Parem	Koos	Others	Party	EP group
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size										Others	Party	EP group
Norstat	8-17 Apr 2024	1,484	19.3 2	21.4 2	9.4 1	17.9 1	17.1 1	3.9 0	0.9 0	4.5 0	3.0 0	2.7 0	2.1	7.3
Kantar Emor	8-17 Apr 2024	1,484	18.8 2	20 2	13.8 1	13.8 1	16.8 1	4.7 0	1.5 0	6 0	—	4.5 0	1.2	12.6
Norstat	11-15 Apr 2024	3,500	20.1 2	22.0 2	11.0 1	17.2 1	17.6 1	5.0 0	1.2 0	4.7 0	—	1.2 0	1.9	9.1
Kantar Emor	14-20 Mar 2024	1,135	18.9 2	21.4 2	13.9 1	15.4 1	16.7 1	5.6 0	—^[o]	5.9 0	—	2.1 0	2.5	11.4
2023 parliamentary election			31.2 3	9.3 1	15.3 1	16.1 1	8.2 0	13.3 1	1.0 0	2.3 0	—	3.3 0	15.1	30.4

2019 EP election			26.2 2	23.3 2	14.4 1	12.7 1	10.3 1	3.2 0	1.8 0	—	—	8.0 0	2.9	17.3

Finland

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	KOK EPP	VIHR G/EFA	SDP S&D	PS ECR	KESK Renew	VAS Left	SFP Renew	KD EPP	LIIK NI	Others	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size										Others	Lead
Taloustutkimus^[120]	23–29 Apr 2024	2,118	21.7 4	10.5 2	19.7 3	14.1 2	13.6 2	10.5 2	4.0 0	2.9 0	1.0 0	2.1 0	2.0
Verian^[121]	18–25 Mar 2024	1,372	22 4	11 2	17 3	14 2	12 2	9 1	5 0	6 1		4 0	5
Ipsos^[122]	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,000	22.5 4	9.0 1	20.0 4	19.0 3	10.5 2	8.5 1	3.5 0	3.5 0	3.5 0		2.5
2023 parliamentary election			20.8 4	7.0 1	19.9 3	20.1 4	11.3 2	7.1 1	4.3 0	4.2 0	2.4 0	2.9 0	0.7
2019 EP election			20.8 3	16.0 3	14.6 2	13.8 2	13.5 2	6.9 1	6.3 1	4.9 0	3.1 0		4.8

France

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	LO NI	NPA Left	PCF Left	LFI Left	ND S&D	PS–PP S&D	EELV G/EFA	GE NI	PRG G/EFA^[p]	PS diss.	EAC G/EFA	ÉPT Renew	PP G/EFA	PA Left	Ens. Renew	AR		NE EPP	LR EPP	DLF ECR	UPR NI	LP–VIA ECR	RN ID	REC ECR	Others	Lead

																		FNC [fr] NI	R! NI

Ifop	9–13 May 2024	1,348	0.5	0.5	2.5	8	<0.5	14	6	–	<0.5	–	0.5	–	–	1	17	1		–	7.5	–	1	1	32.5	6	1	15.5
Ifop	6–10 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	13	6.5	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1	17	1.5		–	7.5	–	1	1	32	6.5	0.5	15
Cluster17	6–9 May 2024	1,208	0.5	0.5	2	8.5	0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	1	0.5	–	2	15.5	1.5		–	6.5	–	1.5	1.5	29.5	6	3	14
Ifop	5–9 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	13	6.5	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1	17	1.5		–	7.5	–	1	1	31.5	6.5	0.5	14.5
OpinionWay	6–7 May 2024	1,029	1	<1	3	6	<1	14	6	–	<1	–	1	–	–	1	17	2		–	6	–	1	1	30	8	3	13
Ifop	3–7 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	13	6.5	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1	16.5	1.5		–	8	–	1	1	31.5	6	0.5	15
OpinionWay	5–6 May 2024	1,026	1	<1	3	7	<1	14	7	–	<1	–	1	–	–	<1	16	1		–	7	–	1	1	31	7	3	15
Ifop	2–6 May 2024	1,325	0.5	0.5	3	8	0.5	13	6.5	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1.5	16	1		–	8	–	0.5	1	32	6	0.5	16
Elabe	30 Apr – 3 May 2024	1,375	1	0.5	2	8.5	0.5	12	8	–	<0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1	16.5	1		<0.5	6.5	–	0.5	1	32	5	2.5	15.5
Harris Interactive	30 Apr – 3 May 2024	2,043	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	0.5	14	5.5	–	0.5	–	1	0.5	–	1	15	2		<0.5	7	–	1	1	31	5.5	2.5	16
Ifop	30 Apr – 3 May 2024	1,345	0.5	0.5	3	7.5	0.5	13.5	6.5	–	<0.5	–	1	–	–	2	16.5	1		<0.5	7.5	–	0.5	1	31.5	6.5	0.5	15
OpinionWay	29–30 Apr 2024	1,075	<1	–	2	6	<1	14	7	–	<1	–	1	–	–	1	17	2		<1	7	–	1	2	31	7	3	14
Ifop	29 Apr – 2 May 2024	1,375	<0.5	0.5	3	7.5	0.5	13.5	7	–	<0.5	–	1	–	–	1.5	16.5	1.5		<0.5	7.5	–	1	1	31	6.5	0.5	14.5
Cluster17	29 Apr – 1 May 2024	1,337	1	0.5	2.5	8	0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	–	2	15.5	1.5		0.5	6	–	1	2	29.5	5.5	2	14
OpinionWay	29–30 Apr 2024	1,009	1	–	4	7	<1	14	7	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	0.5	17	1		0.5	7	–	1	1	29	8	1	12
Ifop	26–30 Apr 2024	1,360	<0.5	0.5	3	7	0.5	14	7	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1	16	1.5		0.5	7.5	–	0.5	1	31.5	6.5	0.5	15.5
Harris Interactive	24–26 Apr 2024	2,319	0.5	0.5	2	9	<0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	16	2		<0.5	7	–	1	1	31	6	2	15
Ifop	25–29 Apr 2024	1,345	<0.5	0.5	2.5	7	<0.5	14.5	7.5	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1.5	16	1.5		0.5	8	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	6	0.5	15.5
Odoxa	25–26 Apr 2024	1,005	1.5	1	2.5	7	<0.5	12	7	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	15.5	1.5		<0.5	8	–	1	1.5	32	5.5	0.5	16.5
BVA	25–26 Apr 2024	1,434	1	1	1.5	6.5	–	13	8	–	<0.5	–	1.5	–	–	3	17	1		<0.5	6	1^[q]	1	1	31	5.5	1	14
Ifop	23–26 Apr 2024	1,345	0.5	0.5	2	7.5	<0.5	14	8	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1.5	16.5	1		0.5	8	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	5.5	0.5	15
OpinionWay	24–25 Apr 2024	1,011	1	–	3	6	<1	14	6	–	<1	–	1	–	–	1	18	1		<1	7	–	1	2	29	8	3	11
Cluster17	23–25 Apr 2024	1,164	0.5	0.5	3	8	1	12.5	6.5	–	1	–	0.5	1	–	2	16	2		0.5	6	–	1	1.5	29.5	6	2	13.5
Ifop	22–25 Apr 2024	1,350	0.5	0.5	2.5	7.5	0.5	13	8	–	<0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1	17.5	1		0.5	8	–	0.5	<0.5	31	5.5	1	13.5
OpinionWay	23–24 Apr 2024	1,007	1	–	3	8	<1	13	7	–	<1	–	1	–	–	2	18	2		<1	6	–	1	1	30	6	1	12
Ifop	20–24 Apr 2024	1,335	0.5	0.5	2.5	7	0.5	12.5	7.5	–	<0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	17.5	1.5		0.5	8.5	–	<0.5	0.5	31	5.5	1	13.5
Ipsos	19–24 Apr 2024	10,651	0.5	1	2.5	7	0.5	14	6.5	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1	17	1		<0.5	6.5	–	1	1	32	5.5	1.5	15
Ifop	19–23 Apr 2024	1,335	0.5	0.5	2.5	7	0.5	12	7.5	–	0.5	–	2	–	–	1.5	17	1		0.5	8	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	5.5	1	14.5
Harris Interactive	19–22 Apr 2024	2,319	0.5	0.5	3	8	<0.5	13	6	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	16	2		0.5	7	–	1	1	31	6	1.5	15
Ifop	18–22 Apr 2024	1,339	0.5	0.5	2	7	0.5	12	7.5	–	0.5	–	2	–	–	2	17	1		1	8	–	<0.5	1	31.5	5.5	0.5	14.5
Ifop	16–19 Apr 2024	1,371	0.5	0.5	2	8	0.5	11.5	7.5	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	2	17.5	1		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	31.5	5.5	0.5	14
OpinionWay	17–18 Apr 2024	1,021	<1	–	3	7	<1	13	7	–	<1	–	2	–	–	1	19	1		<1	7	–	1	1	29	7	2	10
Ifop	15–18 Apr 2024	1,376	1	0.5	2.5	8	<0.5	11.5	7.5	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	17.5	0.5		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	32	5.5	0.5	14.5
OpinionWay	16–17 Apr 2024	1,002	1	–	4	8	<1	12	6	–	<1	–	1	–	–	1	19	2		<1	7	–	1	1	29	6	2	10
Ifop	13–17 Apr 2024	1,364	0.5	0.5	2.5	7.5	0.5	11.5	7.5	–	<0.5	–	2	–	–	1.5	17.5	0.5		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	32.5	5.5	0.5	15
Ifop	12–16 Apr 2024	1,349	0.5	<0.5	3	7	<0.5	12	7.5	–	<0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	18	1		0.5	8	–	<0.5	0.5	32.5	6	0.5	14.5
Harris Interactive	12–15 Apr 2024	2,005	0.5	0.5	3	8	<0.5	14	6	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	16	2		0.5	7	–	0.5	1	30	6	2.5	14
Ifop	11–15 Apr 2024	1,326	0.5	<0.5	3	7.5	<0.5	12	7	–	<0.5	–	1	–	–	1.5	18	1		0.5	8	–	<0.5	1	32.5	6	0.5	14.5
Ifop	9–12 Apr 2024	1,347	0.5	0.5	3	8	<0.5	12.5	6.5	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1	18	1		<0.5	8.5	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	6	0.5	13.5
Ipsos	10–11 Apr 2024	1,500	1	0.5	3	7	0.5	13	7	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1.5	16	0.5		0.2	6.5	–	1	1	32	6.5	1.5	16
Cluster17	9–11 Apr 2024	1,164	0.5	0.5	2.5	8.5	1	12	6	–	1	–	0.5	1	–	1.5	17	1		0.5	6	–	1.5	1.5	29	6	2	12
Ifop	8–11 Apr 2024	1,355	0.5	0.5	3	8	0.5	12.5	6	–	0.5	–	1	–	–	1.5	18	0.5		<0.5	8.5	–	0.5	0.5	31	6.5	0.5	13
Ifop	6–10 Apr 2024	1,343	0.5	0.5	2.5	8	0.5	12	5.5	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1	18.5	1		<0.5	8.5	–	0.5	0.5	31.5	6.5	0.5	13
Ifop	5–9 Apr 2024	1,335	1	0.5	3	7.5	<0.5	12	5.5	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1	18.5	0.5		<0.5	8	–	0.5	1	32	6.5	0.5	13.5
YouGov	3–9 Apr 2024	1,028	2	–	2	5	–	12	6	–	1^[r]		1	–	–	1	19	<1	–	–	7	2^[q]	–	–	29	9	2	10
Harris Interactive	5–8 Apr 2024	2,018	1	–	3	9	–	12	6	–	0.5	–	1	1	–	1	17	1		0.5	7	–	0.5	0.5	30	6	3.5	13
Ifop	4–8 Apr 2024	1,343	1	0.5	3	7.5	0.5	11	6.5	–	<0.5	–	1	–	–	2	19	<0.5		<0.5	7.5	–	0.5	1	32	6	1	13
OpinionWay	3–5 Apr 2024	1,509	1	–	2	7	–	12	7	–	<1^[r]		1	–	–	2	19	2		<1	8	–	1	–	29	7	2	10
Elabe	2–4 Apr 2024	1,504	1.5	–	2.5	7.5	–	12	8.5	–	0.5	–	2	–	–	1	16.5	1		<0.5	7	–	0.5	0.5	30	5.5	3.5	13.5
Harris Interactive	28–29 Mar 2024	2,220	1	–	3	8	–	13	6	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	17	1		0.5	7	–	0.5	1	31	6	2.5	14
BVA	27–28 Mar 2024	1,518	1	0.5	2.5	7	–	11	6	–	<0.5	–	0.5	–	<0.5	1	20	1		<0.5	8	3^[q]	1	1	30	5.5	1	10
Harris Interactive	22–25 Mar 2024	2,027	1	–	3	7	–	12	7	–	0.5	–	0.5	0.5	–	1	18	1		0.5	7	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	2	12
Ifop	19–20 Mar 2024	1,112	0.5	–	3	6	–	11	7	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	21	1		0.5	7	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	0.5	9
Harris Interactive	15–18 Mar 2024	2,124	1	–	2	8	–	13	7	–	0.5	–	0.5	1	0.5	1	18	1		0.5	7	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	1	12
OpinionWay	13–14 Mar 2024	1,008	1	–	2	6	–	11	8	–	1^[r]		1	–	–	1	20	1	–	<1	8	3	1	–	27	6	3	7
Cluster17	8–9 Mar 2024	1,016	0.5	–	3	8	–	10	8	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1	17	2		0.5	7	3	1	–	29	6	2	12
Elabe	5–7 Mar 2024	1,504	2	–	3	7.5	–	8.5	9.5	–	<0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1.5	17	1	–	–	7	3	0.5	–	29.5	4.5	3	12.5
YouGov	26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024	1,008	1	–	2	6	–	10	7	–	<1^[r]		1	–	–	2	20	1	–	–	6	3	–	–	33	5	3	13
Ipsos	1–6 Mar 2024	11,700	1		3.5	7	–	11.5	8.5	–	0.5	–	–	–	–	1.5	18	0.5	–	–	7	2.5	0.5	0.5	31	5	1.5	13
Ipsos	23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	2,000	–	–	3.0	7	–	12.2	8.1	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	18.1	–	–	–	7.6	2.5	–	–	30.7	5.5	5.4	12.6
Ifop	29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024	1,348	1		3.5	8	–	9	8	–	1^[r]		1	–	–	2	19	<0.5	1.5	<0.5	8	1.5	0.5	<0.5	29	6	1	10
BVA	27–28 Feb 2024	1,344	2	–	3	7	–	11	7	–	<0.5	–	1.5	–	<0.5	1.5	18^[s]	0.5	0.5	<0.5	8	2	0.5	0.5	30	6	1	12
Odoxa	21–22 Feb 2024	1,005	1.5	–	1.5	6	–	11	8.5	–	<0.5	–	–	–	–	–	19^[t]	1	–	–	8.5	4	–	–	30	7	2	11
Stack Data Strategy	17–22 Feb 2024	744	0.5		3.1	9.9	–	9.9	5.6	–	2.8^[r]		2.6	–	–	1.4	14.5^[u]	–	1.3	–	4.7	3.1	–	–	31.5	6.5	3.2	16.0
OpinionWay	14–15 Feb 2024	1,009	<1	–	3	7	–	10	8	–	2^[r]		1	–	–	<1	19	1	–	<1	8	2	1	–	27	8	3	8
Elabe	7–9 Feb 2024	1,426	1.5	–	2.5	9	–	9	9.5	–	<0.5	–	2	–	–	2	16.5	1	–	–	8	3	0.5	–	27.5	5	3	11
Ifop	7–8 Feb 2024	1,356	1.5		3.5	7	–	9.5	8	–	1.5^[r]		1.5	–	–	1.5	19^[t]	0.5	0.5	<0.5	7	1	0.5	0.5	29	6.5	1.5	10
			1		3	7.5	–	10.5	8.5	–	1^[r]		1	–	–	1	19^[u]	1	1	<0.5	7.5	1.5	1	<0.5	28.5	6	1.5	9.5
			1		3.5	8	–	10.5	8	–	1.5^[r]		1.5	–	–	1.5	18^[s]	0.5	0.5	<0.5	7.5	1.5	0.5	0.5	28	6	1.5	10
YouGov	29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024	1,001	1	–	2	8	–	8	8	–	1^[r]		1	–	–	1	19^[v]	1	–	–	6	2	–	–	32	8	3	13
Portland	24–31 Jan 2024	469	2	–	3	6	–	9	9	–	1	–	–	–	–	–	14	1	–	–	8	3	–	–	33	6	5	19
OpinionWay	17–18 Jan 2024	1,019	1	–	4	8	–	10	6	–	2^[r]		1	–	–	1	20	<1	–	<1	8	2	–	–	27	7	3	7
Ifop	16–17 Jan 2024	1,348	0.5		4	7.5	–	9.5	7	–	1.5^[r]		1.5	–	–	1	19^[v]	<0.5	0.5	<0.5	6.5	2	<0.5	0.5	31	7	1	12
Harris Interactive	12–15 Jan 2024	1,217	1	–	3	7	–	11	8	–	1	–	2	–	–	1	19^[v]	1	–	–	8	2.5	–	–	28	6	1.5	9
Ifop	12–15 Jan 2024	875	1		4	6.5	–	9	9	–	–	–	1	–	–	–	20^[v]	1	–	–	7.5	3	–	–	30	6	2	10
YouGov	8–15 Jan 2024	1,004	2	2	2	7	–	8	9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20^[w]	–	–	–	6	4	–	–	30	7	3	10
Cluster17	13–14 Jan 2024	1,209	1	–	3	7.5	–	11	8	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1	18^[v]	1	–	–	7	3	–	–	28.5	7	2	10.5
Elabe	10–12 Jan 2024	1,400	1.5	–	3	7.5	–	9.5	8.5	–	0.5	–	1.5	–	–	1	18^[w]	1	–	–	8.5	2.5	0.5	–	28.5	5	3	10.5
Ifop	3–5 Jan 2024	1,090	0.5		3	6	–	10	9	–	3^[r]		2.5	–	–	1.5	17^[w]	0.5	0.5	0.5	8	2	0.5	0.5	28	6.5	0.5	11
Odoxa	13–14 Dec 2023	1,004	2.5	–	3	6.5	–	9	6	–	0.5	–	–	–	–	–	21^[w]	0.5	–	–	9	2	–	–	31	6	3	10
OpinionWay	13–14 Dec 2023	–	1	–	3	6	–	10	8	–	2^[r]		<1	–	–	1	19	<1	–	<1	9	3	–	–	27	8	3	8
Ipsos	29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023	11,691	1.5		3	7.5	–	10.5	9.5	–	0.5	–	–	–	–	–	20^[w]	0.5	–	–	8	2.5	–	–	28	6.5	2	8
Ifop	8–11 Dec 2023	1,062	1.5		4.5	7	–	10	8	–	–	–	1.5	–	–	–	18^[w]	1	–	–	7.5	2.5	–	–	30	7.5	1	12
OpinionWay	15–16 Nov 2023	–	2	–	3	7	–	9	8	–	3^[r]		<1	–	–	1	19	<1	–	–	8	2	–	–	28	7	3	9
Ipsos	9–10 Nov 2023	1,412	2		2	8.5	–	10	10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	22^[x]	–	–	–	6	2	–	–	29	6	2.5	7
Ipsos	9–10 Nov 2023	1,412	2		2	8.5	–	10.5	10.5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20^[w]	–	–	–	6.5	2	–	–	29	6	3	9
Ifop	12–13 Oct 2023	1,515	1		5	9	–	9	8	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	20^[w]	–	–	–	8	2	–	–	28	6	2	8
Ifop	12–13 Oct 2023	1,515	1		5	9	–	9	9	–	–	–	1.5	–	–	–	20^[y]	–	–	–	8.5	2.5	–	–	28	5	1	8
Ifop	30–31 Aug 2023	1,126	1		5	10	–	9	8	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	21^[w]	–	–	–	8	3	–	–	25	6.5	1.5	4
			2		6	12^[z]			10	–	–	–	2	–	–	–	23^[w]	–	–	–	9	3	–	–	25	7	2	2
			1		5	9^[aa]	–	10	8	–	–	–	1.5	–	–	–	21^[w]	–	–	–	9	3	–	–	25	6.5	1	4
Cluster17	16–19 Aug 2023	1,713	1.5	–	3	22.5				–	2.5	–	5	–	–	2.5	20.5^[w]	–	–	–	7	3	–	–	23	7	2.5	0.5
			1.5	–	20.5				7.5	–	2.5	–	3	–	–	2.5	20^[w]	–	–	–	7	3	–	–	23.5	7	2	3
			1.5	–	25^[ab]					–	2.5	–	4	–	–	2.5	20^[w]	–	–	–	7.5	4	–	–	24	7	2	1
			1	–	25^[ac]					–	3	–	4	–	–	3	20^[w]	–	–	–	7.5	3.5	–	–	24	7	1.5	1
			2	–	23^[ad]					–	3	–	4.5	–	–	3	21^[w]	–	–	–	7.5	3	–	–	24	7	2	1
			2	–	25^[ae]					–	2.5	–	4.5	–	–	2.5	20^[w]	–	–	–	7	4	–	–	24	7	1.5	1
Ifop	4–5 Jul 2023	1,008	1		4	8	–	9	9	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	20^[w]	–	–	–	11	4	–	–	26	7	1	6
Ipsos	16–26 Jun 2023	10,631	1.5		4	8.5	–	10	10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	21^[w]	–	–	–	9	2.5	–	–	24	6.5	3	3
			2		24					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	24^[w]	–	–	–	10	3	–	–	25	7	5	1
			1.5		5	9.5	–	15		–	–	–	–	–	–	–	23^[w]	–	–	–	9	2.5	–	–	25	6.5	3	2
Elabe	19–21 Jun 2023	1,397	1.5		2	8.5	–	9.5	11	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	22.5	–	–	–	8.5	2.5	–	–	26	5.5	2.5	3.5
Elabe	19–21 Jun 2023	1,397	1.5		24.5					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	26	–	–	–	9	2.5	–	–	27	5.5	4	1
Cluster17	17–19 May 2023	1,760	2		4	11	–	9	11	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	19.5^[w]	–	–	–	7.5	3	–	–	24	6.5	3.5	4.5
Cluster17	17–19 May 2023	1,760	2		27					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	23^[w]	–	–	–	8.5	4	–	–	25.5	7	3	1.5
Ifop	10–11 May 2023	1,310	1		5	10	–	10	10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	19^[w]	–	–	–	8	3	–	–	25	6	3	6
Ifop	10–11 May 2023	1,310	2		26^[af]					–	–	–	–	–	–	–	22^[w]	–	–	–	11	3	–	–	26	6	4	Tie
Harris Interactive	5–9 May 2023	1,262	2		23^[ag]					–	–	–	–	–	–	3	26	–	–	–	13	2	–	–	21	5	5	3
			1		19^[ag]					5	–	6	–	–	–	3	24	–	–	–	12	2	–	–	20	5	3	4
			1		3	9	–	10	11	–	–	–	–	–	–	1	23	–	–	–	12	2	–	–	20	5	3	3
2019 European election	26 May 2019	–	0.8	^[ah]	2.5	6.3	6.2		13.5	1.8^[ai]	^[aj]	–	^[ak]	–	0.1	2.2	24.9^[al]	–	–	–	8.5	3.5	1.2	0.6	23.3	–	7.1	0.9

Germany

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Union EPP	Grüne G/EFA	SPD S&D	AfD ID	Linke Left	FDP Renew	PARTEI NI	FW Renew	Tiersch. Left	ÖDP G/EFA	FAM EPP	Volt G/EFA	PIRAT G/EFA	BSW NI–Left	Others	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size															Others	Lead
INSA	25–26 Apr 2024	1,202	29	13	16	17	4	4	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	7	7	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	23–25 Apr 2024	1,228	30	17	15	15	3	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4	13	13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–11 Apr 2024	1,254	30	15	16	16	3	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5	12	14
INSA	5–8 Apr 2024	2,100	28.5	11.5	16.5	19	4	5	—	3	2	—	—	—	—	6	4	9.5
Ipsos	23 Feb–02 Mar 2024	2,613	29	16	17	16	4	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	4	12
Forsa	12–13 Mar 2024	1,008	34	14	16	15	2	3	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	4	9	18
INSA	8–11 Mar 2024	2,100	28.5	11	16	20	4.5	6	1	2.5	2	—	0.5	0.5	0.5	5.5	1.5	8.5
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	2,613	29	16	17	16	4	4	—	3	—	—	—	—	—	7	4^[am]	12
Wahlkreisprognose	24–29 Feb 2024	1,900	31.5	16	12	16	2	3	1.5	3.5	2.5	—	—	—	—	7.5	4.5	15.5
Stack Data Strategy	17–22 Feb 2024	980	25.5	9.8	16.5	15.1	2.7	6.0	3.2	4.1	3.1	—	—	1.3	1.2	9.3	3.4	9.0
INSA	8–12 Feb 2024	2,101	27	10.5	16	22	4.5	3	1	3.5	3	—	1	1	1	5.5	1.5	5
Portland	24–31 Jan 2024	555	29	13	16	17	3	5	1	3	3	0	0	1	1	6	2	12
Wahlkreisprognose	11–18 Jan 2024	1,440	28	13	9	23	3	4.5	1.5	5	1.5	—	—	—	—	7	4.5	5
Wahlkreisprognose	1–7 Dec 2023	1,440	31	12	10	25	3	3	1.5	2.5	2	—	—	—	—	7	3	6
INSA	31 Jul 2023	1,001	26	15	19	23	5	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	3
Wahlkreisprognose	7–14 Jul 2023	1,040	23	13.5	15	22	2.5	3.5	2	3	1.5	—	—	—	—	8.5	5.5	1
Wahlkreisprognose	15–16 Dec 2022	1,100	22	21	21	18.5	3.5	3.5	2	3.5	2.5	—	—	—	—	—	2.5	1
Wahlkreisprognose	24–26 Feb 2022	1,722	22	19.5	22.5	12.5	3	7.5	2.5	3	2	—	—	—	—	—	5.5	0.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–	24.1	14.7	25.7	10.4	4.9	11.4	1.0	2.4	1.5	0.2	—	0.4	0.4	—	2.9	1.6
2019 European election	26 May 2019	–	28.9	20.5	15.8	11.0	5.5	5.4	2.4	2.2	1.4	1.0	0.7	0.7	0.7	—	3.8	8.4

Greece

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	ND EPP	SYRIZA Left	PASOK S&D	KKE NI	XA^[an] NI	EL ECR	MeRA25 Left	PE NI	R NI	Antarsya NI	SP NI	NIKI NI	FL NI	NA Left	DIMO Renew	COS G/EFA	Other	Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size																	Other	Lead
Marc/Proto Thema^[123]	18–25 Apr 2024	1,049	33.4	14.7	11.4	8.5	—	9.8	2.4	5.4	—	—	2.4	3.4	2.2	2.5	1.7	—	2.2	18.7
GPO/Parapolitika^[124]	17–22 Apr 2024	1,400	33.6	16.3	13.5	8.8	—	9.1	2.1	3.1	—	—	2.4	3.4	—	2.7	2.2	—	2.8	17.3
Metron Analysis/Mega^[125]	10–16 Apr 2024	1,304	32.3	15.4	12.0	9.8	—	8.3	1.6	4.2	—	—	2.5	3.6	1.4	3.1	2.0	1.0	2.8	16.9
Prorata/Attica^[126]	5–10 Apr 2024	1,000	29.5	15.0	12.7	9.2	—	9.8	2.3	4.6	—	—	1.7	3.5	1.7	4.0	1.7	1.2	3.0	14.5
Opinion Poll/Action 24^[127]	8–10 Apr 2024	1,006	32.1	15.0	12.4	8.5	—	10.7	1.3	3.7	—	—	2.6	3.7	1.4	3.2	3.0	—	2.3	17.1
Interview/Politic^[128]^[129]	4–8 Apr 2024	2,355	27.7	16.1	12.7	6.9	—	11.8	2.4	2.8	1.7	—	1.2	4.3	2.3	4.7	2.2	—	3.2	11.6
Alco/Alpha^[130]	2–5 Apr 2024	1,000	29.9	14.3	13.3	9.4	—	9.6	2.3	4.1	—	—	2.7	4.2	1.4	3.0	2.2	—	3.5	15.6
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos^[131]	1–4 Apr 2024	1,008	31.8	14.1	13.0	9.4	—	10.3	—	4.2	—	—	3.3	3.5	—	4.0	—	—	6.6	17.7
GPO/Parapolitika^[132]	1–3 Apr 2024	1,000	33.4	15.9	14.2	9.0	—	9.5	1.8	3.0	—	—	2.2	3.3	—	2.2	2.2	—	3.3	17.5
MRB/Open^[133]	1–3 Apr 2024	1,000	31.5	15.9	13.4	8.1	—	9.9	1.9	4.3	—	—	2.1	3.6	1.8	3.8	1.6	—	2.3	15.6
Pulse RC/Skai^[134]	1–3 Apr 2024	1,105	33.0	15.0	12.5	8.5	—	9.0	2.5	3.5	—	—	3.0	3.5	1.8	3.0	1.8	—	2.9	18.0
Opinion Poll/Action24^[135]	15–20 Mar 2024	1,010	34.4	13.4	12.5	9.4	—	10.1	1.9	2.9	—	—	2.5	4.3	—	2.9	2.8	—	2.8	21.0
Metron Analysis/Mega^[136]	12–19 Mar 2024	1,317	31.4	15.1	13.0	10.1	—	9.7	1.9	4.3	—	0.6	2.0	3.2	2.4	3.0	1.0	0.6	1.7	16.3
Good Affairs/To Vima^[137]	12–14 Mar 2024	3,229	30.8	13.1	12.9	8.2	—	9.8	2.2	2.1	—	—	2.2	3.6	—	2.5	2.9	—	1.5	17.7
Marc/Proto Thema^[138]	11–14 Mar 2024	1,086	36.2	13.4	12.6	9.4	—	9.2	2.4	3.1	—	—	2.6	2.8	—	2.6	2.1	—	3.7	22.8
GPO/Star^[139]	11–13 Mar 2024	1,200	34.8	14.3	13.9	9.5	—	8.0	2.3	2.9	—	—	1.8	3.4	—	3.0	2.6	—	3.5	20.5
Interview/Politic^[140]	7–11 Mar 2024	2,250	29.1	14.4	12.4	7.1	—	12.0	—	2.5	—	—	1.8	4.6	—	4.9	—	—	11.3	14.7
Alco/Alpha^[141]	1–6 Mar 2024	1,000	32.8	12.7	14.1	10.8	—	7.9	2.8	3.6	—	—	2.9	4.5	—	3.4	—	—	4.0	18.7
Ipsos/Euronews^[142]	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,000	35.0	13.6	13.4	9.0	—	8.7	<3.0	3.2	—	—	2.9	4.0	—	3.3	—	—	3.9	21.4
Pulse RC/Skai^[143]	27 Feb–1 Mar 2024	1,106	35.5	14.0	14.0	9.0	—	8.5	2.5	3.0	—	—	3.0	4.0	—	3.0	—	—	3.5	21.5
GPO/Parapolitika^[144]	26–29 Feb 2024	1,000	36.4	13.5	14.4	10.7	—	8.2	2.4	2.7	—	—	2.2	3.4	—	2.9	—	—	3.2	22.0
Opinion Poll/Action24^[145]	21–27 Feb 2024	1,504	33.9	11.9	13.9	10.1	—	10.2	2.6	3.5	—	—	2.7	4.2	—	3.3	—	—	3.7	20.0
Opinion Poll/Action24^[146]	13–16 Feb 2024	1,004	34.3	12.5	14.6	9.4	—	9.5	2.4	3.7	—	—	2.7	3.8	—	3.3	—	—	3.8	19.7
Interview/Politic^[147]	6–12 Feb 2024	2,155	33.3	14.2	12.8	8.3	—	9.1	—	2.6	—	—	2.1	5.1	—	5.1	—	—	9.7	19.1
Alco/Alpha^[148]	1–7 Feb 2024	1,201	34.5	12.6	15.0	11.2	—	7.5	2.2	3.1	—	—	2.8	3.9	—	2.6	—	—	4.3	19.5
GPO/Star^[149]	20–25 Jan 2024	1,100	38.8	14.0	14.2	9.6	—	7.2	2.7	2.6	—	—	2.2	3.3	—	3.0	—	—	2.4	24.6
MRB/Open^[150]	22–24 Jan 2024	1,000	36.1	12.1	12.1	9.3	—	9.5	2.8	4.0	—	—	2.8	3.7	—	2.7	—	—	4.8	24.0
Marc/Ant1^[151]	17–23 Jan 2024	1,092	37.1	12.6	16.8	9.4	—	7.0	2.9	3.0	—	—	3.1	3.1	—	2.4	—	—	2.6	20.3
Interview/Politic^[152]	10–15 Jan 2024	2,388	31.5	14.1	14.2	10.8	—	8.0	—	2.3	—	—	2.6	5.2	—	4.1	—	—	7.2	17.3
Prorata/Attica^[153]	5–9 Jan 2024	1,000	36.6	12.8	15.9	11.0	—	6.1	1.8	3.0	—	—	3.7	3.7	—	3.7	—	—	1.8	20.7
Alco/Alpha^[154]	2–5 Jan 2024	1,002	35.3	13.8	14.3	11.3	—	6.9	2.4	3.3	—	—	3.2	3.3	—	2.7	—	—	3.6	21.0
Interview/Politic^[155]	4–8 Dec 2023	2,356	34.0	16.1	14.4	7.9	—	7.6	—	3.0	—	—	2.3	3.8	—	2.9	—	—	7.9	17.9
GPO/Parapolitika^[156]	5–7 Dec 2023	1,000	41.7	12.1	13.5	10.3	—	6.6	1.9	2.1	—	—	3.4	2.4	—	3.7	—	—	2.3	28.3
2019 election	26 May 2019	–	33.1	23.8	7.7	5.4	4.9	4.2	3.0^[ao]	1.6	0.7	0.4	1.5^[ap]	—	—	—	—	—	13.7	9.3

Hungary

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Fidesz-KDNP NI–EPP	Momentum Renew	DK S&D	MSZP S&D	P G/EFA	LMP G/EFA	Jobbik NI	MMN EPP	Our Homeland NI	MKKP G/EFA	MEMO NI	NP NI	2RK NI	TISZA EPP	Other	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size															Other	Lead
Závecz Research	2-10 May 2024	1,000	39	4	17			1	1	2	6	3	–	–	1	26	0	13
IDEA	25 Apr - 4 May 2024	1,500	40	4	17			0	1	1	4	5	–	2	3	21	2	19
Nézőpont	29 Apr – 2 May 2024	1,000	48	1	12			1	1	1	5	7	–	0	3	21	–	27
Publicus	26-30 Apr 2024	1,000	42	3	24			1	1	–	4	2	–	–	–	23	–	18
Medián	26-29 Apr 2024	1,000	45	4	9			1	1	2	4	6	–	1	2	25	–	20
Iránytű	17–19 Apr 2024	1,073	50	3	10			–	1	–	3	4	–	–	2	26	1	24
Iránytű	9–12 Apr 2024	1,073	53	3	9			–	2	–	6	4	–	–	1	20	2	33
Závecz Research	4–11 Apr 2024	1,000	33	7	26			3	1	–	8	5	–	–	–	14	3	7
Nézőpont	2–4 Apr 2024	1,000	47	4	13			1	1	1	6	11	–	2	2	13	2	34
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,025	47.6 13	7.2 1	16.5 4	–	–	2.6 0	2.8 0	3.0 0	9.6 2	4.2 0	2.0 0	–	–	–	4.7	31.1
Nézőpont	26–28 Feb 2024	1,000	47 13	7 1	14 3	2 0	2 0	2 0	2 0	4 0	8 2	8 2	–	1 0	4 0	–	–	33
21 Kutatóközpont	22–26 Feb 2024	1,200	44	9	18	2	1	2	3	3	7	8	–	1	2	–	–	26^[aq]
21 Kutatóközpont	22–26 Feb 2024	1,200	44	9	17	1	1	3	2	5	5	6	–	3	3	–	–	27^[ar]
Republikon	Jun 2023	–	46	7	19	4	6		6	–	9	4	–	–	–	–	–	27
Nézőpont	15–17 May 2023	1,000	51	9	16	2	1	3	5	–	6	3	–	–	–	–	4	35
Závecz Research	28 Apr–5 May 2023	1,000	46	8	19	6	2	4	6	–	7	3	–	–	–	–	–	27
Nézőpont	2–4 Jan 2023	1,000	56	6	14	2	1	3	2	6	–	4	–	–	–	–	6	42
2022 parliamentary election	3 Apr 2022	–	54.1	34.4							5.9	3.3	1.0	–	–	–	1.3	19.7
2019 election	26 May 2019	–	52.6	9.9	16.1	6.6		2.2	6.3	–	3.3	2.6	–	–	–	–	0.4	36.5

Italy

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Lega ID	PD S&D	M5S NI	FI EPP	NM EPP	FdI ECR	AVS Left–G/EFA	PTD^[as] Left	SUE		A Renew	DSP NI	Italexit NI	Libertà NI	Others	Lead

											+E Renew	IV Renew

17–22 Apr	SWG	1,200	8.5	20.0	15.9	8.4		26.8	4.3	2.1	4.7		4.1	1.4		2.2	1.6	6.8
17–19 Apr	Quorum	801	7.2	20.5	16.5	7.6		27.8	4.4	1.9	5.0		3.3			1.6	4.2	7.3
17–18 Apr	Demos	1,005	8.5	20.2	16.4	8.0		28.0	4.2		4.1		4.0				6.6	7.8
16–18 Apr	Termometro Politico	4,100	8.5	19.7	16.1	8.3		27.5	3.2	2.5	5.2		3.8	1.9		1.6	1.7	7.8
16–17 Apr	Eumetra		8.5	19.7	16.4	8.3		27.4	3.8	1.9	5.1		3.8	1.3		1.9	2.0	7.7
10–15 Apr	SWG	1,200	8.6	19.4	16.0	8.4		27.2	4.1	1.8	5.2		4.2	1.4		1.9	1.8	7.8
13 Apr	Tecnè		7.9	19.8	16.2	10.1		27.3	3.7	1.6	5.5		3.6			2.0	2.3	7.5
8–12 Apr	Ixè	1,000	8.0	19.9	16.4	8.4		26.6	4.2	1.1	4.0		3.7			1.3	6.4	6.7
9–11 Apr	Termometro Politico	3,700	8.8	19.5	15.6	8.0		27.8	3.3	2.4	5.1		3.9	1.8		1.8	2.4	8.3
8–9 Apr	Demopolis	2,000	8.0	20.0	15.8	8.7		27.0	3.8	2.2	4.6		3.5			2.1	2.0	7.0
3–8 Apr	SWG	1,200	8.8	19.8	15.6	7.8		26.9	3.9	1.6	5.3		4.0	1.4		1.5	3.4	7.1
8 Apr	Euromedia	800	8.7	19.7	17.6	8.5		26.9	3.7	1.8	4.4		3.8			3.7	1.2	7.2
5 Apr 2024	EMG	–	7.8	20.2	16.7	9.0	1.0	27.2	3.3	1.2	6.2		3.2				4.2	7.0
4–5 Apr	Quorum	801	7.5	19.8	16.0	7.8		27.7	3.9	2.2	4.6		3.1			1.6	4.7	7.9
2–4 Apr	EMG	1,000	7.8	20.2	16.7	9.0		27.2	3.3	1.2	6.2		3.2				5.2	7.0
28–30 Mar	BiDiMedia	2,000	8.3	20.2	16.6	7.1		27.1	4.4	1.5	5.1		4.4	1.3		1.1	2.7	6.9
27 Mar 2024	Euromedia	800	8.8	19.3	17.5	8.0	0.7	27.5	3.5	2.0	4.7		4.0			1.7	2.3	8.2^[at]
27 Mar 2024	Euromedia	800	8.7	19.5	17.5	8.3	0.6	27.9	3.0	2.0	4.8		4.1			1.7	1.9	8.5^[au]
19–25 Mar 2024	Ipsos	1,000	8.0	20.5	16.1	8.7	0.7	27.5	3.3	1.5	2.8	3.3	2.5	1.2	1.5		2.4	7.0
20 Mar 2024	Ipsos	–	8.2	19.0	17.4	8.2		27.0	4.1		2.6	3.4	3.0				7.1	8.0
19 Mar 2024	Noto	–	8.0	19.0	17.0	8.0	2.0	28.0	3.5		2.5	3.0	3.5				5.5	9.0^[at]
19 Mar 2024	Noto	–	7.0	20.0	16.0	8.0	2.0	30.0	3.0		2.5	3.0	3.5				5.0	10.0^[au]
11 Mar 2024	Euromedia	800	8.7	19.7	17.2	7.7	0.7	28.0	3.9		2.7	3.5	4.0				4.0	8.3^[at]
11 Mar 2024	Euromedia	800	8.6	20.2	16.9	8.2	0.4	28.7	3.4		1.5			3.8	4.0		3.3	8.5^[au]
7 Mar 2024	Noto	–	8.0	19.5	16.5	7.5	2.0	27.0	4.0		3.5	3.0	3.5				5.5	7.5^[at]
7 Mar 2024	Noto	–	7.5	20.5	16.5	8.0	1.5	29.0	3.5		3.5	3.0	3.0				4.0	8.5^[au]
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	1,503	8.2	19.0	17.4	8.2		27.0	4.1		2.6	3.4	3.0				7.1	8.0
28 Feb – 1 Mar 2024	Quorum	803	8.1	19.9	15.9	6.6	0.7	27.1	4.6		3.4	3.5	3.7		1.6		4.9	7.2
28 Feb 2024	Euromedia	800	8.6	19.6	17.0	7.9	1.4	27.6	4.0		2.6	3.1	4.3				3.9	8.0^[at]
28 Feb 2024	Euromedia	800	8.7	20.0	17.2	8.5	1.2	28.1	3.9		2.5			3.5	4.0		2.4	8.1^[au]
26–28 Feb 2024	Bidimedia	1,000	8.5	20.0	15.5	7.5	0.8	28.1	3.9	1.5	2.4	3.0	4.3	1.2	1.3		2.0	8.1
25–28 Feb 2024	Cluster17	1,022	9.1	19.7	16.0	7.6	0.4	27.3	4.6	0.7	2.1	3.0	4.0	1.6	1.9		2.1	7.6
20–22 Feb 2024	Ipsos	1,000	8.3	18.3	17.0	7.9	1.1	28.2	3.5	1.8	2.2	3.6	3.3	1.0	2.0		1.8	9.9
17–22 Feb 2024	Stack Data Strategy	944	8.7	19.9	15.5	6.6	0.9	27.1	3.7	1.4	4.2	4.9	3.3		1.7		2.1	7.3
21 Feb 2024	Noto	–	8.0	19.5	18.0	7.0	2.0	27.5	3.5		3.5	3.0	3.5				4.5	8.0
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024	Termometro Politico	3,800	9.4	19.6	16.2	6.8		29.1	3.0	1.5	2.4	2.6	3.8	1.7	1.4		2.5	9.5
30–31 Jan 2024	Demopolis	–	9.0	20.0	15.8	7.2		28.0	3.6		2.0	2.7	3.8				8.1	8.0
24–31 Jan 2024	Portland	502	7.0	21.0	16.0	10.0		28.0	3.0	2.0	3.0	5.0	2.0		1.0		2.0^[av]	7.0
24–27 Jan 2024	BiDiMedia	1,000	9.0	19.3	16.1	6.6	1.0	28.6	3.8	1.3	2.5	3.1	4.2	1.3	1.2		2.0	9.3
25–26 Jan 2024	Quorum	803	9.3	19.2	13.6	6.5	1.6	28.4	4.3		2.6	2.9	3.7		1.5		6.4	9.2
22–24 Jan 2024	Winpoll	1,000	9.1	21.5	14.6	7.8		27.8	3.0	1.5	2.4	2.5	3.2		1.3		5.3^[aw]	6.3
12–22 Jan 2024	Euromedia	800	8.4	19.5	17.8	7.5	0.3	28.5	3.4		2.5	2.8	4.3		1.4		3.6	9.0^[at]
12–22 Jan 2024	Euromedia	800	8.2	19.0	18.1	7.2	0.3	29.3	3.3		2.4	3.3	4.6		1.4		2.9	9.3^[au]
16 Jan 2024	Noto	–	8.0	19.5	17.0	7.0	2.0	28.0	3.5		2.0	3.0	3.0				7.0	8.5^[ax]
16 Jan 2024	Noto	–	6.5	20.0	17.0	6.5	1.5	32.0	4.0		2.0	3.0	3.0				4.5	12.0^[au]
15–16 Jan 2024	Tecnè	800	8.4	19.8	15.6	9.2		29.0				2.9	3.9				11.2	9.2^[at]
15–16 Jan 2024	Tecnè	800	8.3	19.5	15.6	9.3		29.3				2.9	3.9				11.0	9.8^[au]
4 Jan 2024	IZI	1,068	9.3	19.5	17.0	7.4		27.1	4.2		3.0	3.0	3.5				6.0	7.6
30 Dec – 4 Jan 2024	Lab2101	1,000	10.2	19.8	16.2	5.8	0.7	29.4	4.0		2.3	2.8	3.9		2.3		2.6	9.6
26 May 2019	2019 European election	–	34.3	22.7	17.1	8.8		6.4	4.1^[ay]		3.1	–	–	0.9	–	–	4.5	7.6

Ireland

Last date of polling	Polling firm / Commissioner	Sample size	SF Left	FF Renew	FG EPP	GP G/EFA	Lab S&D	SD	PBP–S	Aon	O/I^[az]
Last date of polling	Polling firm / Commissioner	Sample size									O/I^[az]
7 May 2024	The Journal/Ireland Thinks^[157]	1,633	22	16	19	6	3	5	2	4	24
7 April 2024	The Journal/Ireland Thinks^[158]	1,334	23	17	20	6	3	6	3	5	17
7 February 2024	The Journal/Ireland Thinks^[159]	1,255	26	19	19	6	4	4	3	– ^[ba]	19
8 February 2020	2020 general election	—	24.5	22.2	20.9	7.1	4.4	2.9	2.6	1.9	13.5
24 May 2019	2019 EP election	—	11.7	16.6	29.6	11.4	3.1	1.2	2.3	– ^[bb]	24.1

Latvia

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	JV EPP	S S&D	NA ECR	LA Renew	Par! Renew	ZZS	AS	JKP	PRO G/EFA	TZV	CP	TVS	S!	LPV	SV	AJ	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size																	Lead
SKDS/LTV^[160]	March 2024	1.505	16.6 (1)	10.1 (1)	17.1 (2)	8.9 (1)	1.5	3.4	6.1 (1)	3.5	9.6 (1)	0.2	2.1	0.6	6.4 (1)	8.2 (1)	3.8	1.9	0.5
SKDS/LTV^[161]	10-14 February 2024	1,505	17.9 (2)	9.1 (1)	16.5 (1)	9.2 (1)	0.6	4.0	7.4 (1)	3.5	8.9 (1)	0.8	2.1	0.5	7.5 (1)	6.6 (1)	3.2	2.3	1.4
2019 election	25 May 2019	–	26.4 (2)	17.6 (2)	16.5 (2)	12.5 (1)		5.6 (0)	5.0	4.4	2.9	0.9	6.8 (1)^[bc]	0.2					8.7

Lithuania

Pollster	Fieldwork dates	Sample size	TS–LKD	LVŽS	DP	LSDP	LP	LRLS	LRP	PLT	DSVL	Others^[bd]	DK/WV^[be]	Lead
Pollster	Fieldwork dates	Sample size										Others^[bd]	DK/WV^[be]	Lead
Baltijos tyrimai	10-21 April 2024	1,020	8.4 2	6.8 1	5.2 1	15.9 3	2.4 0	3.9 1	3.0 1	1.6 0	7.8 2	3.7^[bf] 0	41.3	7.5
2019 election		1,259,954	19.74 3	12.56 2	8.99 1	15.88 2	–	6.59 1	2.36 0	1.92 0	–	31.96 2	–	3.86

Luxembourg

No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.

Polling execution			Parties
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	DP Renew	CSV EPP	Greens G/EFA	LSAP S&D	ADR ECR	Pirate G/EFA	Lénk Left	Volt G/EFA	KPL	DK	Fokus	Others
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size												Others
2023 general election^[162]			19.1 (2)	29.3 (3)	8.3 (0)	18.2 (1)	9.6 (0)	6.7 (0)	3.6 (0)	0.2 (0)	0.5 (0)	1.4 (0)	2.6 (0)	—
2023 municipal elections^[163]			19.8 (1)	26.5 (2)	11.6 (1)	21.9 (2)	20.3 (0)

2019 EP election^[164]			21.4 (2)	21.1 (2)	18.9 (1)	12.2 (1)	10.0 (0)	7.7 (0)	4.8 (0)	2.1 (0)	1.1 (0)	0.5 (0)	—

Malta

It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded by Maltese media houses, who typically align with government or opposition. Where it comes to the third parties and independents, they have always outperformed opinion polling.

Dates Conducted	Polling firm	Sample size	PL S&D	EPP			ABBA		IND/ Others	Lead	Not voting^[bg]	Don't know/ Invalid^[bg]
Dates Conducted	Polling firm	Sample size							IND/ Others	Lead	Not voting^[bg]	Don't know/ Invalid^[bg]
6–10 May 2024	It-Torċa^[bh]	1000	51.5	40.3	5.1	4.1				11.2	31	–
15–24 April 2024	MaltaToday	656	50.7	44.2	5.1					6.5	29	–
1–13 April 2024	Esprimi	600	45.4	38.0	3.2	13.4				7.4	–	41.0
7 March - 21 March 2024	MaltaToday	657	52.8	42.6	4.6					10.2	23.4	–
27 Feb –12 Mar 2024	Esprimi/Times of Malta	600	52.4	39.3	8.3					13.1	33
26 Jan –05 Feb 2024	MaltaToday	647	47.9	41.0	11.1					6.9	37.5

26 Mar 2022	2022 Maltese general election	–	55.1	41.7	n/a	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	13.4	24.4	2.9

25 May 2019	2019 European Parliament election in Malta	–	54.3	37.9	3.17	2.7^[bi]	0.5^[bj]	n/a	1.2	16.4	27.3	2.6

Netherlands

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Total	GL–PvdA		VVD Renew	CDA EPP	FvD NI	D66 Renew	SGP ECR	CU EPP	PvdD Left	50PLUS Renew	PVV ID	SP Left	Volt G/EFA	JA21 ECR	BBB EPP	NSC EPP	Others	Lead	Ref
				PvdA S&D	GL G/EFA	VVD Renew	CDA EPP	FvD NI	D66 Renew	SGP ECR	CU EPP	PvdD Left	50PLUS Renew	PVV ID	SP Left	Volt G/EFA	JA21 ECR	BBB EPP	NSC EPP

Peil.nl	3–4 May 2024	–	31	8		5	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	8	1	1	0	1	1	0	Tie	^[165]
I&O Research	12–15 Apr 2024	2,182	31	7		5	2	0	3	1	0	1	0	8	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	^[166]
I&O Research	22–25 Mar 2024	1,586	31	7		6	2	0	2	1	0	1	0	9	0	2	0	1	0	0	2	^[167]
Ipsos	23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	1,890	31	6		5	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	9	1	2	0	1	2	0	3	^[168]
2019 election	23 May 2019	–	26	6	3	4	4	3	2	2		1	1	0	0	0	–	–	–	0	2

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	GL–PvdA		VVD Renew	CDA EPP	FvD NI	D66 Renew	SGP ECR	CU EPP	PvdD Left	50PLUS Renew	PVV ID	SP Left	Volt G/EFA	DENK NI	JA21 ECR	BBB EPP	NSC EPP	Others	Lead	Ref
			PvdA S&D	GL G/EFA	VVD Renew	CDA EPP	FvD NI	D66 Renew	SGP ECR	CU EPP	PvdD Left	50PLUS Renew	PVV ID	SP Left	Volt G/EFA	DENK NI	JA21 ECR	BBB EPP	NSC EPP

I&O Research	12–15 Apr 2024	2,182	18.7%		12.6%	5.4%	3.1%	7.8%	3.3%	3.0%	4.6%	–	22.0%	3.6%	4.7%	–	1.1%	4.3%	4.2%	1.6%	3.3%	^[166]
I&O Research	22–25 Mar 2024	1,586	18.6%		14.1%	5.5%	3.0%	7.0%	3.8%	3.1%	4.0%	–	25.1%	2.9%	5.2%	0.0%	1.0%	3.9%	3.1%	–	6.5%	^[167]
Ipsos	23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	1,890	16.0%		12.7%	5.6%	2.3%	6.0%	2.6%	2.4%	3.7%	–	22.4%	3.2%	4.9%	–	–	4.5%	4.7%	8.8%	6.4%	^[168]
Portland	24–31 Jan 2024	535	17%		12%	5%	2%	5%	3%	1%	3%	1%	25%	3%	3%	2%	1%	4%	12%	1%	8%	^[169]
2023 parliamentary election	22 Nov 2023	–	15.8%		15.2%	3.3%	2.2%	6.3%	2.1%	2.0%	2.3%	0.5%	23.5%	3.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.7%	4.6%	12.9%	1.4%	7.7%
2023 provincial elections	15 Mar 2023	–	8.4%^[bk]	9.0%	11.2%	6.6%	3.1%	6.3%	2.5%	3.9%^[bl]	4.8%	2.3%	5.8%	4.2%	3.0%	0.6%	4.4%	19.2%	–	4.7%	8.0%
2021 parliamentary election	15–17 Mar 2021	–	5.7%	5.2%	21.9%	9.5%	5.0%	15.0%	2.1%	3.4%	3.8%	1.0%	10.8%	6.0%	2.4%	2.0%	2.4%	1.0%	–	2.8%	6.9%
2019 election	23 May 2019	–	19.0%	10.9%	14.6%	12.2%	11.0%	7.1%	6.8%		4.0%	3.9%	3.5%	3.4%	1.9%	1.1%	–	–	–	0.5%	4.4%

Poland

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	United Right ECR		Third Way EPP–Ren.	Civic Coalition EPP–G/EFA–Ren.	The Left S&D			Confederation NI	Others	Don't know	Lead
			Law and Justice	Kukiz'15	Third Way EPP–Ren.	Civic Coalition EPP–G/EFA–Ren.	SLD	Spring	Left Together	Confederation NI

United Surveys / DGP, RMF	10–12 May 2024	1,000	32.7 19		12.6 7	30.3 17	9.6 5			8.6 5	1.1^[bm] 0	5.1	2.4
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat	7–8 May 2024	1,000	29.3		12.1	28.3	9.7			9.9	1.5	9.2	1.0
Opinia24 / TOK FM	6–8 May 2024	1,001	30.6		7.7	30.8	9.0			8.3	2.7^[bn]	10.9	0.2
OGB	22–25 Apr 2024	804	32.66 18		13.81 7	33.21 18	5.57 3			12.30 7	2.45 0		0.55
Ipsos / Euronews	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,000	29.2		16.5	31.3	8.4			13.9			2.1
Opinia24 / TOK FM	26–28 Feb 2024	1,002	22		11	31	11			10	3^[bo]	11	9
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska	2–13 Feb 2024	2,027	29.0		14.0	33.5	8.5			7.5	1.3	6.2	4.5
Portland Communications	24–31 Jan 2024	632	29		16	35	9			8	3		6

Parliamentary election	15 Oct 2023	21,596,674^[bp]	35.38		14.40	30.70	8.61			7.16	3.71		4.68

Parliamentary election	13 Oct 2019	18,678,457^[bq]	43.59	8.55		27.40	12.56			6.81	1.09		16.19

European election	26 May 2019	13,647,311^[br]	45.38 27	3.69 0	38.47 22			6.06 3	1.24 0	4.55 0	0.60		6.91

Portugal

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout											O	Lead


				S&D	EPP	EPP	NI	ID	Left	Left	G/EFA	G/EFA	Renew

Intercampus^[bs]	18–23 Apr 2024	605	?	33.4 8	28.2 7			13.0 3	7.4 1	3.3 0	1.3 0	5.8 1	4.4 1	3.3 0	5.2
Aximage	12–16 Apr 2024	805	58.0	31.3 7/8	24.8 6			18.4 4	5.9 1	4.1 1	1.8 0	3.6 0/1	5.8 1	4.3 0	6.5
2024 legislative elections	10 Mar 2024	—	59.8	28.0 (7)	28.8 (7)			18.1 (5)	4.4 (1)	3.2 (0)	1.9 (0)	3.2 (0)	4.9 (1)	7.5 (0)	0.8
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	2,000	?	29.6 8	31.0 8	3.4 0	–	14.2 3	4.4 1	2.3 0	2.1 0	3.6 0	4.5 1	4.9 0	1.4
2022 legislative elections	30 Jan 2022	—	51.5	41.4 (10)	29.1 (7)	1.6 (0)	0.0 (0)	7.2 (1)	4.4 (1)	4.3 (1)	1.6 (0)	1.3 (0)	4.9 (1)	4.7 (0)	11.5
2019 legislative elections	6 Oct 2019	—	48.6	36.3 (10)	27.8 (7)	4.2 (1)	0.2 (0)	1.3 (0)	9.5 (2)	6.3 (1)	3.3 (0)	1.1 (0)	1.3 (0)	8.8 (0)	8.5

2019 EP election	26 May 2019	—	30.7	33.4 9	21.9 6	6.2 1	1.5 0		9.8 2	6.9 2	5.1 1	1.8 0	0.9 0	12.5 0	11.5

Romania

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CNR		PUSL S&D	AUR		ADU			PRO S&D	UDMR EPP	AER		AD ECR	S.O.S. ID	REPER Renew	Others	Lead

			PNL EPP	PSD S&D		PNȚCD ECR	AUR ECR	FD EPP	PMP EPP	USR Renew			PER NI	PV G/EFA

INSCOP	12–20 April 2024	1,100	46.6		1.5	—	16.7	13.8			2.7	5.1	2.4	2.0	—	4.5	1.8	2.8	29.9
AtlasIntel	5-9 April 2024	1,764	31.6		2.4	0.8	19.9	24.6			3	4.9	2	—	—	8	3.3	1.5	7
CSPS	1-7 April 2024	4,085	27.2		—	—	30.2	23.4			—	4.8	—	—	—	2.8	5.8	5.7	3
Sociopol	26 March-2 April 2024	1,002	47		5	—	23	14			1	4	2	—	—	3	0	1	24
CURS	19-28 March 2024	1,067	53		4	—	14	14			—	5	—	—	—	5	—	5	39
CSPS	17-29 March 2024	2,088	37		—	—	27	21			—	4	—	—	—	—	—	11	10
Euractiv	March 2024	—	42		—	—	25	14			2	5	—	—	—	5	1	6	17
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	970	42.4		3.0	—	20.7	14.2			5.1	3.4	—	—	—	5.9	—	5.2	21.7
INSCOP	22-29 Feb 2024	1,100	43.7		—	—	20.6	13.7			3.7	3.9	3.4		—	6.4	0.9	3.7	23.1
Sociopol	Feb 2024	–	42		1	—	28	15			2	5	2	—	0	3	1	1^[bt]	14
Sociopol	Feb 2024	–	17	31	1	—	24	13			2	5	2	—	0	3	1	1^[bu]	14
INSOMAR	Feb 2024	1,030	40.8		1.5	—	30.5	11.5			1.7	4.5	—	—	—	2	—	7.5^[bv]	10.3
Avangarde	19–20 Feb 2024	950	20	31	—	—	18	15			—	5	—	—	—	8	2	1	11
CURS	3–14 Feb 2024	1,067	20	31	2	—	20	13			2	4	—	—	—	4	—	4^[bw]	11
60m.ro	20 Jan 2024	927	16	28	—	—	30	17			—	5	—	—	—	4	—	—	2
INSCOP	16-24 Jan 2024	1,100	18.8	29.5	—	—	18.4	12.9			3.0	4.8	3.5		—	6.5	0.5	2	10.7
CURS	15–27 Jan 2024	1,082	19	30	3	—	21	14			—	5	—	—	—	4	—	4	9
Avangarde	8-22 Jan 2024	1,150	21	31	—	—	19	14			—	5	—	—	—	8	1	1	10
INSOMAR	Jan 2024	1,050	21	25	—	—	22	—	2	9	1	3	—	—	—	3	—	9^[bx]	3
Sociopol	Jan 2024	–	17	29	1	0	23	13			2	5	2	—	1	3	1	1^[by]	6
CIRA	Jan 2024	1,000	20	30	—	—	18	2	2	14	—	5	—	—	—	6	2	1	10
CURS	26–30 Dec 2023	852	19	31	4	—	19	1	4	9	2	4	—	—	—	5	—	2	12
Mercury Research	30 Oct–6 Nov 2023	1,227	16	26	0	—	19	22			—	3	—	—	—	7	1	5	4
Mercury Research	30 Oct–6 Nov 2023	1,227	16	28	1	—	19	2	4	15	—	3	—	—	—	7	1	3	9
Avangarde	20–28 Sep 2023	994	21	31	—	—	19	1	3	13	1	5	—	—	—	5	—	1	10
LARICS	11–25 Sep 2023	1,003	22.9	31.5	1.0	—	14.6	—	4.4	15.2	—	3.2	—	—	—	4.7	—	2.4	8.6
INSOMAR	28–31 Aug 2023	1,030	15	25	2	—	27	3	3	7	—	4	—	—	—	4	—	10	2
2020 parliamentary election	6 Dec 2020	6.058.625	25.2	28.9	1.0	—	9.1	—	4.9	15.4	4.1	5.7	1.3	0.4	0.0	—	—	4.1	3.7
2019 election	26 May 2019	9.069.822	27.0	22.5			—	—	5.8	22.4	6.4	5.3	—	—	—	—	—	6.6	4.5

Slovenia

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Publisher(s)	Sample size	SDS EPP	SLS EPP	SD S&D	NSi EPP	Levica Left	DeSUS EDP	GS Renew	Resni.ca NI	PPS G/EFA	Vesna G/EFA	Logar NI	Prebilič NI	Gregorčič NI	Rupar NI	NOT NI	Others	None	Und.	Abst.	Lead	Source
Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Publisher(s)	Sample size																Others	None	Und.	Abst.	Lead	Source
23–25 Apr 2024	Mediana	POPTV	723	21.7	3.3	5.7	7.1	3.0	2.6	15.5	3.1	2.8	7.1	–	–	–	–	0.9	0.2	4.3	14.7	4.2	6.2	^[171]
5–7 Mar 2024	Mediana	Delo	723	20.7	2.4	6.4	6.2	4.5	–	13.0	4.1	3.3	3.3	–	–	–	2.7	–	1.7	6.4	18.6	4.3	7.7	^[172]
4–7 Dec 2023	Ninamedia	–	700	14.6	–	11.4	6.3	4.0	–	11.6	–	–	–	12.4	8.3	3.7	0.9	–	–	–	19.7	7.1	2.2	^[173]
24 April 2022	2022 parliamentary election	–	–	23.48	3.41	6.69	6.86	4.46	0.66	40.23^[bz]	2.86	1.63	1.35	—	—	—	—	—	7.83	(29.04)			16.75
26 May 2019	2019 election	–	–	26.25		18.66	11.12	6.43	5.67	19.46^[ca]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	12.41	(71.11)			6.79

Slovakia

Polling firm	Date	Sample size	PS Renew	Democrats EPP	Smer NI	ĽSNS NI	Život NI	SNS ID	KDH EPP	SASKA ECR	KÚ ECR	OĽaNO EPP	ZĽ EPP	MA EPP	SR ID	Hlas S&D	Republika NI	Others	Lead
Polling firm	Date	Sample size																Others	Lead
NMS^[174]	18–24 April 2024	1,010	24.3% 5	4.4% 0	19.8% 4	0.7% 0	3.2% 0		4.6% 0	7.0% 1	0.8% 0	3.6% 0		2.9% 0	—	12.0% 3	10.7% 2	5.8%^[cb]	4.5
AKO^[175]	9–16 April 2024	1,000	27.2% 5	2.7% 0	15.2% 3	1.0% 0	4.1% 0		6.7% 1	6.5% 1	0.8% 0	3.2% 0		5.0% 1	—	14.2% 3	7.5% 1	5.9%^[cc]	12.0
Ipsos^[176]	23 February – 5 March 2024	1,502	24.6% 5	2.3% 0	26.7% 5	2.1% 0	4.8% 0		8.2% 2	4.6% 0	4.9% 0			2.4% 0	—	11.8% 2	6.4% 1	1.2%	2.1
2023 elections	30 Sep 2023	2,967,896	17.96%	2.21%	22.95%	0.84%	5.63%		6.82%	6.32%	8.90%			4.39%	2.93%	14.70%	4.75%	1.60%	4.99
2020 elections	29 Feb 2020	2,881,511	6.97%		18.29%	7.97%		3.16%	4.65%	6.22%	25.03%		5.77%	3.91%	8.24%	—	—	9.34%	6.74
2019 elections	25 May 2019	985,680	20.11% 4		15.72% 3	12.07% 2	2.07% 0	4.09% 0	9.70% 2	9.62% 2	3.85% 0	5.26% 1	—	4.96% 0	3.23% 0	—	—	9.32%	4.29

Sweden

Polling execution			Parties
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	V Left	S S&D	MP G/EFA	C Renew	L Renew	M EPP	KD EPP	SD ECR	Oth.	Lead
Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size									Oth.	Lead
Demoskop	24 Apr–7 May 2024	3,970	8.7 2	28.5 6	9.2 2	4.6 1	3.2 0	17.3 4	4.4 1	19.9 5	4.2 0	8.6
Verian	25–30 Apr 2024	1,900	8.8 2	29.7 7	9.5 2	4.5 1	3.7 0	18.3 4	4.2 1	17.2 4	4.2 0	11.4
Novus	1–28 Apr 2024	2,311	8.5 2	31.1 8	10.3 2	3.6 0	3.8 0	17.7 4	3.5 0	18.8 5	2.6 0	12.3
Indikator Opinion	28 Mar–22 Apr 2024	6,943	8.1 2	32.3 8	9.7 2	4.6 1	3.3 0	19.0 4	2.3 0	18.6 4	2.1 0	12.9
Ipsos	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	1,003	9.6 2	30.4 6	8.3 2	7.0 1	4.7 1	16.4 4	4.5 1	17.5 4	1.5 0	12.9
Novus	19 Feb–3 Mar 2024	504	7.3 2	32.4 7	8.0 2	4.6 1	3.3 0	18.1 4	4.2 1	20.5 4	1.7 0	11.9
2022 general election	11 Sep 2022	–	6.8 1	30.3 7	5.1 1	6.7 1	4.6 1	19.1 4	5.3 1	20.5 5	1.5 0	9.8
2019 EP election	26 May 2019	–	6.8 1	23.5 5	11.5 3	10.8 2	4.1 1	16.8 4	8.6 2	15.3 3	2.5 0	6.7

Spain

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout						AR					Lead
Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout											Lead
SocioMétrica/El Español^[177]	30 Apr–4 May 2024	1,279	?	26.7 18	39.2 26	1.2 0	3.0 2	10.3 7	5.4 3	2.3 1	1.4 1	^[cd]	6.4 4	12.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[178]	24–30 Apr 2024	2,120	?	28.9 19	35.7 23	0.8 0	3.1 2	11.9 7	4.1 2	2.0 1	1.8 1	^[cd]	9.5 6	6.8
SocioMétrica/El Español^[179]	9–12 Apr 2024	2,550	?	26.3 17	38.1 25	1.7 1	2.4 1	10.9 7	6.1 4	2.6 1	1.8 1	^[cd]	6.7 4	11.8
GAD3/Mediaset^[180]	18–21 Mar 2024	1,017	?	26.5 18/19	37.8 25/26	0.3 0	3.5 2	9.2 6	4.4 3	2.7 1	2.4 1	^[cd]	7.2 4	11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español^[181]	5–9 Mar 2024	2,900	?	24.5 16	40.1 26	0.9 0	1.9 1	10.6 7	4.9 3	3.0 2	1.2 0	^[cd]	9.3 6	15.6
Ipsos/Euronews^[182]^[183]	23 Feb–5 Mar 2024	2,000	?	28.6 19	37.7 25	? 0	2.4 1	10.4 6	3.8 2	2.5 1	2.0 1	^[cd]	9.7 6	9.1
GAD3/ABC^[184]	26–29 Feb 2024	1,005	?	27.1 18	38.4 26	? 0	3.0 2	8.6 6	4.3 2	2.7 1	2.4 1	^[cd]	7.3 5	11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español^[185]	5–9 Feb 2024	2,900	?	28.1 18	38.3 25	? 0	1.0 0	11.7 7	3.2 2	3.4 2	1.5 1	^[cd]	10.2 6	10.2
NC Report/La Razón^[186]	12–18 Jan 2024	1,000	61.5	28.3 18	37.5 25	0.4 0	1.7 1	10.4 6	3.0 2	3.3 2	2.1 1	^[cd]	9.1 6	9.2
SocioMétrica/El Español^[187]	25–31 Dec 2023	2,309	?	28.5 19	37.1 24	1.1 0	3.3 2	11.0 7	3.2 2	4.4 2	1.3 0	^[cd]	8.8 5	8.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[188]	15–26 Dec 2023	2,992	?	29.2 19	38.1 25	0.2 0	2.6 1	11.8 7	2.8 1	2.3 1	2.0 1	^[cd]	10.1 6	8.9
SocioMétrica/El Español^[189]	20–24 Nov 2023	2,109	?	29.2 19	36.8 25	1.1 0	2.0 1	10.2 6	4.2 2	5.1 3	1.3 0	^[cd]	8.0 5	7.6
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023	—	66.6	31.7 (20)	33.1 (21)	–	^[cd]	12.4 (7)	3.9 (2)	1.7 (1)	1.6 (1)	^[cd]	12.3 (7)	1.4
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	—	66.2	28.0 (18)	20.8 (13)	6.8 (4)	12.9 (8)	15.1 (10)	5.3 (3)	2.2 (1)	2.8 (1)	2.4 (1)	–	7.2

2019 EP election	26 May 2019	—	60.7	32.9 21	20.2 13	12.2 8	10.1 6	6.2 4	5.6 3	4.5 3	2.8 1	1.3 0	–	12.7

Notes

References

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